2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Person Man]

50,401 ballots outstanding in GA

So Joe needs 64% of them? He will probably end up with a .4% V?

[Roll Roons]

The irony is that he would have had it all if he'd just stayed as the host of the Apprentice. He screwed himself by running for president.

[Inmate Trump]

in 2004 Bush won Forsyth 83-16. The size of the Dem vote has doubled in Forsyth in a mere 16 years.

Forsyth was (still is?) one of the fastest growing counties in the whole country.  It may take a while for it to flip, but it's definitely not the same as it was once.

[Stranger in a strange land]

CNN: Trump/team is starting to believe they are "running out of options", Trump frantically calling GOP surrogates, worry about Georgia growing. A 2024 campaign is already being discussed.

These people are insane.  Trump is more likely to be in jail in 2024 than running for President.

I feel like Trump is going to make a ton of noise about running in 2024 but not actually run.

If Trump is still alive and in good enough health, he almost certainly runs in 2024 if he loses this year (which is thankfully now looking more likely than not).

[Gracile]

So far, Colorado has voted for Biden by a greater margin than Illinois

Large portions of Cook and Lake are still out. Illinois' margin should go up when all those votes are counted.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/jtlevy/status/1324409692899205120

Could Biden end up with over 5 million of the popular vote?

You mean a PV margin of over 5M?  Yes, he will certainly exceed that.

What are we looking at? 7 to 8 million margin in the PV? Could it crack 10M?

7 to 8 is a likely range.  10 would be a big stretch, although not completely impossible.

[Crumpets]

How many points will Biden win the NPV by?

I think Nate Silver estimated something like 4.1-4.3 when all is said and done, but that was yesterday evening. Not sure if there's been any updates.

[wbrocks67]

21K ballots left in Bucks County, PA. Biden leads by 2 right now. If they break how they've been breaking, Biden will lead Bucks by 5. Hillary won by 1.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Nevada is being very annoying.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Apparently I heard from reddit that Biden outperformed Ilhan Omar by 16 points in her district, can anyone confirm this?

Yes.

https://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/results/Index?ErsElectionId=136&scenario=StateFedCongressional&DistrictId=560&show=Go

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/StreetForPA/status/1324409362731962369

[GeorgiaModerate]

50,401 ballots outstanding in GA

So Joe needs 64% of them? He will probably end up with a .4% V?

Yeah, about 20K votes or 0.4% is my estimate.

[politics_king]

https://twitter.com/marklevinshow/status/1324406883600506880

Dumb bastard

LMAO! This is the Hail Mary. To throw American Democracy/Constitutional Republic into total chaos. I hope everyone screen shots this stuff, because the Red Hats will no go quietly.

[The Free North]

https://twitter.com/marklevinshow/status/1324406883600506880

Dumb bastard

Mark "I'm never voting for Donald Trump" Levin

What a loser

[n1240]

Biden seems like a solid favorite in Georgia considered Clayton and Chatham alone will reduce the margin by 12k votes or so.

[wbrocks67]

50,401 ballots outstanding in GA

Well that would certainly bode well for Biden.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

in 2004 Bush won Forsyth 83-16. The size of the Dem vote has doubled in Forsyth in a mere 16 years.

Forsyth was (still is?) one of the fastest growing counties in the whole country.  It may take a while for it to flip, but it's definitely not the same as it was once.

Forsyth's Dem vote is artificially lowered because of its black residents being driven out in the 1910s as well. The county being as R as it was was probably unsustainable tbh.

[politics_king]

50,401 ballots outstanding in GA

So Joe needs 64% of them? He will probably end up with a .4% V?

If we follow the trends, he'll get about 70% of those mail-in ballots.

[Non Swing Voter]

Poor Fox News.

Fox might come up with some BS excuse like "we won't call the whole race because of the legal challenges"

[wbrocks67]

I have had some bad takes this cycle but I DID tell people not to sleep on PA, and that it wouldn't be so much more redder than WI/MI

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I'm checking out of this thread for the time being. I don't need this cock and ball torture without the cock and balls right now. I'll be lurking on the NYT results page for the time being, like an animal. See all you beautiful people once Philly shoots its load.

[wbrocks67]

So far, Colorado has voted for Biden by a greater margin than Illinois

Illinois apparently has a lot more mails to count

[ProudModerate2]

Not sure what places like Erie, Lehigh, etc. in PA are doing. They haven't really reported any new mail ins in a while.

Erie had a small dump on NYT, Trump lead down from 5 to 3.5 give or take.

On TV yesterday someone quoted a source close to the vote count as saying that in Erie the mail in ballots being counted are going approximately 4-1 for Biden.

I saw that it was CNN, I believe. The biggest thing people are missing is that a lot of the remaining votes even in rural areas are Mail in ballots. These should break for Biden overwhelmingly. Not to say that Philly and Pittsburgh don't count.

I think at this point in PA the outstanding vote is ONLY mail in ballots.  I'd like Philly to put in their numbers first though so it's a rural county that puts Biden over the top.  Will the GOP say that Republican controlled counties committed fraud?

Non Swing Voter,
How do you feel that PA is doing at this point in time?
It seems that the numbers are not moving in Biden's favor as fast as I thought they would.
We are at 92% counted and Biden still has a 115K deficit to make-up?

Can you do your math, and give me an update on where you feel PA will end-up.
Do you still think Biden will have a (approx) lead of about 100K by tomorrow (thinking they will have counted about 99% by tomorrow)?
I'm slightly worried about PA.

[roxas11]

Poor Fox News.

Fox is simply going to not call NV like everyone else
They will wait for Biden take the lead in PA /GA and then they will call it

[Skill and Chance]

Biden seems like a solid favorite in Georgia considered Clayton and Chatham alone will reduce the margin by 12k votes or so.

Yes this is nearly a done deal now barring errors in the count.