COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron
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Author Topic: COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron  (Read 535798 times)
Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #700 on: September 13, 2020, 10:19:16 PM »

Well here’s a weird theory that may explain the lower death rates in the past few months:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/face-masks-could-giving-people-covid-19-immunity-researchers/?fbclid=IwAR0z2sVoVRbaFS6uc62aeNHoGGmT9A1c_VpHZ_iBVc588UZ5ve_xYEgKGX0

I’ve felt for a while now that the inital advice of health experts NOT to wear masks may have been the biggest mistake of the entire course of the pandemic.  It would certainly be #1 if this theory turns out to be true.  If all of the lockdowns had simply been replaced with mask requirements, we could have save hundreds of thousands of lives as well as most of the economic damage.


There's at least one other very straightforward reason why not as many people are dying: Doctors are better at treating COVID-19 patients now.

We also know not to hotbox seniors with the virus anymore.

Really, all these fit into the same pattern - we know a little more about the virus and are at least able to mitigate the death rate through common-sense measures now.
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Never Made it to Graceland
Crane
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« Reply #701 on: September 14, 2020, 12:49:38 AM »

Well here’s a weird theory that may explain the lower death rates in the past few months:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/face-masks-could-giving-people-covid-19-immunity-researchers/?fbclid=IwAR0z2sVoVRbaFS6uc62aeNHoGGmT9A1c_VpHZ_iBVc588UZ5ve_xYEgKGX0

I’ve felt for a while now that the inital advice of health experts NOT to wear masks may have been the biggest mistake of the entire course of the pandemic.  It would certainly be #1 if this theory turns out to be true.  If all of the lockdowns had simply been replaced with mask requirements, we could have save hundreds of thousands of lives as well as most of the economic damage.

And the reason the experts weren't recommending it was because they didn't want there to be a run on them and a shortage. Which happened anyway. America could have prepped for something like this with a massive stockpile of masks. Instead we invented a military branch to fight aliens.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #702 on: September 14, 2020, 01:43:12 AM »
« Edited: September 14, 2020, 06:58:28 AM by Meclazine »

Riot Police Arresting Melbourne Protestors

Lockdown Protest

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TvW4qCkgu6Y

I love the guy who said "In the Mighty Name of Jesus Christ, He is coming for You".

I wonder what happens when a vengeful Jesus comes for you.

Just glad to see some freedom of expression....
for a limited period of time.
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Person Man
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« Reply #703 on: September 14, 2020, 09:16:45 AM »
« Edited: September 14, 2020, 09:20:03 AM by The bEagle Forum »

Riot Police Arresting Melbourne Protestors

Lockdown Protest

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TvW4qCkgu6Y

I love the guy who said "In the Mighty Name of Jesus Christ, He is coming for You".

I wonder what happens when a vengeful Jesus comes for you.

Just glad to see some freedom of expression....
for a limited period of time.


This is how we should have dealt with it in MI/WI/MN.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #704 on: September 14, 2020, 09:18:01 AM »

Well here’s a weird theory that may explain the lower death rates in the past few months:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/face-masks-could-giving-people-covid-19-immunity-researchers/?fbclid=IwAR0z2sVoVRbaFS6uc62aeNHoGGmT9A1c_VpHZ_iBVc588UZ5ve_xYEgKGX0

I’ve felt for a while now that the inital advice of health experts NOT to wear masks may have been the biggest mistake of the entire course of the pandemic.  It would certainly be #1 if this theory turns out to be true.  If all of the lockdowns had simply been replaced with mask requirements, we could have save hundreds of thousands of lives as well as most of the economic damage.

And the reason the experts weren't recommending it was because they didn't want there to be a run on them and a shortage. Which happened anyway. America could have prepped for something like this with a massive stockpile of masks. Instead we invented a military branch to fight aliens.

So many people seems to be excusing the fact that health experts deliberately gave people bad medical advice that would cause them to downplay the seriousness of the virus because they didn't want people to panic and create a run on masks.

Now everyone is eviscerating Trump for deliberately downplaying the virus because he says he didn't want people to panic.

That's not to excuse Trump at all. Almost everything he has said and done throughout the pandemic has been unconscionable.  But so was the advice of health officials back in March and April.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #705 on: September 14, 2020, 11:28:10 AM »

Well here’s a weird theory that may explain the lower death rates in the past few months:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/face-masks-could-giving-people-covid-19-immunity-researchers/?fbclid=IwAR0z2sVoVRbaFS6uc62aeNHoGGmT9A1c_VpHZ_iBVc588UZ5ve_xYEgKGX0

I’ve felt for a while now that the inital advice of health experts NOT to wear masks may have been the biggest mistake of the entire course of the pandemic.  It would certainly be #1 if this theory turns out to be true.  If all of the lockdowns had simply been replaced with mask requirements, we could have save hundreds of thousands of lives as well as most of the economic damage.


