CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Smith's state assembly district actually flipped to the GOP, as well.. lol.

[Matty]

Why does predictit favor tenney right now?

[KaiserDave]

Why does predictit favor tenney right now?

Because predictit is full of morons.

[WD]

Christy Smith will be joining Amy McGrath, Robby Mook, and Cal Cunningham in the gulag.

Don't forget Shalala!

And Cisneros!

[Roll Roons]

Smith's state assembly district actually flipped to the GOP, as well.. lol.

Yeah lol. Democrats managed to get locked out of the top-two. Things have really gone downhill for Democrats in this area since Katie Hill’s resignation. Not only did they get locked out of Smith’s assembly seat, only for her to lose the special and possibly the general, but they also failed to knock off a Republican State Senator whose district largely overlaps with CA-25.

[VAR]

Dems lost Margaret Good's Florida Senate seat too

Edit: It's a House seat

[Young Conservative]

Dems lost Margaret Good's Florida Senate seat too

A House seat, but yes they lost it just so good could lose by more than Biden lost the district I think lol.

[2016]

Why does predictit favor tenney right now?

About 1,500 Ballots were rejected from Oneida County! Not sure how many Ballots are left but if this happens in other Counties in the District as well Brindisi's Chances are going down in a hurry!

[StateBoiler]

Christy Smith will be joining Amy McGrath, Robby Mook, and Cal Cunningham in the gulag.

Don't forget Shalala!

Ah! Of course. Queen DMP will not, as she did well given how Biden did and is cool.

Who else who else hmmmm. Jamie Harrison perhaps?

Harrison has talked about running for DNC Chair.

[Mr.Phips]

Dems lost Margaret Good's Florida Senate seat too

A House seat, but yes they lost it just so good could lose by more than Biden lost the district I think lol.

Good probably would have lost re-election anyway.

[KaiserDave]

Christy Smith will be joining Amy McGrath, Robby Mook, and Cal Cunningham in the gulag.

Don't forget Shalala!

Ah! Of course. Queen DMP will not, as she did well given how Biden did and is cool.

Who else who else hmmmm. Jamie Harrison perhaps?

Harrison has talked about running for DNC Chair.

Nope. Don't like that.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1329853142884777985

If Garcia holds his lead and she runs in 2022, they should shun her completely

The fck?

[iceman]

Even if Bridinsi wins this year, he is for sure a lost cause come 2022.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Even if Bridinsi wins this year, he is for sure a lost cause come 2022.

That depends on redistricting. NY Dems will probably have the numbers for a gerrymander.

[2016]

Judge has ordered that Final Vote Totals in NY-22 must be reported by Monday
https://www.syracuse.com/politics/2020/11/judge-counties-must-report-final-vote-totals-monday-in-brindisi-tenney-house-race.html

[BudgieForce]

In 2018, it seemed like all the nail biters went towards the democrats. Guess its the opposite this year.

[VAR]

TX CDs presidential/congressional results:

TX-02: Trump (R) +1, Crenshaw (R) +13
TX-03: Trump (R) +1, Taylor (R) +12
TX-06: Trump (R) +3, Wright (R) +9
TX-07: Biden (D) +9, Fletcher (D) +3
TX-10: Trump (R) +2, McCaul (R) +7
TX-21: Trump (R) +3, Roy (R) +7
TX-22: Trump (R) +1, Nehls (R) +7
TX-23: Trump (R) +2, Gonzales (R) +4
TX-24: Biden (D) +5, Van Duyne (R) +1
TX-25: Trump (R) +10, Williams (R) +14
TX-31: Trump (R) +3, Carter (R) +9
TX-32: Biden (D) +10, Allred (D) +6

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1329879767353593868

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1329886920613142528

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

TX CDs presidential/congressional results:

TX-02: Trump (R) +1, Crenshaw (R) +13
TX-03: Trump (R) +1, Taylor (R) +12
TX-06: Trump (R) +3, Wright (R) +9
TX-07: Biden (D) +9, Fletcher (D) +3
TX-10: Trump (R) +2, McCaul (R) +7
TX-21: Trump (R) +3, Roy (R) +7
TX-22: Trump (R) +1, Nehls (R) +7
TX-23: Trump (R) +2, Gonzales (R) +4
TX-24: Biden (D) +5, Van Duyne (R) +1
TX-25: Trump (R) +10, Williams (R) +14
TX-31: Trump (R) +3, Carter (R) +9
TX-32: Biden (D) +10, Allred (D) +6

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1329879767353593868

And we've spent the last 2/4 years hearing about how incumbency advantage, ticket-splitting, and candidate quality no longer matter.

