Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[It’s so Joever]

What kind of grace period will progressives give the man who saved us from Trump?

Progressives don't owe Biden jack sh**t.

True, but you really aren’t a true progressive.

[It’s so Joever]

Judging from the results of this poll, Biden has become less well known now that he is the president of the United States (well elect)
Makes sense.

[It’s so Joever]

I think Biden would be best positioned to just ride the fundamentals.
The post-Covid boom is going to begin worldwide over the next year, and I do think it will be a different era to what we are in now. Polarization will prevent any true “boom”-level approval ratings, but he should be able to hold on overall.
I doubt he will pas much policy, although I honest look question whether that will actually matter to the average American moron.

[It’s so Joever]

Infact I just checked.  Ranking presidents by their approval ratings at the time of their midterms since 1990:

1998: Bill Clinton - (+5 house, 0 senate) - 65% approval rating
2002: George W Bush - (+8 house, +2 senate) - 62% approval rating
1990: George HW Bush - (-8 house, -1 senate) - 55% approval rating
1994: Bill Clinton - (-54 house, -8 senate) - 45% approval rating
2010: Barack Obama - (-63 house, -6 senate) - 45% approval rating
2014: Barack Obama - (-13 house, -9 senate) - 42% approval rating
2018: Donald Trump - (-41 house, +2 senate) - 42% approval rating
2006: George W Bush - (-31 house, -5 senate) - 37% approval rating

People are saying "no one will pay attention to Biden's approval ratings like they did for Trump", I certainly would be a bit weary if Biden's numbers are in the 40s come the Fall of 2022.

The break even point looks like around 55-60%.

I'd normally agree with this take, but too many uncertainties and its clear the political dynamics at play are unique to the current time period. Polarization seems to be at a near record high as well.

Polarization was very high under Obama too.  Didn't stop him from getting 'shellacked'.

People seem to assume that democrats will maintain their ridiculously high level turnout they've had in the past 4 years during Trumps presidency and transfer it easily into Biden's presidency which I really find optimistic.

I think what will be a good indicator is are cable news ratings, namely CNN and MSNBC, fundraising etc.  If some of that drops, then it could be sign that people are tuning out now that Trump has gone.  He was the ultimate fear factor who drove opposition turnout to insane levels.

Looking at turnout in the past 3 midterms:

2010: 42%
2014: 37%
2018: 49%

If you were to ask me whether I'd put money on over/under 45%, I'd go under.

Eh...not really.
Things have changed and I think turnout will be higher than thought on both sides. People are now paying attention to politics, and that shift will only subside some. I expect turnout to be higher in general over these next few years.
Whether that helps Dems or the terrorists, that remains to be seen.

[It’s so Joever]

This is wild. Just wow.

Shy Trump effect.

[It’s so Joever]

Gotta love how there are more Trump approval posts on the Biden approval page than actual Biden approval related posts.

[It’s so Joever]

I was talking about naysayers, we are in the early stages of Biden Prez and they are not gonna be steller until we start moving legislation

Pls respond

[It’s so Joever]

The same polls which had Biden winning Texas...

[It’s so Joever]

New Monmouth poll...

Biden more popular than Trump ever was-

Approve: 54%
Disapprove: 30%

Approval of Congress spikes-

Approve: 35% (+12)
Disapprove: 51% (-13)

Also...
61% of Americans say they are somewhat or very optimistic about the policies Biden will pursue.


https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_012721/

A 24% Monmouth margin is equal to a 4% margin in real terms.

[It’s so Joever]

IBD is pretty non-hackish, that’s good to witness.

[It’s so Joever]

WOW, Morning Consult/POLITICO has him at 62/33 this week. Nearly +30.

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000177-a857-d644-a377-eedf501c0000

Despite what the pundit class is saying, people are liking what they're seeing so far.

Just...be quiet. You are literally a bloomer hack.

[It’s so Joever]

St. Leo is a joke pollster.

They were off by 10 points each in FL and nationally ...

Well, if they are ten points again, relatively speaking, that's still pretty good for Bide in such a disgrace of a state.

Disgrace of a state = State which doesn't quite vote the way I'd like it to

Correct.
No excuse for voting for Trump.

[It’s so Joever]

Didn’t UT-Tyler show Biden leading there? Or am I mixing up my 2020 polls?

[It’s so Joever]

Biden back over 60%, thank you America!!