There's at least one other very straightforward reason why not as many people are dying: Doctors are better at treating COVID-19 patients now.

We also know not to hotbox seniors with the virus anymore.

Really, all these fit into the same pattern - we know a little more about the virus and are at least able to mitigate the death rate through common-sense measures now.

Also, our case numbers are more accurate now. With how bad testing was in March and April, we weren't even coming close to the true number of cases. The reason cases seemed to be almost flat through most of April and May is because cases were decreasing (probably decreasing very fast, actually) while testing was increasing. I would not be surprised to learn that the early-April peak was actually in excess of 200,000 cases daily. We really spectacularly failed this as a country.
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emailking
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« Reply #706 on: September 14, 2020, 12:17:08 PM »

So many people seems to be excusing the fact that health experts deliberately gave people bad medical advice

Note sure it was deliberate.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #707 on: September 14, 2020, 02:52:30 PM »

Doctors are better at treating COVID-19 patients now.

I think i read somewhere that higher Vitamin D levels in summer are contributing to a lower death rate in the 2nd wave in the Northern Hemisphere.

In the cold, low humidity climate of Melbourne, the death rate, albeit nostly elderly victims, is quite high.

Also infections in younger people are proportionately higher as the elderly escape to their forest log cabins, and put themself in isolation pre-vaccine.

Now that we learn more about it, people can make their own choices and decisions. And as you say, medical treatment has come a long way.

Hopefully, we get some natural immunity and with vaccines, the thing subsides.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #708 on: September 14, 2020, 03:37:15 PM »

We now have a massive stockpile of non-medical masks and I dread to think what will happen to all of them once this is over.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #709 on: September 14, 2020, 06:27:43 PM »

We now have a massive stockpile of non-medical masks and I dread to think what will happen to all of them once this is over.

The Great Pacific Garbage Patch is destined to grow even larger. I've already seen reports about masks washing ashore on beaches worldwide.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #710 on: September 14, 2020, 06:31:38 PM »

We now have a massive stockpile of non-medical masks and I dread to think what will happen to all of them once this is over.

The Great Pacific Garbage Patch is destined to grow even larger. I've already seen reports about masks washing ashore on beaches worldwide.

Stockpile them for the next pandemic to come along.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #711 on: September 14, 2020, 06:33:37 PM »

We now have a massive stockpile of non-medical masks and I dread to think what will happen to all of them once this is over.

The Great Pacific Garbage Patch is destined to grow even larger. I've already seen reports about masks washing ashore on beaches worldwide.

Stockpile them for the next pandemic to come along.

That's what responsible people will do, but irresponsible people are going to discard those masks as fast as they possibly can. I'm sure that many people are itching to get rid of them at the first opportunity that they have.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #712 on: September 14, 2020, 10:56:59 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/14 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)
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GoTfan
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« Reply #713 on: September 15, 2020, 05:12:42 AM »

Riot Police Arresting Melbourne Protestors

Lockdown Protest

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TvW4qCkgu6Y

I love the guy who said "In the Mighty Name of Jesus Christ, He is coming for You".

I wonder what happens when a vengeful Jesus comes for you.

Just glad to see some freedom of expression....
for a limited period of time.


Good. They deserve to be arrested and charged.
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Person Man
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« Reply #714 on: September 15, 2020, 09:12:03 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/14 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)

Even odds today is the big day. Where was the poll about when the big day would be? How'd we do?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #715 on: September 15, 2020, 09:17:01 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/14 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)

Even odds today is the big day. Where was the poll about when the big day would be? How'd we do?

This was the original thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=375303.0.  The most common guess was "won't happen", followed closely by September and October.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #716 on: September 15, 2020, 09:41:08 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/14 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)

Even odds today is the big day. Where was the poll about when the big day would be? How'd we do?

This was the original thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=375303.0.  The most common guess was "won't happen", followed closely by September and October.

Given the rate at which things have been proceeding, we'll probably surpass 300,000 by the end of the year.
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Person Man
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« Reply #717 on: September 15, 2020, 09:49:19 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/14 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)

Even odds today is the big day. Where was the poll about when the big day would be? How'd we do?

This was the original thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=375303.0.  The most common guess was "won't happen", followed closely by September and October.

Given the rate at which things have been proceeding, we'll probably surpass 300,000 by the end of the year.

Just comes to show that Democrats need to totally rework their strategy and platform if they underperform and especially if they get wiped out this year. I just don’t see how you can meet a Trumpy GOP in the middle though. With Reagan’s GOP, we could talk about welfare reform and crime bills , with W’s GOP, we could talk about Roe going too far or avoid talking about AR-15s. How do you say were going to moderate on racism, though?

OK. Rant over.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #718 on: September 15, 2020, 09:57:18 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/14 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)

Even odds today is the big day. Where was the poll about when the big day would be? How'd we do?

