CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD (user search)
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  CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD (search mode)
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Author Topic: CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD  (Read 66991 times)
Young Conservative
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« on: November 04, 2020, 01:08:37 AM »

Race called by AP for Ann Wagner
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Young Conservative
youngconservative
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 11:12:24 AM »

Biden appears to have won FL27 by just 3 and lost FL26 by over 3. He also probably lost several of the Hispanic majority seats in the rio grande valley. Absolutely massive swings. 
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2020, 07:00:07 PM »

SLCo just dumped 17k ballots and it only decreased Owens lead by 60 votes

That is an awful sign for mcadams

NYT has McAdams up by 1600, where are you getting your numbers?
They are talking about this vote dump. McAdams needs a bigger lead than her currently has to overcome the rest of the suburban/exurban dumps remaining. The fact he only netted 60 in the most liberal part of the district is not good.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2020, 07:29:14 PM »

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Young Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2020, 05:14:37 PM »

not congressional but the GOP flipped its first statewide race in PA in decades. Stacy Garrity defeated Incumbent Treasurer Joe Torsella.

https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pennsylvania-treasurer-joe-torsella-loses-republican-stacy-garrity-20201110.html
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2020, 06:54:37 PM »

I genuinely don't know what I'm talking about, but since this recent drop was from Ventura county, isnt this semi-good news for Smith? There's plenty out from Los Angeles that could help her retake the lead.

Not sure. I imagine the race is in recount territory

It is insane to me that Garcia isn’t running away with this, despite the repubs doing very well nationally in house races.

What happened here?
North LA suburbs are very different from Orange county.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2020, 05:32:20 PM »

This article has 21,000 outstanding absentees and affidavits in Broome County (Binghamton), where Brindisi leads 51-46 on the initial count. That's more ballots outstanding than I saw reported previously and potentially good news for him.

http://www.wicz.com/story/42905524/broome-county-starts-the-absentee-ballot-count-races-tightening
He really needs to do much better than that to win.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2020, 01:55:20 PM »

Dems lost Margaret Good's Florida Senate seat too
A House seat, but yes they lost it just so good could lose by more than Biden lost the district I think lol.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2020, 03:50:51 PM »

TX CDs presidential/congressional results:

TX-02: Trump (R) +1, Crenshaw (R) +13
TX-03: Trump (R) +1, Taylor (R) +12
TX-06: Trump (R) +3, Wright (R) +9
TX-07: Biden (D) +9, Fletcher (D) +3
TX-10: Trump (R) +2, McCaul (R) +7
TX-21: Trump (R) +3, Roy (R) +7
TX-22: Trump (R) +1, Nehls (R) +7
TX-23: Trump (R) +2, Gonzales (R) +4
TX-24: Biden (D) +5, Van Duyne (R) +1
TX-25: Trump (R) +10, Williams (R) +14
TX-31: Trump (R) +3, Carter (R) +9
TX-32: Biden (D) +10, Allred (D) +6

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1329879767353593868
Based on these House numbers, I think Democrats are making a very poor bargain when they think they are trading suburbanites for working class Americans and Hispanics.

I would not be confident with these numbers that suburbanites will not swing back Republicans hard in a Haley/DeSantis/Hawley Vs. Harris or really just "anyone not trump" Vs. a liberal democrat matchup.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #9 on: November 27, 2020, 06:28:29 PM »



Beat me to it!

I've almost seen enough here. According to Twitter rumors, there's around 2000 LA ballots left in CA-25, and Smith would need to get over 60% of those to take the lead. She hasn't really hit that mark in any of the previous dumps.
Aren't there some ballots left in ventura too? A hundred or so?
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #10 on: November 30, 2020, 12:03:30 PM »



wasn't Brindisi up by like 100 votes at the last count?
No, he was up by 12.
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