With Biden at 51 Rs can forget about taking 15/20 seats, the D are starting a wave and the wave will depend on the Recovery, we can wind back to 230 and 52/54 Senate seats

.at least it won't be a 2014 cycle, R 5 cycle, like Rs hopef it would be

This is called a honeymoon period, and will likely be over soon.

At least it probably won't last two years.

Plus the polls are likely off. Remember those 2020 election polls?

[It’s so Joever]

Nevada - WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal
February 26-March 1
500 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

Approve 47%
Disapprove 40%
Not sure 12%

https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/the-nevada-poll-nevadans-give-biden-sisolak-favorable-marks-2293284/

Yep, we are losing NV Senate.
I am calling it.

[It’s so Joever]

Monmouth
February 25-March 1
802 adults
MoE: 3.5%

Changes with January 2021

Approve 51% (-3)
Disapprove 42% (+12)
No opinion 8% (-8)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_us_030321.pdf/

Oh dear god.
At this rate we will be having a 2010 midterm.

[It’s so Joever]

PBrower would be touting Obama as the new FDR in 2009.

[It’s so Joever]

F**k this country. We deserve to fail, I will enjoy the suffering of other Americans at this point.

Fück you. You deserve to fail, I will enjoy the suffering of you at this point.

Agreed.

[It’s so Joever]

Are you seriously trashing Trafalgar after 2020?

[It’s so Joever]

Wow, even the dumbest state in the union approves of our President!
https://twitter.com/_dinger_s/status/1371494001329770500?s=21

!

[It’s so Joever]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

It is obviously far too early to tell whether this approval rating will hold, but should it hold President Biden is looking into an electoral victory in which he gets about 400 electoral votes. This is the zone in which the President gets 53-57% of the popular vote, and President Biden would look into an Eisenhower-scale win in popular votes.

President Biden has so far dodged controversy well. It is still early. Nobody successfully dodges controversy predictably and reliably as President.

Trump was never at this level, and if it isn't quite near the top for Obama, it is within the Obama range. Obama got re-elected decisively.

Dude...can we not?

[It’s so Joever]

*One good poll from NC exists.*

"Biden is the Democratic Reagan and we will get  nut map in 2022."

[It’s so Joever]

One state, but it is electorally huge as it is near the national average and will be an absolute must-win for any Republican nominee for President. North Carolina, Meredith.

  Political Leaders
Approval of President
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Response Number Percentage
Strongly approve 229 30.5
Approve 185 25
Disapprove 82 11.5
Somewhat disapprove 168 28.0
Don’t know/refused to
answer
35 5.0
N=699

Approval of Governor
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Roy Cooper is handling his job as
governor?
Response Number Percentage
Strongly approve 188 24.8
Approve 212 27.3
Disapprove 121 19.6
Somewhat disapprove 130 21.4
Don’t know/refused to
answer
48 6.9
N=699

Roy Cooper is the incumbent Democrat. He is in a strong position.

Now, partisan identification, and it does not look good for the GOP in North Carolina:

Political Party

What political party do you most identify with?
Response Number Percentage
Democratic 297 42.5
Republican 212 30.3
Other 33 4.7
Unaffiliated 147 21
Refused/No answer 10 1.4
N=699

https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/Meredith_Poll_Report_Spring_2021_final.pdf

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

50% green shade: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+


It is approval ratings, and not favorability ratings. Favorability ratings are relevant when they are blatant  (as in states that are not close and usually do not get polled, like New York Rhode Island or Oklahoma) because the states rarely decide an election, but they always must defer to approval. Would I use a favorability rating for Illinois? Sure. Wisconsin? Absolutely not.

Remember when Roy Cooper was supposed to win in a landslide in 2020 according to polling?
I do.

[It’s so Joever]

Do y’all not understand Biden could cure cancer, make America the best place to live in the World, and build a giant railway that serves the coasts and still would lose in the midterms. It’s not about policy, Americans are too stupid for that. Heck, Americans are too stupid to even vote based on their pocketbook.

[It’s so Joever]

Biden’s approval is not 65 like the liberal media says.

It’s 50-52%, not afar from Trump’s in the same period.

And no, he doesn’t have a +16 approval rating in Arizona, especially with the border crisis.

You are right, the communist GOP party has done a great job smearing our president! There is no way at least 45% of the country isn’t succumbed to this Stalinesque propaganda by Sinclair.