This was the original thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=375303.0.  The most common guess was "won't happen", followed closely by September and October.

Given the rate at which things have been proceeding, we'll probably surpass 300,000 by the end of the year.

Just comes to show that Democrats need to totally rework their strategy and platform if they underperform and especially if they get wiped out this year. I just don’t see how you can meet a Trumpy GOP in the middle though. With Reagan’s GOP, we could talk about welfare reform and crime bills , with W’s GOP, we could talk about Roe going too far or avoid talking about AR-15s. How do you say were going to moderate on racism, though?

OK. Rant over.

What are you trying to argue here? Are you saying that, given all which has transpired this year, the fact that Trump is still doing this well in the polls reflects poorly on our country? If so, I would agree. Even after 200,000 Americans have died-many of whose deaths were preventable-and this country's society has been so disrupted to such an unprecedented extent, his base is still behind him. I doubt that even a Second Great Depression would cause him to drop below 45% of the national popular vote.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #719 on: September 15, 2020, 10:51:46 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/14 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)

Even odds today is the big day. Where was the poll about when the big day would be? How'd we do?

This was the original thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=375303.0.  The most common guess was "won't happen", followed closely by September and October.

Given the rate at which things have been proceeding, we'll probably surpass 300,000 by the end of the year.

Just comes to show that Democrats need to totally rework their strategy and platform if they underperform and especially if they get wiped out this year. I just don’t see how you can meet a Trumpy GOP in the middle though. With Reagan’s GOP, we could talk about welfare reform and crime bills , with W’s GOP, we could talk about Roe going too far or avoid talking about AR-15s. How do you say were going to moderate on racism, though?

OK. Rant over.

What are you trying to argue here? Are you saying that, given all which has transpired this year, the fact that Trump is still doing this well in the polls reflects poorly on our country? If so, I would agree. Even after 200,000 Americans have died-many of whose deaths were preventable-and this country's society has been so disrupted to such an unprecedented extent, his base is still behind him. I doubt that even a Second Great Depression would cause him to drop below 45% of the national popular vote.

Yup.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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« Reply #720 on: September 15, 2020, 05:05:38 PM »

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woodley park
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« Reply #721 on: September 15, 2020, 05:16:24 PM »

If Trump wins re-election after presiding over this many deaths, it will send a horrible message. Its hard to emphasize how low the bar will have been set for future presidents. Would there even be a bar anymore?
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Edu
Ufokart
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #722 on: September 15, 2020, 06:34:38 PM »

If Trump wins re-election after presiding over this many deaths, it will send a horrible message. Its hard to emphasize how low the bar will have been set for future presidents. Would there even be a bar anymore?


The bar will exist only for democrats, that much is clear already
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #723 on: September 15, 2020, 06:36:36 PM »

School update:
14 Students in Cohort A (kids w/ last names A-K) have tested positive and the entire cohort will be quarantined. Apparently these cases nearly all came from parties.


Strangely, zero confirmed cases in Cohort B (L-Z surnames)
I guess the partiers were properly following cohosting procedures? Lmao
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Dr. Arch
Arch
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« Reply #724 on: September 15, 2020, 07:57:28 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 9/15 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)


9/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,460,250 (+29,098 | ΔW Change: ↓14.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)
  • Deaths: 193,250 (+432 | ΔW Change: ↑17.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

9/7: <M>
  • Cases: 6,485,575 (+25,325 | ΔW Change: ↓34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)
  • Deaths: 193,534 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↓44.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

9/8: <T>
  • Cases: 6,514,231 (+28,656 | ΔW Change: ↓37.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)
  • Deaths: 194,032 (+498 | ΔW Change: ↓57.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

9/9: <W>
  • Cases: 6,549,475 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↑6.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 195,239 (+1,207 | ΔW Change: ↑13.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)

9/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 6,588,163 (+35,244 | ΔW Change: ↓20.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
  • Deaths: 196,328 (+1,089 | ΔW Change: ↓0.46% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/11: <F>
  • Cases: 6,636,247 (+48,084 | ΔW Change: ↓10.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
  • Deaths: 197,421 (+1,093 | ΔW Change: ↑3.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

9/12: <S>
  • Cases: 6,676,601 (+40,354 | ΔW Change: ↓4.14% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 198,128 (+707 | ΔW Change: ↑0.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

9/13: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 6,708,458 (+31,857 | ΔW Change: ↑9.48% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
  • Deaths: 198,520 (+392 | ΔW Change: ↓9.26% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

9/14 (Yesterday): <M>
  • Cases: 6,749,289 (+40,831 | ΔW Change: ↑61.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.61%)
  • Deaths: 199,000 (+480 | ΔW Change: ↑69.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.24%)

9/15 (Today): <T>
  • Cases: 6,787,737 (+38,448 | ΔW Change: ↑34.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.57%)
  • Deaths: 200,178 (+1,178 | ΔW Change: ↑136.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
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