2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Yep, it's that time again! 2022 Primaries are taking place across the country!

Schedule: https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G22/events.phtml?format=chronological

This thread will be for general coverage and discussion of the primary results as they come in or as primaries are approaching. Analysis and GE Discussion should be continued on another thread after a couple days or so have elapsed since the primary. This will function as an all-encompassing primary coverage thread - i.e. feel free to discuss gubernatorial and row office primaries if they are being held this year in a given state as well as congressional stuff.

Poll Closing Times for the Next Primary:

All calls on grand finale night begin at 8 ET. Some NH precincts may close at 7 ET.

JUMP TO PAST COVERAGE:

This section will provide helpful navigation throughout the thread as the cycle goes on, as a means of letting people quickly go to the point in the thread they wish to catch up on or reference.

Texas Start - https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8502830#msg8502830

Ohio (all but state leg)/Indiana Start - https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8588786#msg8588786

West Virginia/Nebraska Start - https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8599352#msg8599352

Kentucky/North Carolina/Pennsylvania/Idaho/Oregon start -
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8608414#msg8608414

Alabama/Arkansas/Georgia/Texas Runoffs start - https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8617787#msg8617787

California/Iowa/Mississippi/Montana/New Jersey/New Mexico/South Dakota start -
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8634790#msg8634790

South Carolina/Maine/North Dakota/Nevada start - https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8642861#msg8642861

Virginia/District of Columbia/Georgia Runoffs/Alabama Runoffs/Arkansas Runoffs start -  
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8652043#msg8652043

Illinois/Oklahoma/Colorado/Utah/New York (statewide contests/state assembly)/Mississippi Runoffs/South Carolina Runoffs start - https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8661312#msg8661312

Maryland start - https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8687058#msg8687058

North Carolina Runoffs - not covered

Arizona, Kansas, Missouri, Washington, Michigan, Ohio (State Leg.) start -
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8704020#msg8704020

Tennessee start -
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8708386#msg8708386

Virgin Islands start -
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8711878#msg8711878

Minnesota/Wisconsin/Vermont/Connecticut start: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8714346#msg8714346

Hawaii start: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8720548#msg8720548

Wyoming/Alaska/South Dakota Runoffs start:
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8725362#msg8725362

Florida/New York (U.S. House of Representatives/state senate)/Oklahoma Runoffs start:
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8732838#msg8732838

Guam start: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8739572#msg8739572

Massachusetts Start: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8754801#msg8754801

Delaware/New Hampshire/Rhode Island Start: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=484823.msg8764220#msg8764220

I will be using NYT as my primary source of information for making my independent projections. Feel free to share other sources.

Looking forward to a fun primary cycle!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

(I will follow news network conventions and not call statewide stuff while El Paso is still voting)

PROJECTION:

6 (R)
Ellzey* 84%
Buford 13%
14%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Making the following calls:


14 (R)
Weber* 90%
Casey 7%
16%

17 (R)
Sessions* 75%
Nelson 12%
2%

21 (R)
Roy* 84%
Lowry 9%
18%

22 (R)
Nehls* 91%
Thorne 9%
49%

23 (R)
Gonzales* 83%
Arredondo-Lynch 11%
32%

26 (R)
Burgess* 78%
Smith 9%
3%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

2 (R)   
Crenshaw* 74%
Ellis 13%
32%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wow:
https://twitter.com/jaspscherer/status/1498829764060188682?cxt=HHwWlMC4mdbu9MwpA...
Collins was endorsed by MTG, so yeah. This is a good thing.

Is that the official final results?

Early vote only.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

12 (R)
Granger* 77%
Catala 13%
56%

24 (R)
Van Duyne* 87%
Weymouth 13%
57%

33 (D)
Veasey* 77%
Quintanilla 23%
47%

37 (D)
Doggett 84%
Imam 13%
49%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

27 (R)   
Cloud* 77%
Mapp 9%
6%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Are early votes counted first or last? Because if early votes are counted first, Van Taylor is essentially guaranteed to be put in a runoff and probably Luttrell too. If not, they've won.

Generally first.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

D Gov:

Beto O’Rourke
512,111   92.1%   
Joy Diaz
17,332   3.1%   

R Gov:

Greg Abbott*
551,105   69.2%   
Don Huffines
91,775   11.5%   


R Lt Gov:

Dan Patrick*
465,127   78.2%   
Trayce Bradford
36,305   6.1%

D Ag Commissioner:

Hays 83%
Ireson 17%
19%   

R Comptroller:

Hegar* 83%
Goloby 17%
25%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

1 Rep.   
Moran 80%
McDaniel 13%
20%   

4 Rep.   
Fallon* 63%
Thomas 24%
29%   

15 Rep.   
De La Cruz 64%
Garza 18%
38%

31 Rep.   
Carter* 70%
Williams 20%
48%   

33 Rep.   
Gillespie 64%
Mac Glaflin 36%
44%   

34 Dem.   
Gonzalez* 75%
Cisneros 15%
29%   

35 Dem.   
Casar 60%
Rodriguez 17%
57%   

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I know there's currently less than 5% of precincts reporting there right now, but the 28th District's primary is way too close for comfort right now.

