2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 10:28:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 676 677 678 679 680 [681] 682 683 684 685 686 ... 818
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 652087 times)
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,279


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17000 on: November 10, 2020, 11:16:33 AM »
Quote from: DrScholl on November 10, 2020, 11:08:51 AM
Quote from: Russian Bear on November 10, 2020, 11:01:20 AM

 Confused

Is it because of Trump being a first Dove President in modern history of US och because of Muslims being more conservative than average American (abortion etc). Just don't start with racist "They like Macho" thing.

That's really not true since one of his first actions was to ban Muslims from the country and he later killed an Iranian leader. And don't freaking tell people what they can say in their posts. I am so sick of you people.

I do wonder if most Muslims in the US wouldn't support Trump's aggressive stance toward Iran, given that the majority of US Muslims are Sunni and the Iranian leadership is Shiite.
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,449
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17001 on: November 10, 2020, 11:17:21 AM »

It's also worth noting that exit polling of Muslims in 2016 was all over the place.  The Council on American-Islamic Relations had 13% of Muslims voting for Trump.  But the AALDEF had him winning only 2%.  

It's pretty difficult to get a solid handle on such a small slice of the voting population.  
Logged
emailking
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,055
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17002 on: November 10, 2020, 11:21:41 AM »


Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,502
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17003 on: November 10, 2020, 11:24:20 AM »
Alaska will start counting mail, early ballots today. Anyone knows if today there will be any update?
Logged
Middle-aged Europe
Old Europe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,293
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17004 on: November 10, 2020, 11:28:02 AM »
Quote from: emailking on November 10, 2020, 11:21:41 AM




What even is "ballot counting abuse"? Something like "PRESIDENTIAL HARASSMENT"??
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17005 on: November 10, 2020, 11:29:46 AM »
Quote from: ByeDon/Harris on November 10, 2020, 11:28:02 AM
Quote from: emailking on November 10, 2020, 11:21:41 AM




What even is "ballot counting abuse"? Something like "PRESIDENTIAL HARASSMENT"??

Ballot counting abuse is probably something like grabbing a woman by the pussy while counting ballots.
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17006 on: November 10, 2020, 11:31:09 AM »
Quote from: emailking on November 10, 2020, 11:21:41 AM



It's so obsvious that this guy is gifting at this point
Logged
GP270watch
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,733


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17007 on: November 10, 2020, 11:53:11 AM »
Can't wait until Twitter bans this fool, send him to Miloland or wherever alt-right racist trolls post these days.
Logged
SInNYC
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,229


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17008 on: November 10, 2020, 11:53:35 AM »
Regarding Moslem votes, thats probably too small a sample size to hope for any meaningful results from any polls, as other have stated.

Additionally, a significant chunk of Moslems are black Moslems, and lots has been said about the black vote in 2020.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,021


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17009 on: November 10, 2020, 12:02:49 PM »
Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,502
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17010 on: November 10, 2020, 12:12:19 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 10, 2020, 12:02:49 PM


Like we say here in Portugal: "Pepper in the ass of others is refreshment" Cool
Logged
GeneralMacArthur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17011 on: November 10, 2020, 12:17:19 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 10, 2020, 12:02:49 PM


Why is this set to Tchaikovsky's first piano concerto?
Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,502
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17012 on: November 10, 2020, 12:30:22 PM »
Quote from: Mike88 on November 10, 2020, 11:24:20 AM
Alaska will start counting mail, early ballots today. Anyone knows if today there will be any update?

Found it:
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,257


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17013 on: November 10, 2020, 12:44:42 PM »
Nevada hasn't stopped counting, correct? Don't they have a large chunk left?
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,427
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17014 on: November 10, 2020, 12:46:36 PM »
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,267


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17015 on: November 10, 2020, 12:48:15 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 10, 2020, 12:44:42 PM
Nevada hasn't stopped counting, correct? Don't they have a large chunk left?

They do have quite a few left, but it's mostly Clark County and will add to Biden's lead.
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,723
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17016 on: November 10, 2020, 12:49:21 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 10, 2020, 12:48:15 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 10, 2020, 12:44:42 PM
Nevada hasn't stopped counting, correct? Don't they have a large chunk left?

They do have quite a few left, but it's mostly Clark County and will add to Biden's lead.

Do you think it will be enough for Nevada to not trend R?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,267


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17017 on: November 10, 2020, 12:52:55 PM »
Quote from: Chocolate Thunder on November 10, 2020, 12:49:21 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 10, 2020, 12:48:15 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 10, 2020, 12:44:42 PM
Nevada hasn't stopped counting, correct? Don't they have a large chunk left?

They do have quite a few left, but it's mostly Clark County and will add to Biden's lead.

Do you think it will be enough for Nevada to not trend R?

Probably not.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,083


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17018 on: November 10, 2020, 12:53:16 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 10, 2020, 12:46:36 PM


Up for election in 2022 and wary of primary challenges.
Logged
YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,653
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17019 on: November 10, 2020, 12:55:45 PM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on November 10, 2020, 01:15:13 AM

Source: NYTimes Swing Map

Oh look, it’s East River vs West River in South Dakota! Any South Dakota posters know why East River swung towards Trump, while West River swung towards Biden?

Isn't West River more "Western" in character, whereas East River is more like the rural Midwest?
Logged
YL
YorkshireLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,653
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17020 on: November 10, 2020, 12:57:25 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 10, 2020, 11:17:21 AM

It's also worth noting that exit polling of Muslims in 2016 was all over the place.  The Council on American-Islamic Relations had 13% of Muslims voting for Trump.  But the AALDEF had him winning only 2%.  

It's pretty difficult to get a solid handle on such a small slice of the voting population.  

Quite.  I think sometimes people aren't sceptical enough of weird-looking exit poll data based on small subsamples.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,580
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17021 on: November 10, 2020, 01:03:10 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2020, 01:12:59 PM by Gass3268 »
Some great stuff here on Milwaukee County. To me the biggest story is the Republican collapse in the southwest part of the county in addition to the northeast suburbs voting for Biden by over 40 points. The City of Milwaukee swung a point to Trump, but you can see the Hispanic parts swung hard to Trump and were largely offset by the white areas, particularly many of the areas that swung to Trump in 2016. 

Logged
Kamala's side hoe
khuzifenq
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,489
United States


P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17022 on: November 10, 2020, 01:04:52 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on November 10, 2020, 11:14:11 AM
Trump likely did not gain among Muslims considering Dearborn swung 6-7 points left.

He may have made gains with non-Arab Muslims however. Wouldn’t be surprised if Pakistanis and Bangladeshis swung R, per your observation that BLM-related riots hurt the D margins with Asians.
Logged
Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,655


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17023 on: November 10, 2020, 01:08:06 PM »
Quote from: emailking on November 10, 2020, 11:21:41 AM




Pretty clear that his plan is to abuse the ballots until he wins.  Bold to state is outright like that, even for someone as shameless as Donnie Dumb****. Perfectly in character, though.

Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,267


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17024 on: November 10, 2020, 01:08:31 PM »

5pm AZ time = 7pm EST.

EDIT: There are an estimated 4153 ballots waiting for potential signature cure, most from Maricopa (2300) and Pima (700).
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 676 677 678 679 680 [681] 682 683 684 685 686 ... 818  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.077 seconds with 11 queries.