CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD
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  CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD
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Author Topic: CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD  (Read 66983 times)
Pericles
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« Reply #2200 on: January 09, 2021, 02:17:04 PM »

It's pretty weird how most of the close Senate races were Democratic wins, even in a 50-50 Senate where they lost most of the races that were seen as competitive before the election. Democrats won 4 Senate seats by under 5%*, while North Carolina was the only Republican victory that was under 5%.** Lots of seats that were seen as competitive beforehand like Montana, Iowa, Maine, and even seats that were seen as Lean R like South Carolina, Kansas and Texas all ended up being easy Republican wins. This is just another example of the effects of the big polling error, and how 2020 was such a weird election.

*This is using the runoff margin for Georgia regular, but the point is even stronger if you use the 0.28% that Perdue came from an outright majority in the general.
**Maybe with IRV Susan Collins' real margin of victory was under 5%, but this is unlikely.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2201 on: January 21, 2021, 04:32:28 AM »

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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2202 on: January 21, 2021, 10:25:41 AM »

The NYBOE was a mistake
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2203 on: January 21, 2021, 12:28:51 PM »

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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #2204 on: January 21, 2021, 01:53:48 PM »


Am I stupid or didn't they already do that?
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #2205 on: January 21, 2021, 11:00:23 PM »


No, the Administration Committee has been undertaking an investigation, but Miller-Meeks was 'provisionally' seated in the meantime ('provisionally' because there's a hypothetical chance Hart somehow pulls through as a result of the Committee's investigation, but she has the same exact rights as any other House member).
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