2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Astatine]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324045286537273346?s=19

Not going to happen. Arizona & Nevada will go for Biden. Although it'll be close.

Why do votes keep spawning out of nowhere to make Biden's lead disappear? Suspicious! /s

[politics_king]

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas

Why are you so hung up on this? Either way Georgia will be ridiculously slim. There was no actual REASON to think it was impossible after the left trends in 2016 and 2018. You just keep saying that for absolutely no reason. What a bizarre hill to die on, especially for someone who apparently lives nowhere near Georgia you seem awfully emotional about it.

It's trolling. These doomers want the worst case scenario. GoTfan is the same, I would just put them on mute at this point or just don't engage and let them troll. Once the results are in, there in. If everything goes Biden's way, they'll go on and on about Biden not performing, a few don't go his way, they go on and on about how they were right. It's grifting.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

The swings in WI are super fascinating. Atlas is going to a field day analyzing all the results once we get the complete results. Looks like Biden won because of a few factors:
1) Turnout in Milwaukee County: Hillary won +162K, while Biden won it by +183K
2) Turnout in Dane County: Hillary won +132K, while Biden won it by +181K
3) Decreased R margins in WOW: Hillary lost by -104K, while lost them by -97K depite a huge turnout increase

Combined, these 3 areas gave Hillary a net margin of +180K, while Biden won them by +267K

In the rest of WI, Hillary lost by -203K, while Biden lost by -246k!

#TrendsAreReal

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

The swings in WI are super fascinating. Atlas is going to a field day analyzing all the results once we get the complete results. Looks like Biden won because of a few factors:
1) D Turnout in Milwaukee County: Hillary won +162K, while Biden won it by +183K
2) D Turnout in Dane County: Hillary won +132K, while Biden won it by +181K
3) Decreased R margins in WOW: Hillary lost by -104K, while Biden lost them by -97K depite a huge turnout increase

Combined, these 3 areas gave Hillary a net margin of +180K, while Biden won them by +267K

In the rest of WI, Hillary lost by -203K, while Biden lost by -246k!

So anyway looks like Kenosha county WI swung 2 points to the right,

Kenosha BUMP?

lol.

Rural-Urban polarization increasing even further.

[VBM]

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas

Why are you being such an asshole about Georgia?

[MillennialModerate]

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas

Why are you so hung up on this? Either way Georgia will be ridiculously slim. There was no actual REASON to think it was impossible after the left trends in 2016 and 2018. You just keep saying that for absolutely no reason. What a bizarre hill to die on, especially for someone who apparentlynlives nowhere near Georgia you seem awfully emotional about it.

Cause the sun belt fantasy aside from Arizona is nauseating. We hear this BS constantly about rapidly changing this and rapidly changing that. Yes in some ways but in other ways the rurals are becoming more and more and more entrenched. It gives Dems this false hope that’s unfounded. Never said there wasn’t a shot of it being close. The GOV race was razor thin when both parties had awful canidates - but to actually tip over into the Dem column was fools gold and anyone who had it on their map just ... idk. just needs to reasses how they analyze things politicallly

[politics_king]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324045286537273346?s=19

Not going to happen. Arizona & Nevada will go for Biden. Although it'll be close.

Why do votes keep spawning out of nowhere to make Biden's lead disappear? Suspicious! /s

Nah, just the process but I'm assuming you're being sarcastic.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas

Why are you so hung up on this? Either way Georgia will be ridiculously slim. There was no actual REASON to think it was impossible after the left trends in 2016 and 2018. You just keep saying that for absolutely no reason. What a bizarre hill to die on, especially for someone who apparently lives nowhere near Georgia you seem awfully emotional about it.

It's trolling. These doomers want the worst case scenario. GoTfan is the same, I would just put them on mute at this point or just don't engage and let them troll. Once the results are in, there in. If everything goes Biden's way, they'll go on and on about Biden not performing, a few don't go his way, they go on and on about how they were right. It's grifting.

I just don't get trolling. Like what do they get out of spending hours online making unverifiable claims? Seems like such a waste...

[Hope For A New Era]

The swings in WI are super fascinating. Atlas is going to a field day analyzing all the results once we get the complete results. Looks like Biden won because of a few factors:
1) D Turnout in Milwaukee County: Hillary won +162K, while Biden won it by +183K
2) D Turnout in Dane County: Hillary won +132K, while Biden won it by +181K
3) Decreased R margins in WOW: Hillary lost by -104K, while Biden lost them by -97K depite a huge turnout increase

Combined, these 3 areas gave Hillary a net margin of +180K, while Biden won them by +267K

In the rest of WI, Hillary lost by -203K, while Biden lost by -246k!

