Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[prag_prog]

Biden's approval with Jews is at 70%.

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1570457467254935552

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fox news have D's ahead on GCB 44/41 it was R+7 on May Matty posted it R+7 you barely hear from him now BIG IF TRUE

He made only one post on R+1 NV poll


https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-inflation-abortion-motivating-voter-turnout

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's definitely a 65/60M EDay 303 map but in 2012/2018 we won red states and in 2020 we won 80/75M and won blue states but GA and AZ in both Edays turned Red to blue that's the difference we are definitely gonna get 303 but we can win more so all these Approvals aren't that necessary because on You tube on Eday 2012 they said it's a 65/60M EDay and 2016/18 we had 65/60 Hillary just fell short

[LostInOhio]

A 45% approval at this time as several pollsters place it would put him ahead of Reagan, Clinton and Obama.

I would say there’s an outside chance we may see something close to a landslide in ‘24 against Trump if inflation recedes further and the economy is perceived to be good on Election Day. I have no doubt this will be controversial but there are many blaring red alarms for the GOP at this time and there has been no effort to fix any of the things currently causing it.

[Progressive Pessimist]

A 45% approval at this time as several pollsters place it would put him ahead of Reagan, Clinton and Obama.

I would say there’s an outside chance we may see something close to a landslide in ‘24 against Trump if inflation recedes further and the economy is perceived to be good on Election Day. I have no doubt this will be controversial but there are many blaring red alarms for the GOP at this time and there has been no effort to fix any of the things currently causing it.

We're still too polarized for landslides to happen anymore. Best case scenario: Biden wins with the 2020 map plus North Carolina and between 5 and 5.5% in the popular vote.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Biden's approval with Jews is at 70%.

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1570457467254935552

Not surprising. Jews lean moderate liberal.

[wbrocks67]

NYT/Siena

42% approve (+9)
53% disapprove (-7)

(compared with their July poll)

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/16/us/politics/biden-democrats-abortion-trump-poll.html

[Sir Mohamed]

Biden's approval with Jews is at 70%.

https://twitter.com/jacobkornbluh/status/1570457467254935552

Not surprising. Jews lean moderate liberal.

Yup, except for orthodox jews, which strongly lean right. That's just a minority of jews though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Johnson back ahead in his own internal I don't know what to believe ANYMORE, 49/45, I know it's a 303 map but the Border has gone totally out of control and Vance is now ahead +4

https://www.politico.com/minutes/congress/09-14-2022/rick-scotts-lunch-news/

I know Biden hasn't visited the border because he wanted immigration reform and when Obama left office the Border  was the most secure and under Trump, but now it's a total mess that's why I am glad I stopped donating

[GeorgiaModerate]

NBC News, Sep. 9-13, 1000 RV (change from August)

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 52 (-3)

Strongly approve 19 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

GCB: D 46 (+1), R 46 (-1)

[It’s so Joever]

Keep in mind this is still a tied GCB even with the very likely D bias in polling.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Keep in mind this is still a tied GCB even with the very likely D bias in polling.

Well, the GCB average isn't tied; don't focus too much on any single poll.  But it should also be noted that NBC doesn't seem to have a D bias; they've consistently been one of the weaker high-quality pollsters for Biden/D's.

[Gass3268]

Keep in mind this is still a tied GCB even with the very likely D bias in polling.

Well, the GCB average isn't tied; don't focus too much on any single poll.  But it should also be noted that NBC doesn't seem to have a D bias; they've consistently been one of the weaker high-quality pollsters for Biden/D's.

Where is this myth of D bias in polling coming from? There wasn't one in the last two midterms.

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult's latest update on its midterm tracker has Biden at 47/52

https://morningconsult.com/2022-midterm-elections-tracker/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I also think that little bump they gotten last week was temporary due to  Elizabeth II funeral coverage now it's back to reality Rs are just running off of Gerrymandering

Rick Scott said he is certain Rs are taking control of Sen no they're not

[wbrocks67]

538 average:

Adults/all polls
42.5% approve / 52.8% disapprove (-10.3)

RV/LV
43.1% approve / 52.5% disapprove (-9.4)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://morningconsult.com/2022-midterm-elections-tracker/

D's are 48/45 on GCB so the Approvals don't matter that much

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult/POLITICO
46% approve
52% disapprove

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000183-5be6-da48-a3e3-fbe72d550000

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Morning Consult/POLITICO
46% approve
52% disapprove

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000183-5be6-da48-a3e3-fbe72d550000

How much change from the last one?

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult/POLITICO
46% approve
52% disapprove

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000183-5be6-da48-a3e3-fbe72d550000

How much change from the last one?

Pretty big jump, their release last week as 43/55.

https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2022/09/13132410/2209050_crosstabs_POLITICO_RVs_v1_09-14-22_SH.pdf

Usually they release the full one on Wednesdays, and this one only has certain questions, so it's possible they have two releases this week. Either way, it's a jump from last week.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rally around the flag around Biden that was gonna come anyways, it was never gonna be a. 2010/14Eday that was no prepandemic it was always a 303 map with wave insurance no matter how low Biden polls gotten

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 17-20, 1500 adults including 1318 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (-1)
 
Strongly approve 18 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (nc)

RV:

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-1)

Strongly approve 20 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 45 (+2), R 40 (+1)

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Ras 46

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult/POLITICO
46% approve
52% disapprove

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000183-5be6-da48-a3e3-fbe72d550000

Okay so this was the official release this week, so this is a considerable improvement from last week (43/55)

[Sir Mohamed]

Morning Consult/POLITICO
46% approve
52% disapprove

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000183-5be6-da48-a3e3-fbe72d550000

Okay so this was the official release this week, so this is a considerable improvement from last week (43/55)

I guess that's what the post-Labor Day return of the red wave looks like.

Kidding aside, though, I was skeptical myself this holds. I may be proven wrong, though we need to remember the GOP doesn't need a huge shift to take the House and just a little more to contest the senate.