What's more likely to flip?
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  What's more likely to flip?
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Question: ?
#1
GA-Sen 2022
 
#2
PA-Sen 2022
 
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Total Voters: 64

Author Topic: What's more likely to flip?  (Read 2097 times)
lfromnj
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« on: January 20, 2021, 11:06:41 PM »
« edited: January 20, 2021, 11:17:20 PM by lfromnj »

I think they are equally about as likely to flip.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1 on: January 20, 2021, 11:09:17 PM »

Pennsylvania, though in all likelihood neither will
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WD
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« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2021, 11:29:02 PM »

PA, but the chance of either flipping is pretty low.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2021, 12:25:22 AM »

PA, very narrowly.
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AndyHogan14
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« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2021, 12:40:07 AM »

PA

Only because I think Abrams' coattails will be too much to overcome in Georgia and who the hell is going to run against Warnock? GA is lean D. As far as PA is concerned, I think it's a tossup/tilt R at this point.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2021, 10:42:46 AM »

GA-Sen IMO, I think people forget the nature of off years and how both PA and GA voted notably to the right of the nation.

It'll be interesting to see if Democrat's strong ground game in GA continues and how much canidate quality ends up mattering in both races.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2021, 11:35:48 AM »

GA-Sen IMO, I think people forget the nature of off years and how both PA and GA voted notably to the right of the nation.

It'll be interesting to see if Democrat's strong ground game in GA continues and how much canidate quality ends up mattering in both races.



GA is a Runoff and D's can win Runoffs now in GA. Fetterman is the fav in PA
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Red Wall
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« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2021, 01:34:12 PM »

Georgia.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2021, 02:51:27 PM »

GA-Sen IMO, I think people forget the nature of off years and how both PA and GA voted notably to the right of the nation.

It'll be interesting to see if Democrat's strong ground game in GA continues and how much canidate quality ends up mattering in both races.

GA has the benefit of having an incumbent and an electorate that is largely unaffected by the national environment. Deal was one of the few Republican governors to do worse in 2014 than in 2010 despite being uncontroversial his whole tenure.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2021, 03:02:49 PM »

GA-Sen IMO, I think people forget the nature of off years and how both PA and GA voted notably to the right of the nation.

It'll be interesting to see if Democrat's strong ground game in GA continues and how much canidate quality ends up mattering in both races.

GA has the benefit of having an incumbent and an electorate that is largely unaffected by the national environment. Deal was one of the few Republican governors to do worse in 2014 than in 2010 despite being uncontroversial his whole tenure.

You have excuse Progressive Moderate map seriously, Rs aren't gonna sweep every competetive race out there, that's an R dream map.

He is only 15 yrs old, most of us been thru the riggers of college which are liberal institutions and College Professors have PHDs
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coloradocowboi
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« Reply #10 on: January 21, 2021, 03:45:07 PM »

GA-Sen IMO, I think people forget the nature of off years and how both PA and GA voted notably to the right of the nation.

It'll be interesting to see if Democrat's strong ground game in GA continues and how much canidate quality ends up mattering in both races.

GA has the benefit of having an incumbent and an electorate that is largely unaffected by the national environment. Deal was one of the few Republican governors to do worse in 2014 than in 2010 despite being uncontroversial his whole tenure.

You have excuse Progressive Moderate map seriously, Rs aren't gonna sweep every competetive race out there, that's an R dream map.

He is only 15 yrs old, most of us been thru the riggers of college which are liberal institutions and College Professors have PHDs

lmao savage

Yeah, Georgia is not flipping with Stacey Abrams at the top of the ballot. I actually think it will probably be even bluer in 22 than 20. The trends there are devastating for Republicans, and Kemp's primary is going to make things worse for them.

Meanwhile, we've seen that even in GOP wave years (which is not guaranteed what 2022 is gonna be anyway) PA is willing to elect Democrats statewide. Fetterman is a very good recruit, while the GOP's best options would flounder in a primary and they will probably be stuck with someone crazy. Is it a done deal? Absolutely not. But it's definitely more competitive than Georgia
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #11 on: January 21, 2021, 04:01:32 PM »

I'm also thinking Pennsylvania.

Over the past decade, Georgia has been getting worse and worse for Republicans with every passing cycle, regardless of the change in the national environment. That's a problem that won't go away with Trump out of the White House. And there is a real possibility that Republicans nominate lunatics in both states.
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Pericles
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« Reply #12 on: January 21, 2021, 04:12:44 PM »

GA-Sen IMO, I think people forget the nature of off years and how both PA and GA voted notably to the right of the nation.

It'll be interesting to see if Democrat's strong ground game in GA continues and how much canidate quality ends up mattering in both races.

GA has the benefit of having an incumbent and an electorate that is largely unaffected by the national environment. Deal was one of the few Republican governors to do worse in 2014 than in 2010 despite being uncontroversial his whole tenure.

You have excuse Progressive Moderate map seriously, Rs aren't gonna sweep every competetive race out there, that's an R dream map.

He is only 15 yrs old, most of us been thru the riggers of college which are liberal institutions and College Professors have PHDs

lmao savage

Yeah, Georgia is not flipping with Stacey Abrams at the top of the ballot. I actually think it will probably be even bluer in 22 than 20. The trends there are devastating for Republicans, and Kemp's primary is going to make things worse for them.

Meanwhile, we've seen that even in GOP wave years (which is not guaranteed what 2022 is gonna be anyway) PA is willing to elect Democrats statewide. Fetterman is a very good recruit, while the GOP's best options would flounder in a primary and they will probably be stuck with someone crazy. Is it a done deal? Absolutely not. But it's definitely more competitive than Georgia

Technically it could be bluer than 2020 and Warnock still loses, given in the general election the combined Republican vote was 1% higher than the combined Democratic vote.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #13 on: January 21, 2021, 08:57:15 PM »

This is a bit of a non-answer, but I think they'll both vote the same way because strength in both states for the Democrats revolves around urban areas and their suburbs. If the suburbs shift rightward in 2022 then I don't see much of a path for Democrats in either state.
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Yoda
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« Reply #14 on: January 21, 2021, 09:11:00 PM »

Warnock will be sharing the ticket with Stacey Abrams, and likely running against some MTG-like clown. 'Nough said.
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