Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Non Swing Voter]

*NSW
https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1455606297647190024?s=20

Based

I will take a large bucket of popcorn, lightly buttered, no salt.  

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

A win is a win no matter what. A 2 point win is not "pathetic" or a loss. It's a win. Full stop.

For citizens of VA - sure. But as bellwether for Dem in 2022, it's pathetic*.



*if it's confirmed by other elections. One election don't tell us much.

[LimoLiberal]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153?s=20

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

*NSW
https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1455606297647190024?s=20

Where the data is coming from. It seems like a random account with 870 followers.

[Non Swing Voter]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

[BigSerg]

*NSW
https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1455606297647190024?s=20

Where the data is coming from. It seems like a random account with 870 followers.

It's a meme

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1455606418367827968

[xavier110]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

He’s claiming it’s out of presidential turnout, not 2017, as in on track to exceed 2020 numbers. Doesn’t sound believable lol

[BigSerg]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 2020 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

Early turnout reports are fantastic and accurate when they support my narrative/what I want to happen, and completely anecdotal and not trustworthy when they don't.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

*NSW
https://twitter.com/tencor_7144/status/1455606297647190024?s=20

Where the data is coming from. It seems like a random account with 870 followers.

It's a meme

Well, memes are good. Thanks for posting!

[Hope For A New Era]

While I'm hoping he wins since Youngkin is anti vax by proxy (anti vaccine mandate), a 2 or so point McAuliffe victory is still pathetic for a state like Virginia.

Had you said this a few months ago I would have agreed but the second the media decided to write terry mcauliffe political obituary and start pushing the narrative that he was doomed heading into this election, I now feel that a McAuliffe victory ends looking far more impressive than it ever had any right to be

If McAuliffe does win there is going to be a lot of questions about that now infamous fox news poll showing in 8 point lead for Glenn Youngkin

This. In August a 2-point McAuliffe victory would not have been impressive, now it's an upset and [insert 9000 takes about what it means for the midterms].

[BigSerg]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

He’s claiming it’s out of presidential turnout, not 2017, as in on track to exceed 2020 numbers. Doesn’t sound believable lol

Bruhh he literally published the source for you https://vbelections.vbgov.com/ballots

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455601326142930948?s=20

That's pretty bad news for McAuliffe.

Very rich and moderately educated so don't worry too much.

Trump won this town by 45 points.

Ik that, I also have known that these areas in the Hampton/Richmond have been coming out strong for Youngkin . These areas aren't big as NOVA but still maybe like 5% of the vote?

[Non Swing Voter]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

He’s claiming it’s out of presidential turnout, not 2017, as in on track to exceed 2020 numbers. Doesn’t sound believable lol

oh good catch.  that would be high turnout.  can anyone confirm this? 

[BigSerg]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

He’s claiming it’s out of presidential turnout, not 2017, as in on track to exceed 2020 numbers. Doesn’t sound believable lol

oh good catch.  that would be high turnout.  can anyone confirm this? 

Stop trolling https://vbelections.vbgov.com/ballots

[Non Swing Voter]

Well one thing is for sure, PredictIt thinks this data is good for T-Mac.  He just hit 61c.

[Gass3268]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

He’s claiming it’s out of presidential turnout, not 2017, as in on track to exceed 2020 numbers. Doesn’t sound believable lol

oh good catch.  that would be high turnout.  can anyone confirm this? 

There is no way of knowing how good a precinct was for a given candidate in 2020 as Virginia did not allocate its pre-election day votes back to their precincts.

[LimoLiberal]

Worst news for Youngkin yet, I would say:

You could argue because there was such little early voting in these counties they should have the highest increase in turnout % over the day.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455611282158243841

[Senator Incitatus]

A win is a win no matter what. A 2 point win is not "pathetic" or a loss. It's a win. Full stop.

It's a missed opportunity for Republicans but it is still pathetic for McAuliffe.

[KaiserDave]

Stop! Checking! Twitter!

[Non Swing Voter]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

He’s claiming it’s out of presidential turnout, not 2017, as in on track to exceed 2020 numbers. Doesn’t sound believable lol

oh good catch.  that would be high turnout.  can anyone confirm this? 

There is no way of knowing how good a precinct was for a given candidate in 2020 as Virginia did not allocate its pre-election day votes back to their precincts.

Oh right!  LOL even I got fooled by lying GOP tweets now.

[lfromnj]

Things starting to look very positive for Youngkin:

https://twitter.com/MattEMiller/status/1455607491358769153

Yeah game over that R areas in a D state are at 89% of 2017 turnout when a few D areas have already surpassed 100% turnout...

He’s claiming it’s out of presidential turnout, not 2017, as in on track to exceed 2020 numbers. Doesn’t sound believable lol

oh good catch.  that would be high turnout.  can anyone confirm this? 

There is no way of knowing how good a precinct was for a given candidate in 2020 as Virginia did not allocate its pre-election day votes back to their precincts.

If you want an estimate of %, Kaine for NOVA  and Richmond and shift it like 2 points R, Northam for Hampton Roads /Southside/Shenandoah.

Nothing really gets SW VA though.

[BG-NY]

Worst news for Youngkin yet, I would say:

You could argue because there was such little early voting in these counties they should have the highest increase in turnout % over the day.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455611282158243841

The rural turnout just isn’t there without Trump.

[Non Swing Voter]

Worst news for Youngkin yet, I would say:

You could argue because there was such little early voting in these counties they should have the highest increase in turnout % over the day.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455611282158243841

Agree but also important to note that a lot of those counties, Buchanan included, have lost population and registered voters since 2017 (I made a thread on this).