So anyway looks like Kenosha county WI swung 2 points to the right,

Kenosha BUMP?

lol.

Rural-Urban polarization increasing even further.

Becoming increasingly clear that it's not rural-urban, it's educated-uneducated.

[Astatine]

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324045286537273346?s=19

Not going to happen. Arizona & Nevada will go for Biden. Although it'll be close.

Why do votes keep spawning out of nowhere to make Biden's lead disappear? Suspicious! /s

Nah, just the process but I'm assuming you're being sarcastic.

Unlike the Commander-in-Chief.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

[If my soul was made of stone]

With Muskegon County pretty much on a knife's edge tilting towards Trump for the whole reporting period, very curious about the final extent of the Mahoning Effect. No surprises here in Maryland, Biden breaks FredCo out of the Class of '64 as predicted in 2018 and puffs up a hair on the Eastern Shore, all expected stuff. Georgia is becoming a real nail-biter with so much from the metros and Sanford Bishop's country still outstanding.

[BigSerg]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

Yeah!!!!!!!

[politics_king]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

Ugh. Well, you can at least count on Collins and Murkowski going rogue on legislation votes.

[LostFellow]

The swings in WI are super fascinating. Atlas is going to a field day analyzing all the results once we get the complete results. Looks like Biden won because of a few factors:
1) D Turnout in Milwaukee County: Hillary won +162K, while Biden won it by +183K
2) D Turnout in Dane County: Hillary won +132K, while Biden won it by +181K
3) Decreased R margins in WOW: Hillary lost by -104K, while Biden lost them by -97K depite a huge turnout increase

Combined, these 3 areas gave Hillary a net margin of +180K, while Biden won them by +267K

In the rest of WI, Hillary lost by -203K, while Biden lost by -246k!

So anyway looks like Kenosha county WI swung 2 points to the right,

Kenosha BUMP?

lol.

Rural-Urban polarization increasing even further.

Becoming increasingly clear that it's not rural-urban, it's educated-uneducated.

Yep the plains and parts of the mountain west shifting left illuminate this.

[GALeftist]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

Disgusting

[Platypus]

I agree that Collins is in a better spot than Gideon, I just think it's way way closer than the narrative suggests. I've shown my working, you can disagree with them freely, fiddle around the edges... the point isn't Gideon will win, the point is Gideon still has a realistic chance of winning.

[Alcibiades]

Out of interest, is there a reporting error in Pottawattamie County, IA?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Ozaukee was just 55-43 Trump.
Ouch.

[wbrocks67]

FWIW, the PA exit poll for FOX/AP also points to a Biden 2-4 pt win too. The CNN one had Biden +4

[MillennialModerate]

I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas

Why are you so hung up on this? Either way Georgia will be ridiculously slim. There was no actual REASON to think it was impossible after the left trends in 2016 and 2018. You just keep saying that for absolutely no reason. What a bizarre hill to die on, especially for someone who apparently lives nowhere near Georgia you seem awfully emotional about it.

It's trolling. These doomers want the worst case scenario. GoTfan is the same, I would just put them on mute at this point or just don't engage and let them troll. Once the results are in, there in. If everything goes Biden's way, they'll go on and on about Biden not performing, a few don't go his way, they go on and on about how they were right. It's grifting.

If Biden wins I’ll be disgusted with the congressional angle but I’ll just be relieved - no trashing. Especially since I’m one of the few who actually likes Biden beyond disliking Trump

[politics_king]

I agree that Collins is in a better spot than Gideon, I just think it's way way closer than the narrative suggests. I've shown my working, you can disagree with them freely, fiddle around the edges... the point isn't Gideon will win, the point is Gideon still has a realistic chance of winning.

Gideon conceded.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Susan survives !

https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1324051536620720132?s=19

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!

[Platypus]

That's far too early from Gideon and I hope there isn't reason to regret it in the near future.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

With Muskegon County pretty much on a knife's edge tilting towards Trump for the whole reporting period, very curious about the final extent of the Mahoning Effect. No surprises here in Maryland, Biden breaks FredCo out of the Class of '64 as predicted in 2018 and puffs up a hair on the Eastern Shore, all expected stuff. Georgia is becoming a real nail-biter with so much from the metros and Sanford Bishop's country still outstanding.

There's outstanding vote from GA-02?