2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 656379 times)
philly09
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« Reply #17025 on: November 10, 2020, 01:16:13 PM »
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exnaderite
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« Reply #17026 on: November 10, 2020, 01:18:49 PM »
Quote from: emailking on November 10, 2020, 11:21:41 AM




The Chinese have a saying that a dead duck has a hard mouth.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17027 on: November 10, 2020, 01:23:04 PM »


Trump is not going to be happy about this.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #17028 on: November 10, 2020, 01:26:36 PM »
Bruh:
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #17029 on: November 10, 2020, 01:27:23 PM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on November 10, 2020, 01:26:36 PM
Bruh:



Good God, these people are insane.
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Earthling
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« Reply #17030 on: November 10, 2020, 01:28:46 PM »
Quote from: We Made PA Blue Again! on November 10, 2020, 01:27:23 PM
Quote from: brucejoel99 on November 10, 2020, 01:26:36 PM
Bruh:



Good God, these people are insane.

Mike doesn't want to get fired before January 20th.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17031 on: November 10, 2020, 01:29:52 PM »
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DrScholl
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« Reply #17032 on: November 10, 2020, 01:33:13 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 10, 2020, 12:46:36 PM


He looks like somebody threw acid in his face and beat him with a hatchet and the doctors did a poor job of reconstructing his face.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #17033 on: November 10, 2020, 01:34:55 PM »
Quote from: We Made PA Blue Again! on November 10, 2020, 01:27:23 PM
Quote from: brucejoel99 on November 10, 2020, 01:26:36 PM
Bruh:



Good God, these people are insane.

I don't think they understand the magnitude of the danger they are creating.
It is crazy and stupid.
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philly09
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« Reply #17034 on: November 10, 2020, 01:35:14 PM »
It appears Philly has finished as 1703 out of 1703 divisions have reported.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #17035 on: November 10, 2020, 01:38:34 PM »
Quote from: YL on November 10, 2020, 12:55:45 PM
Quote from: Fubart Solman on November 10, 2020, 01:15:13 AM

Source: NYTimes Swing Map

Oh look, it’s East River vs West River in South Dakota! Any South Dakota posters know why East River swung towards Trump, while West River swung towards Biden?

Isn't West River more "Western" in character, whereas East River is more like the rural Midwest?

Essentially
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GP270watch
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« Reply #17036 on: November 10, 2020, 01:39:36 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2020, 01:49:56 PM by GP270watch »
Quote from: philly09 on November 10, 2020, 01:35:14 PM
It appears Philly has finished as 1703 out of 1703 divisions have reported.

96% of these 3,937 votes just reported are from Philly

The breakdown was Biden 86.5% / 13.5% Trump

Biden's Pennsylvania lead now 47,613
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #17037 on: November 10, 2020, 01:40:45 PM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on November 10, 2020, 01:26:36 PM
Bruh:



This is pretty scary.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #17038 on: November 10, 2020, 01:42:53 PM »
Can someone give a realistic assessment of Arizona?
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pppolitics
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« Reply #17039 on: November 10, 2020, 01:43:16 PM »
It's safe to say that Republicans stopped believing in democracy.
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #17040 on: November 10, 2020, 01:44:32 PM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on November 10, 2020, 01:26:36 PM
Bruh:


Lol
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Mike88
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« Reply #17041 on: November 10, 2020, 01:44:48 PM »
Quote from: GP270watch on November 10, 2020, 01:39:36 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 10, 2020, 01:35:14 PM
It appears Philly has finished as 1703 out of 1703 divisions have reported.

96% of these 3,937 votes just reported from Philly

The breakdown was Biden 86.5% / 13.5% Trump

Biden's Pennsylvania lead now 47,613

Biden's lead is already bigger than Trump's in 2016, and growing.
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GP270watch
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« Reply #17042 on: November 10, 2020, 01:48:58 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 10, 2020, 01:42:53 PM
Can someone give a realistic assessment of Arizona?

Trump has friendly vote remaining in ballots to be tabulated but not nearly enough to erase Biden lead.

https://www.arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html

Estimated number of provisional ballots left to process should favor Biden but is a wildcard since nobody knows how many will be accepted.

Estimated number of early ballots waiting for signature verification is another wildcard, but this is less than 5k votes total.

 Biden looks likely to win and the real question is what the margin of victory will be. Trump needs 61-63% according to various estimates and every time he doesn't hit that target the margin he needs just goes up because MATH.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #17043 on: November 10, 2020, 01:50:04 PM »
I love how McSally has refused to concede despite the fact she's literally been MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17044 on: November 10, 2020, 01:50:48 PM »
Quote from: We Made PA Blue Again! on November 10, 2020, 01:50:04 PM
I love how McSally has refused to concede despite the fact she's literally been MATHEMATICALLY ELIMINATED.

Math is for elites.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17045 on: November 10, 2020, 01:51:08 PM »
Quote from: GP270watch on November 10, 2020, 01:39:36 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 10, 2020, 01:35:14 PM
It appears Philly has finished as 1703 out of 1703 divisions have reported.

96% of these 3,937 votes just reported are from Philly

The breakdown was Biden 86.5% / 13.5% Trump

Biden's Pennsylvania lead now 47,613

Philly has finished election day votes*
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17046 on: November 10, 2020, 01:51:51 PM »
Quote from: GP270watch on November 10, 2020, 01:48:58 PM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 10, 2020, 01:42:53 PM
Can someone give a realistic assessment of Arizona?

Trump has friendly vote remaining in ballots to be tabulated but not nearly enough to erase Biden lead.

https://www.arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html

Estimated number of provisional ballots left to process should favor Biden but is a wildcard since nobody knows how many will be accepted.

Estimated number of early ballots waiting for signature verification is another wildcard, but this is less than 5k votes total.

 Biden looks likely to win and the real question is what the margin of victory will be. Trump needs 61-63% according to various estimates and every time he doesn't hit that target the margin he needs just goes up because MATH.



Trump doesn't really have assured friendly vote though - Pima will increase Bidens lead, and Maricopa is unsure... could be 50/50 like last night.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17047 on: November 10, 2020, 01:53:06 PM »
DDHQ called NC for Trump.

Still have no idea how many ballots are out. There were 30k new ballots that came in as of Friday. Weren't there like 75-125K outstanding even before Friday? Plus 40k provisionals?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #17048 on: November 10, 2020, 01:54:57 PM »
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GP270watch
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« Reply #17049 on: November 10, 2020, 01:54:57 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 10, 2020, 01:51:51 PM
Quote from: GP270watch on November 10, 2020, 01:48:58 PM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 10, 2020, 01:42:53 PM
Can someone give a realistic assessment of Arizona?

Trump has friendly vote remaining in ballots to be tabulated but not nearly enough to erase Biden lead.

https://www.arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html

Estimated number of provisional ballots left to process should favor Biden but is a wildcard since nobody knows how many will be accepted.

Estimated number of early ballots waiting for signature verification is another wildcard, but this is less than 5k votes total.

 Biden looks likely to win and the real question is what the margin of victory will be. Trump needs 61-63% according to various estimates and every time he doesn't hit that target the margin he needs just goes up because MATH.



Trump doesn't really have assured friendly vote though - Pima will increase Bidens lead, and Maricopa is unsure... could be 50/50 like last night.

 I tried to break down the different categories if you read my post, Pima are provisional and we can't say how many will be counted like the other category. Arizona people on twitter have said the Maricopa Estimated number of ballots ready for tabulation will favor Trump. But we don't know until we know.
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