2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[BudgieForce]

reminder that even if Fulton doesn't put Biden in the lead, Dougherty is still not all in yet.

And Gwinnett isnt entirely in either.

Gwinett is hovering around 60% Biden, right?

Yep. So Biden won't net a huge amount of votes, but it's still on the table.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Election Betting Odds has it 306-232 on their betting markets. LOL!

I'm really hoping for that. The irony would be beautiful, it would mean that Georgia is a state that Democrats actually have a future in, it could be a good sign for the run-offs, and would be a big "f*** you" to the abhorrent, apocalyptic wasteland of psychotic idiots to the south-Florida pissed me off this year, as usual, but in doing so I have the right to continue disparaging the state! F*** you, Florida!

[Inmate Trump]

I suspect that Nevada's delay is because they don't want to share just a small amount of votes that would exclude Clark County and give the false impression that Trump is closing in or something. It's for the best that they release all the votes, or close to it, at once tomorrow.

Serious question:  Why can't they just continue counting tonight until they have all or close to all votes counted?

Or is that what they're doing, and it'll take all night to do it?

[Fargobison]

More legal challenges by desperate Don...

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1324139513325772801

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you, a slice of the American electorate:

(NSFW)

[DrScholl]

Trump's lead in Pennsylvania is down to 256,058. Biden is closing the gap fast.

[randomusername]

So we know that Nevada and North Carolina will not be resolved tonight, and that Arizona is getting an update at 9:00. Do we know for sure if anything else is coming in from Pennsylvania or Georgia tonight?

CNN says Fulton County officials are to hold a news conference soon.

[Alben Barkley]

Did the military vote swing D?
The margins in VA Beach, El Paso County, and Bell County are more Dem leaning than 2016.

Probably.

Shockingly, seems like many didn't take too kindly to being called "suckers and losers" by Colonel Bone Spurs.

[Pulaski]

PA just turned dark blue on predictit.

Can someone give me a succinct breakdown of what's outstanding in MI, WI, and PA?  I can't find anything decent in the media.

In particular, in PA Biden is down by 13 with 26% of the vote left.  Is there any reason to believe that he can win the remaining vote 2-1?

No there is not

Pennsylvania's mail-in vote leant Democratic by something like 40 points. There's plenty of reason to believe Biden can overcome the margin.

Except there's not. There is literally no reason to believe he can make this up. He needs 75% of the state's outstanding votes, which will not happen

I believe I, and many others in this thread that unsuccessfully tried to reason with you, will soon be owed a grovelling apology.

[Skill and Chance]

Did the military vote swing D?
The margins in VA Beach, El Paso County, and Bell County are more Dem leaning than 2016.

Quite likely.  Also Lexington, VA (Virginia Military Institute) and Brazos, TX (Texas A&M) swung hard to Biden.

[Asta]

It's kind of funny that FOX Decision Desk is firmly standing by their call on AZ whereas NYT hasn't called it yet.

What special data could FOX have that NYT doesn't? Aren't they looking at the same data?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Gary Peters appears to be pulling away in MI. Huge sigh of relief. All I want now is to get Perdue under 50% in GA

[Alben Barkley]

If 306 happens, then LOL, well, there really is a Tweet for everything isn't there?

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1179422987684077568?s=20

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Biden won Kent County by 5 points. Now up by 100K over Trump in Michigan.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Trump's going to try and run again in 4 years, isn't he? Ugh

Not if NY's got him locked up

He’s gonna Eugene Debbs it.

But, yeah, I fully expect him to be doing campaign rallies until the day he dies or is arrested.

[DaleCooper]

It's kind of funny that FOX Decision Desk is firmly standing by their call on AZ whereas NYT hasn't called it yet.

What special data could FOX have that NYT doesn't? Aren't they looking at the same data?

We know that they used different data that didn't have the same errors NYT's struggled with. We also know that AP and WSJ use the same data as Fox and all three have confidently projected that Biden has won the state. None have wavered on that call so far.

[Ancestral Republican]

Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you, a slice of the American electorate:

Thank you for sharing.

[Pulaski]

Trump's going to try and run again in 4 years, isn't he? Ugh

Absolutely he will, and he stands a good shot of winning the nomination.

[Crumpets]

Trump's lead in Pennsylvania is down to 256,058. Biden is closing the gap fast.

Down to 246,149 now. 10,000 votes in 7 minutes.

[Storr]

Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you, a slice of the American electorate:

(NSFW)

Shoutout to the one dude wearing a Reagan Bush '84 shirt.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

It's kind of funny that FOX Decision Desk is firmly standing by their call on AZ whereas NYT hasn't called it yet.

What special data could FOX have that NYT doesn't? Aren't they looking at the same data?

FOX also stopped using the traditional exit polls after 2016 and basically did their own with a different methodology (and maybe including some additional modeling)

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/michpoligal/status/1324140490497925120

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Thank you for sharing.

Shoutout to the one dude wearing a Reagan Bush '84 shirt.

I'm going to say something that's going to piss a lot of people off.

Bring back poll tests.

[emailking]

It's kind of funny that FOX Decision Desk is firmly standing by their call on AZ whereas NYT hasn't called it yet.

What special data could FOX have that NYT doesn't? Aren't they looking at the same data?

It's the same data but they've built different models for extrapolating the vote based on what they have.

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/GongwerMichigan/status/1324142278357770240