NYT has over half the vote reporting there? Still incredibly tight though

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Proceeds to a Runoff:

30 R:
James Harris
1,758 32.9%
James Rodgers
1,700 31.8%
Kelvin Goodwin-Castillo
916 17.2%
44%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

3 Dem.
Srivastava 62%
Shelby 38%
51%

16 Dem.
Escobar* 89%
Berrios 11%
48%

27 Dem.
Perez 63%
Tristan 24%
59%

Proceeds to Runoff:

38 Dem.
Diana Alexander
4,965 42.5%
Duncan Klussmann
4,886 41.8%
Centrell Reed
1,828 15.7%
45%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

34 Rep.
Flores 61%
McCaffrey 22%
70%

Proceeds to Runoff:

1 Dem.
Jrmar Jefferson
5,695 45.5%
Victor Dunn
3,505 28.0%
Stephen Kocen
1,830 14.6%
78%



What I have not called:

Att. Gen. D & R
Lt. Gov. D
Ag. Commissioner R
Comptroller D
Land Commissioner D & R
Railroad Commissioner R
---Districts:
3 R
5 D
7 R
8 R
14 D
15 D
21 D
23 D
24 D
28 D & R
29 R
30 D
32 R
35 R
37 R
38 R

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

Ag. Commissioner
Rep.   
Miller* 59%
White 31%
52%   

8 Rep.   
Luttrell 54%
Collins 22%
82%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

DDHQ is showing much more reporting than other sites. Is DDHQ just that much ahead of everyone or do they estimate less outstanding votes than others?

I think it's a bit of both.

Small part of it is NYT does not declare 100% in anymore, >95% is the highest they go.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Proceeds to Runoff:

21 Dem.

Claudia Zapata
11,733   45.4%
Ricardo Villarreal
7,447   28.8%
Coy Branscum
2,302   8.9%
66%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

TX-03 % of reporting in DDHQ was 97%, then down to 90%, and now 87%.

I use NYT for a reason.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Proceeds to Runoff:

28 R
Cassy Garcia
6,674    30.3%   
Sandra Whitten
3,350   15.2%
Steven Fowler
2,651   12.0%
92%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling:

23 Dem.
Lira 58%
Golden 42%
64%

What I have not called:

Att. Gen. D & R
Lt. Gov. D
Comptroller D
Land Commissioner D & R
Railroad Commissioner R
---Districts:
3 R
5 D
7 R
14 D
15 D
24 D
28 D
29 R
30 D
32 R
35 R
37 R
38 R

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Further Calls

Att. Gen. D, FIRST SPOT - Garza
Att. Gen. R - Paxton, Bush Runoff
Lt. Gov. D - Collier, Beckley Runoff
Comptroller D - Dudding, Vega Runoff
Land Commissioner D - Martinez, Kleberg Runoff
Land Commissioner R - Buckingham, Westley Runoff
Railroad Commissioner R, FIRST SPOT - Christian
---Districts:
3 R - Taylor, Self Runoff
5 D - Hill
7 R - Teague, Stroud Runoff
15 D, FIRST SPOT - Ramirez
24 D - McDowell, Gay Runoff
28 D - Cuellar, Cisneros Runoff
30 D - Crockett, Hamilton Runoff
32 R - Swad, Webb Runoff
35 R - McQueen, Rodriguez Runoff
37 R - Sharon, Lingsch Runoff
38 R - Hunt
------------------

Still not called: Att. Gen. D spot 2, Railroad Commissioner R Spot 2, 14 D, 15 D Spot 2, 29 R

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling Railroad Commissioner R Spot 2 for Stogner

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

DDHQ shows TX-08 at only 89% in with Luttrell at 52.1%. The only ballots left to count according to them come from Harris County, where Luttrell is performing terribly. If this is right there's a chance this could still be a runoff. However all the other sites are showing near 100% of the vote in. Why the discrepancy?

Possibly they stopped updating at some point last night.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

DDHQ shows TX-08 at only 89% in with Luttrell at 52.1%. The only ballots left to count according to them come from Harris County, where Luttrell is performing terribly. If this is right there's a chance this could still be a runoff. However all the other sites are showing near 100% of the vote in. Why the discrepancy?

Possibly they stopped updating at some point last night.

Upon looking further that doesn't seem to be true. DDHQ has more votes counted than other sites. They might be predicting more votes left than others?

Maybe...honestly I just don't really trust them. I know they rely on their own sources rather than the 'pool' that the real news networks use, which just sort of seems to open them [DDHQ] up to error. They've also made some pretty stunning wrong calls in the past. I'd recommend just not paying attention to whatever they put out.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling 29 R for Schafranek and Garza (Runoff)