2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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April 28, 2024, 07:58:02 AM
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617218 times)
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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Posts: 3,400


« Reply #125 on: June 06, 2021, 06:51:36 PM »

This election is over. The only question is 1932 or 1980 sized wave.

Just wanted to relive the hubris of this moment, lol

Say hello to 1976/2000!

Yup, perhaps 1976 redux. Current NPV is similar, 50.1% to 48%.

Just hope 2024 won't be GOP realignment then.

What is there left for them to realign on?

Biden proves increasingly unpopular over his term his office, and the results from last night prove that the GOP has a path forward with Latino (and to a lesser extent) Black voters
I am astonished by how the Republican party was able to make gains with Hispanic and African American voters in this election. It looks like Donald Trump may hit 25% of the African American vote and a majority of Hispanic voters as well.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #126 on: June 07, 2021, 07:25:40 PM »


Perdue has easily won.

Trump won narrowly which is miraculous for Dems. The state has been a lost cause for years and especially this cycle. No matter how much of a hard on they get for it - it’s not happening and the fact people still at this hour believe it to have a chance of going Dem just shows the bankruptcy of their political analysis
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,400


« Reply #127 on: June 09, 2021, 12:41:03 AM »

Control of the senate will likely hinge on the runoff in Georgia glad its Warnock vs Loeffler Cunningham looks toast and its looking really hard for Gideon to pull off a win in Maine but theirs a lot of votes left to count their so lets see

Uhh are you bad at math

If Gideon and Cunningham loses the Senate is over
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #128 on: June 09, 2021, 09:48:18 PM »

Biden says that they will flip at least 3 states per their data.
He also says that the margins in WI, MI, PA will be bigger than Trump's margins in 2016.

Am I looking to much into it or are they not so sure about AZ?

Edit: flip* not win

No you’re not. Arizona is going Trump IMO. Don’t tell that to anyone on here
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #129 on: June 09, 2021, 10:19:08 PM »

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #130 on: June 09, 2021, 10:25:59 PM »

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas

Why are you so hung up on this? Either way Georgia will be ridiculously slim. There was no actual REASON to think it was impossible after the left trends in 2016 and 2018. You just keep saying that for absolutely no reason. What a bizarre hill to die on, especially for someone who apparentlynlives nowhere near Georgia you seem awfully emotional about it.

Cause the sun belt fantasy aside from Arizona is nauseating. We hear this BS constantly about rapidly changing this and rapidly changing that. Yes in some ways but in other ways the rurals are becoming more and more and more entrenched. It gives Dems this false hope that’s unfounded. Never said there wasn’t a shot of it being close. The GOV race was razor thin when both parties had awful canidates - but to actually tip over into the Dem column was fools gold and anyone who had it on their map just ... idk. just needs to reasses how they analyze things politicallly
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #131 on: June 09, 2021, 10:51:33 PM »

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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #132 on: June 09, 2021, 11:02:54 PM »

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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #133 on: June 11, 2021, 09:41:20 AM »

Georgia has 95% counted, Trump has a 81,494 lead. North Carolina has 94% counted, Trump has a 76,712 lead. The rest of the votes being counted lean toward Biden. Keep an eye on those contests, Biden still has multiple paths to win the Election and the Democrats have a small chance at taking the Senate.

I repeat. There is ZERO path to the senate. Absolutely zero. Anyone who wants me to put my money where my mouth is, let me know. I’ll give 4 to 1 odds
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,400


« Reply #134 on: June 11, 2021, 10:02:38 AM »

Well guess its still a little interesting. Trump needs a flush of AZ/PA/GA to win. Doubt that happens but who knows.


GA is a lock, PA is definetly leaning in his direction. Arizona is razor thin but reasons for him to feel good
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