2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 81507 times)
UncleSam
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« Reply #3225 on: September 14, 2022, 02:34:41 AM »

It's early, but Senate Primary turnout is tight. If the Dems pull it out, this would be their first (and only) turnout win in a competitive state.

This didn't hold by the way. GOP is crushing it now with 59.11% of the primary turnout, might go over 60% when everything is in. Firmly keeps the race on the map for them - This is a stronger GOP performance than Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Iowa, North Carolina, Kentucky, Indiana or Nevada.

No. Just no. There were zero competitive Dem races, Republicans had competitive races for Sen and both House seats. Turnout means nothing in a situation like this.
Ya unlike some other states, this is the correct take. NH is the perfect storm of A. Contested GOP primaries B. No contested Dem primaries C. Open primaries to independents and D. Highly educated population. There’s no reason to think that primary turnout is any indicator of general election performance in NH.

I do think that some of the other results are more meaningful than many here would like to admit, however (I.e. Rs getting 60%+ in OH, handily outpacing Dems in FL and NC, etc.). Just NH isn’t one of them.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #3226 on: September 14, 2022, 03:02:20 AM »

Ironically, on the GOP side, we saw a bit of a return to sanity in the downballot. Most of the secessionists outright lost their primaries. There are only two left in the caucus.

Sylvia, Silber, and Hough, who Sununu specifically anti-endorsed due to their role in the Gunstock crisis, also lost.

Interestingly enough, liberty-minded rep Michael Yakubovich seems to have defeated Barbara Griffin, the head of the Redistricting Committee, in SD-16. She wound up drawing this district, gerrymandering a Democrat out so she could run in it. He will probably walk to victory. Not a lot of surprises, except Dave DeVoy's surprisingly strong performance in SD-2.

Race ratings should be out soon.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #3227 on: September 14, 2022, 06:38:36 AM »

I now accept my accolades!(NH 1)
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3228 on: September 14, 2022, 08:48:20 AM »

I think its really telling that not only all of the MAGA cultuists are winning their races, they are winning them with <40%. Obviously they still might win in 1v1 races, but these margins can't be encouraging.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3229 on: September 14, 2022, 09:08:32 AM »

These results actually make you wonder if Sununu had endorsed Morse way earlier, maybe he could've actually pulled it out
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3230 on: September 14, 2022, 09:45:15 AM »

It's early, but Senate Primary turnout is tight. If the Dems pull it out, this would be their first (and only) turnout win in a competitive state.

This didn't hold by the way. GOP is crushing it now with 59.11% of the primary turnout, might go over 60% when everything is in. Firmly keeps the race on the map for them - This is a stronger GOP performance than Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Iowa, North Carolina, Kentucky, Indiana or Nevada.

Edit: They did cross 60%. So also a stronger showing than Arizona.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #3231 on: September 14, 2022, 11:21:50 AM »

It's early, but Senate Primary turnout is tight. If the Dems pull it out, this would be their first (and only) turnout win in a competitive state.

This didn't hold by the way. GOP is crushing it now with 59.11% of the primary turnout, might go over 60% when everything is in. Firmly keeps the race on the map for them - This is a stronger GOP performance than Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Iowa, North Carolina, Kentucky, Indiana or Nevada.

Edit: They did cross 60%. So also a stronger showing than Arizona.

This is pretty much a worthless statistic.   There's tons of independents in NH that can vote in either primary and remain independent.   There was no competitive races on the Dem side whatsoever so the independents obviously voted overwhelmingly in the Republican primary.

Not to mention the fact that having no competitive races (and a lot of uncontested primaries) on the Dem side would lower turnout from registered Democrats since they really have nothing to vote for.
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