2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 643766 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #19075 on: November 21, 2020, 06:13:46 AM »

With the certification of PA and MI on Monday (or next week), Trump can basically call it quits.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #19076 on: November 21, 2020, 09:42:17 AM »



It's wild that the biggest controversies have been in states with Dem governors that Biden won by 1%+ while GA and AZ with Republican trifectas have had next to no trouble. 


You're correct about the trifectas, but AZ elections are run by the office of the Arizona Secretary of State, Katie Hobbs, who is a Democrat.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #19077 on: November 21, 2020, 10:41:52 AM »

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #19078 on: November 21, 2020, 11:11:33 AM »

I think you mixed up MT with ID on your map.

MT doesn’t certify until November 30, while ID already did.

https://sosmt.gov/elections/
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G_Master
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« Reply #19079 on: November 21, 2020, 11:18:38 AM »

Is anybody else having a hard time trying to find the Pennsylvania results page?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #19080 on: November 21, 2020, 11:25:36 AM »

Is anybody else having a hard time trying to find the Pennsylvania results page?

https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/

Biden +81k votes.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #19081 on: November 21, 2020, 11:46:16 AM »

With the certification of PA and MI on Monday (or next week), Trump can basically call it quits.

He can, but he won't. 
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Mike88
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« Reply #19082 on: November 21, 2020, 12:04:53 PM »

So, Biden surpassed 11 million votes in California and is just 165,000 votes away from the 80 million mark.
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emailking
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« Reply #19083 on: November 21, 2020, 12:25:16 PM »

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FrancoAgo
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« Reply #19084 on: November 21, 2020, 12:28:22 PM »

Is anybody else having a hard time trying to find the Pennsylvania results page?

Yes already wrote,  i get redirect on
https://www.votespa.com/Voting-in-PA/Pages/Pennsylvania-Voter-Election-Security-Information.aspx
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #19085 on: November 21, 2020, 12:40:03 PM »




Oooooo I'm shaking!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #19086 on: November 21, 2020, 12:43:33 PM »



Part of me is loving how salty he is about losing Georgia (and Georgia, specifically). 
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #19087 on: November 21, 2020, 12:44:03 PM »

Just re-looking at the exits and I wonder if people are misinterpreting the data for race. Perhaps Trump's improvement with Blacks and Hispanics rests solely on his appeals to men? Black and Latino women voted close to how Black and Latino's overall have been voting in the 2010's. What changed was an increase with Black and Latino men - and I'm wondering if this has much less to do with Republican's making racial inroads as opposed to gender and education inroads.

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/03/929478378/understanding-the-2020-electorate-ap-votecast-survey
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #19088 on: November 21, 2020, 12:57:54 PM »



Part of me is loving how salty he is about losing Georgia (and Georgia, specifically). 

I know, right?  I think it's a combination of his campaign being overconfident about it going into the election, as well as his surprise that the Republican machinery didn't steal it for him.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #19089 on: November 21, 2020, 12:59:06 PM »

Just re-looking at the exits and I wonder if people are misinterpreting the data for race. Perhaps Trump's improvement with Blacks and Hispanics rests solely on his appeals to men? Black and Latino women voted close to how Black and Latino's overall have been voting in the 2010's. What changed was an increase with Black and Latino men - and I'm wondering if this has much less to do with Republican's making racial inroads as opposed to gender and education inroads.

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/03/929478378/understanding-the-2020-electorate-ap-votecast-survey

You might be onto something.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #19090 on: November 21, 2020, 01:04:04 PM »


A lot of pages like the PA or OK results pages can’t be accessed from the EU ...
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Mike88
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« Reply #19091 on: November 21, 2020, 01:08:35 PM »

Update on Ohio:

They seem to have stooped updating the absentee vote tally, and so far, Trump continues to lead Biden in those ballots:

Trump +78,277
Biden +74,582
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Panda Express
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« Reply #19092 on: November 21, 2020, 01:15:20 PM »

Pretty funny that any post Trump makes on Facebook, even if it’s not election related, gets flagged with a “Joe Biden won the election” disclaimer. Unsurprisingly, this has the deplorables triggered

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有爭議嘅領土 of The Figgis Agency
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« Reply #19093 on: November 21, 2020, 01:30:26 PM »

Just re-looking at the exits and I wonder if people are misinterpreting the data for race. Perhaps Trump's improvement with Blacks and Hispanics rests solely on his appeals to men? Black and Latino women voted close to how Black and Latino's overall have been voting in the 2010's. What changed was an increase with Black and Latino men - and I'm wondering if this has much less to do with Republican's making racial inroads as opposed to gender and education inroads.

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/03/929478378/understanding-the-2020-electorate-ap-votecast-survey

Trump polling 3% better than Biden on "policing and criminal justicce" is a bit depressing though.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #19094 on: November 21, 2020, 01:53:14 PM »

Just re-looking at the exits and I wonder if people are misinterpreting the data for race. Perhaps Trump's improvement with Blacks and Hispanics rests solely on his appeals to men? Black and Latino women voted close to how Black and Latino's overall have been voting in the 2010's. What changed was an increase with Black and Latino men - and I'm wondering if this has much less to do with Republican's making racial inroads as opposed to gender and education inroads.

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/03/929478378/understanding-the-2020-electorate-ap-votecast-survey

Yet he lost ground with white men, go figure.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #19095 on: November 21, 2020, 01:53:55 PM »

Just re-looking at the exits and I wonder if people are misinterpreting the data for race. Perhaps Trump's improvement with Blacks and Hispanics rests solely on his appeals to men? Black and Latino women voted close to how Black and Latino's overall have been voting in the 2010's. What changed was an increase with Black and Latino men - and I'm wondering if this has much less to do with Republican's making racial inroads as opposed to gender and education inroads.

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/03/929478378/understanding-the-2020-electorate-ap-votecast-survey

Trump polling 3% better than Biden on "policing and criminal justicce" is a bit depressing though.

I think that’s pretty solid proof that the whole “defund the police” thing was bad for us.
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iceman
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« Reply #19096 on: November 21, 2020, 02:07:39 PM »

Update on Ohio:

They seem to have stooped updating the absentee vote tally, and so far, Trump continues to lead Biden in those ballots:

Trump +78,277
Biden +74,582

I think there’s not much left. AFAIK, Cuyahoga and Franklin already certified their results.
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Mike88
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« Reply #19097 on: November 21, 2020, 02:17:36 PM »

Update on Ohio:

They seem to have stooped updating the absentee vote tally, and so far, Trump continues to lead Biden in those ballots:

Trump +78,277
Biden +74,582

I think there’s not much left. AFAIK, Cuyahoga and Franklin already certified their results.
Yeah, plus Ohio plans to certify the results Tuesday so not much is left. The big chunk out there is basically all concentrated in New York. California only has 269,434 ballots yet to process.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #19098 on: November 21, 2020, 02:27:27 PM »


A lot of pages like the PA or OK results pages can’t be accessed from the EU ...
Election security?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #19099 on: November 21, 2020, 02:28:50 PM »

Don't look now, but Biden is about to take a lead of a million votes in Maryland.
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