2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324045286537273346?s=19

https://twitter.com/josh_wingrove/status/1324041497143058432



Though, who are these Data Orbital exactly? FWIW, they a A/B with D+0.3 bias according to 538. No GOP affiliation at the first glance.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

Ugh. Well, you can at least count on Collins and Murkowski going rogue on legislation votes.

Hahahahaha, no you f***ing can't.

[forsythvoter]

I'm actually glad to hear Collins wins. We need more moderate members in the Senate from both parties.

[BlueSwan]

Who is ticket splitting for Collins still??

I have been of the impression that a high voter turnout would help incumbents in down-ticket races, since normally disengaged voters are unlikely to even know most of the candidates, so an incumbent with high name recognition - and let's face it, Susan Collins is one of the best known senators for better or worse - would benefit from this.

[lfromnj]

The critical Joe Manchin endorsement saved Susan Collins.

[VBM]

What the hell is wrong with the state of Maine?

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Can Trump still win Pennsylvania?

[Never Made it to Graceland]

I'm actually glad to hear Collins wins. We need more moderate members in the Senate from both parties.

Dude she voted like 95% with Trump. She's as much a moderate as I am. F*** her and f*** the Democrats for blowing the election this hard.

[anthonyjg]

Oh dear god am I really going to have to listen to Collins be very concerned for the next 6 years?

[Calthrina950]

Who is ticket splitting for Collins still??

Places like Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont & Montana are notorious for their independent streaks.

Vermont gave Phil Scott a 2-1 majority last night. He did better than Biden, winning every county in the state. However, Montana voted Republican in every statewide race-Bullock, Williams, and Cooney all came close, but all lost, and Trump comfortably held the state.

[Illiniwek]

Is anyone else taking about AZ other than Data Orbital? We can't afford to lose there.

[Roll Roons]

So what are the odds in GA?

[VBM]

Should we actually be worrying about Arizona or no?

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324045286537273346?s=19

https://twitter.com/josh_wingrove/status/1324041497143058432

Though, who are these Data Orbital exactly? FWIW, they a A/B with D+0.3 bias according to 538. No GOP affiliation at the first glance.

Arizona pollster.. based in Phoenix.

[BudgieForce]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324045286537273346?s=19

https://twitter.com/josh_wingrove/status/1324041497143058432


Though, who are these Data Orbital exactly? FWIW, they a A/B with D+0.3 bias according to 538. No GOP affiliation at the first glance.

Data_Orbital is making a big assumption in thinking "late early votes" will be better for Trump. Sinema won late earlies in 2018 and I'm not sure why a Trump voter would go out of their way to hand in a late ballot when they could just vote in person.

[HisGrace]

Biden really needs to win this since it's likely he won't just win a plurality but an outright majority of the popular vote. You'd have a real legitimacy crisis in that case. I was worried about that happening before the election.

What do we think of Nevada? It appears to be the closest state at the moment and has a way to go in the count and has been trending towards Trump in the count.

[BlueSwan]

Is anyone else taking about AZ other than Data Orbital? We can't afford to lose there.

Yeah, if we lose AZ and NV we HAVE to win Pennsylvania. That's not good.

[politics_king]

Who is ticket splitting for Collins still??

Places like Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont & Montana are notorious for their independent streaks.

Vermont gave Phil Scott a 2-1 majority last night. He did better than Biden, winning every county in the state. However, Montana voted Republican in every statewide race-Bullock, Williams, and Cooney all came close, but all lost, and Trump comfortably held the state.

Ok. I know Montana went GOP this election but look at past elections. This all doesn't boil down to one election. Smh. Too many of you are super reactionary and snippy about crap.

[wbrocks67]

Did Illinois shift right or is there just a lot of VBM out?

[MillennialModerate]

So what are the odds in GA?

1%

[Blair]

Any hope for Gary Peters?

[Horsemask]

I just told my brother that I'm not "Fall off my chair" shocked about Collins winning, but I am a little surprised that it didn't even go to rank choice.

[Woody]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

Good.

[Pick Up the Phone]

Any hope for Gary Peters?

He is favored to win?

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324045286537273346?s=19

https://twitter.com/josh_wingrove/status/1324041497143058432


Though, who are these Data Orbital exactly? FWIW, they a A/B with D+0.3 bias according to 538. No GOP affiliation at the first glance.

Data_Orbital is making a big assumption in thinking "late early votes" will be better for Trump. Sinema won late earlies in 2018 and I'm not sure why a Trump voter would go out of their way to hand in a late ballot when they could just vote in person.

Also even if they do favor Trump they would have to favor him BIG to make up his current deficit. Not happening.