Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration (user search)
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  Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration (search mode)
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Author Topic: Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration  (Read 339599 times)
KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« on: November 11, 2020, 11:34:13 PM »
Quote from: I need an explanation on November 11, 2020, 10:25:41 PM
Let’s just hope Corey Stewart doesn’t does try to run again.

So we can get a wonderful 2018-VA SEN map yes he should.
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2020, 08:44:14 AM »
I hope TMac runs because then we win
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2020, 09:40:11 PM »
Lee Carter wouldn't win the primary, but if he won the primary somehow. This race would still be Tilt D or more.
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #3 on: November 28, 2020, 01:21:51 PM »
Big respect to Bigfoot man
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2020, 01:46:54 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 05, 2020, 01:45:10 PM


I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2020, 01:54:33 PM »
Quote from: Make America Neoliberal Again on December 05, 2020, 01:52:42 PM
Quote from: KaiserDave on December 05, 2020, 01:46:54 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 05, 2020, 01:45:10 PM


I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

Virginia is also likely to have the stronger Dem nominee.

How popular is Phil Murphy?
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #6 on: December 05, 2020, 02:15:06 PM »
Quote from: Make America Neoliberal Again on December 05, 2020, 02:13:52 PM
Quote from: KaiserDave on December 05, 2020, 01:54:33 PM
Quote from: Make America Neoliberal Again on December 05, 2020, 01:52:42 PM
Quote from: KaiserDave on December 05, 2020, 01:46:54 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 05, 2020, 01:45:10 PM


I've said it before and I'll say it again. Republicans are way more likely to flip New Jersey next year.

Yep, although they will flip neither.

Virginia is also likely to have the stronger Dem nominee.

How popular is Phil Murphy?

Moderate. He has many of the same problems as Cuomo, in that he maintained an extremely strict approach to Covid well beyond when the state was in a crisis situation, horribly botched the nursing home situation, and has been caught in a few hypocrisies along the way. He'd be vulnerable if the Republicans had a candidate who could unite the opposition, peel off some centrist Dems, and avoid coming off like a wingnut...but they don't.

I'd say he has roughly a 70% chance of re-election, while McAuliffe would have a roughly 95% chance at winning his second term.

Sounds right

Interesting in terms of the comparison to Cuomo. I'm pretty sure I'd prefer Murphy to Cuomo though.
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #7 on: December 05, 2020, 04:19:56 PM »
The VAGOP is truly pathetic
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #8 on: December 05, 2020, 05:30:57 PM »
Lol VAGOP is dead
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #9 on: December 09, 2020, 10:33:33 AM »
Tmac is in
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #10 on: December 09, 2020, 10:55:50 AM »
I’m gonna enjoy seeing TMac smack Carter around
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #11 on: December 09, 2020, 06:44:50 PM »
TMac is inevitable and people need to accept this now so we don't have 11 months of "MCAULLIFE/DEMS IN DISARRAY" takes, and then utter silence when he wins by 10 (or if Amanda Chase follows through), much much more.
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #12 on: December 15, 2020, 08:58:21 AM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on December 15, 2020, 08:36:47 AM
Quote from: Chips on December 14, 2020, 09:20:58 AM
Probably looking at a Likely D race. I'll predict the margin to be 8 points.

I doubt that the democratic candidate would win by eight points if Cox is the republican nominee, yeah it’s true that in 2017 Northam won by 9 points but the climate should be less dem friendly than four years ago.

If trends are strong enough, which in Virginia they very much are, it's very possible the Dem this year outperforms Northam.
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #13 on: January 01, 2021, 12:14:07 PM »
Yawn
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #14 on: January 08, 2021, 11:00:04 AM »
Virginia is Safe D and I will say this until the end of time
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #15 on: February 13, 2021, 05:27:50 PM »
Safe D with anyone besides Fairfax and maaaaybe Carter nothing to see here
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #16 on: February 27, 2021, 04:38:48 PM »
I’m very excited for the inevitable “tossup/lean D” takes this year
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #17 on: March 04, 2021, 12:10:41 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on March 04, 2021, 10:38:33 AM


Big slap in the face to Herring.

Top 10 Anime Betrayals
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #18 on: March 04, 2021, 12:11:13 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on March 04, 2021, 10:43:18 AM
So, Herring's bid is pretty much done, right? I remember that he had extremely weak fundraising numbers posted some pages back. The blackface stuff seems to have finished him off, while Northam has recovered because his performance in office is solid. If he was able to run again, he'd probably win reelection (while McAuliffe doesn't challenge him).

Northam is actually a good Governor, so yeah the horrendous affair with the yearbook didn't finish him off.
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #19 on: May 04, 2021, 05:19:20 PM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on May 04, 2021, 05:37:14 AM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on May 02, 2021, 10:42:02 PM
Quote from: jimmie on April 27, 2021, 05:56:10 AM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on April 26, 2021, 10:45:18 PM
Quote from: America Needs Kali on April 26, 2021, 05:41:44 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on April 26, 2021, 05:28:20 PM
has the VA GOP clown car primary happened yet?

It's a state convention, not a primary, and it's scheduled for May 8. 


But it is a clown car and that's what matters most.

Oh, I think Youngkin or Kirk Cox could defeat Justin Fairfax. At very least Fairfax would be an underwood.

Right now I predict Terry Mcauliffe winning by 3% or so.

I predict Terry Mcauliffe winning by 15 if it's Trump in heels as his opponent, if it's one of those fake moderate businessmen then I think he wins by 8-10. 

More like 5/6. It's not 2017 anymore.
True, it won't be 5/6 and it's not 2017 anymore. Virginia has become far bluer!
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #20 on: May 10, 2021, 01:32:28 PM »
Oh my god are people actually caring about this
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #21 on: May 10, 2021, 04:12:35 PM »
This race is obviously Safe D why is anyone bothering
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #22 on: May 10, 2021, 09:45:04 PM »
Safe D (sane, normal)
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2021, 06:59:30 PM »
Lol Carter
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #24 on: June 08, 2021, 08:05:00 PM »
Glorious night
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