[Young Conservative]

TX CDs presidential/congressional results:

TX-02: Trump (R) +1, Crenshaw (R) +13
TX-03: Trump (R) +1, Taylor (R) +12
TX-06: Trump (R) +3, Wright (R) +9
TX-07: Biden (D) +9, Fletcher (D) +3
TX-10: Trump (R) +2, McCaul (R) +7
TX-21: Trump (R) +3, Roy (R) +7
TX-22: Trump (R) +1, Nehls (R) +7
TX-23: Trump (R) +2, Gonzales (R) +4
TX-24: Biden (D) +5, Van Duyne (R) +1
TX-25: Trump (R) +10, Williams (R) +14
TX-31: Trump (R) +3, Carter (R) +9
TX-32: Biden (D) +10, Allred (D) +6

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1329879767353593868

Based on these House numbers, I think Democrats are making a very poor bargain when they think they are trading suburbanites for working class Americans and Hispanics.

I would not be confident with these numbers that suburbanites will not swing back Republicans hard in a Haley/DeSantis/Hawley Vs. Harris or really just "anyone not trump" Vs. a liberal democrat matchup.

[Meatball Ron]

Even if Bridinsi wins this year, he is for sure a lost cause come 2022.

That depends on redistricting. NY Dems will probably have the numbers for a gerrymander.

Yep on the contrary - if Tenney wins, good shot this district gets carved up and the liberal parts added into NY-24, positioning Brindisi to make a comeback by taking out Katko

[Roll Roons]

TX CDs presidential/congressional results:

TX-02: Trump (R) +1, Crenshaw (R) +13
TX-03: Trump (R) +1, Taylor (R) +12
TX-06: Trump (R) +3, Wright (R) +9
TX-07: Biden (D) +9, Fletcher (D) +3
TX-10: Trump (R) +2, McCaul (R) +7
TX-21: Trump (R) +3, Roy (R) +7
TX-22: Trump (R) +1, Nehls (R) +7
TX-23: Trump (R) +2, Gonzales (R) +4
TX-24: Biden (D) +5, Van Duyne (R) +1
TX-25: Trump (R) +10, Williams (R) +14
TX-31: Trump (R) +3, Carter (R) +9
TX-32: Biden (D) +10, Allred (D) +6

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1329879767353593868

I guess trends are less real downballot. Would be very curious about the numbers in NJ.

[Calthrina950]

TX CDs presidential/congressional results:

TX-02: Trump (R) +1, Crenshaw (R) +13
TX-03: Trump (R) +1, Taylor (R) +12
TX-06: Trump (R) +3, Wright (R) +9
TX-07: Biden (D) +9, Fletcher (D) +3
TX-10: Trump (R) +2, McCaul (R) +7
TX-21: Trump (R) +3, Roy (R) +7
TX-22: Trump (R) +1, Nehls (R) +7
TX-23: Trump (R) +2, Gonzales (R) +4
TX-24: Biden (D) +5, Van Duyne (R) +1
TX-25: Trump (R) +10, Williams (R) +14
TX-31: Trump (R) +3, Carter (R) +9
TX-32: Biden (D) +10, Allred (D) +6

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1329879767353593868

And we've spent the last 2/4 years hearing about how incumbency advantage, ticket-splitting, and candidate quality no longer matter.

Biden outperformed every single House Democrat on this list, including incumbents Fletcher and Allred. Ticket-splitting, such as it was this year, benefited downballot Republicans, not Democrats, in the vast majority of cases.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/JRosenblattTV/status/1329888636448477184?s=19

In regards to NY-22..

[Xing]

TX CDs presidential/congressional results:

TX-02: Trump (R) +1, Crenshaw (R) +13
TX-03: Trump (R) +1, Taylor (R) +12
TX-06: Trump (R) +3, Wright (R) +9
TX-07: Biden (D) +9, Fletcher (D) +3
TX-10: Trump (R) +2, McCaul (R) +7
TX-21: Trump (R) +3, Roy (R) +7
TX-22: Trump (R) +1, Nehls (R) +7
TX-23: Trump (R) +2, Gonzales (R) +4
TX-24: Biden (D) +5, Van Duyne (R) +1
TX-25: Trump (R) +10, Williams (R) +14
TX-31: Trump (R) +3, Carter (R) +9
TX-32: Biden (D) +10, Allred (D) +6

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1329879767353593868

And we've spent the last 2/4 years hearing about how incumbency advantage, ticket-splitting, and candidate quality no longer matter.

Biden outperformed every single House Democrat on this list, including incumbents Fletcher and Allred. Ticket-splitting, such as it was this year, benefited downballot Republicans, not Democrats, in the vast majority of cases.

This is what happens when Democrats make it all about Trump, and act as though he's an anomaly.