OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 24, 2024, 01:20:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 44 45 46 47 48 [49] 50 51 52 53 54 ... 71
Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 110965 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1200 on: August 07, 2018, 08:03:15 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on August 07, 2018, 08:01:47 PM
Quote from: NOVA Green on August 07, 2018, 08:00:33 PM

Please share!!!!

It is a show and tell kind of evening in Ohio..... Wink

From where?  The Delaware website has the same results as the Ohio SoS website.

NYT- O'Connor dropped from 60% to 57% in three precincts
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,918
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1201 on: August 07, 2018, 08:03:30 PM »
Nate Cohn now expecting turnout below 200k
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1202 on: August 07, 2018, 08:03:32 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on August 07, 2018, 08:02:56 PM
Licking just had a huge vote dump.

I'm less worried about Licking now that he's holding an 18 point margin despite that vote dump.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1203 on: August 07, 2018, 08:03:45 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on August 07, 2018, 08:02:56 PM
Licking just had a huge vote dump.

And O'Connor's still at -18...
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1204 on: August 07, 2018, 08:04:15 PM »
Remember when people were saying yesterday that turnout was going to be 110-140k? LOL
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1205 on: August 07, 2018, 08:04:56 PM »
Another huge Franklin Co dump. Gained about 4k+ margin there.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,035
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1206 on: August 07, 2018, 08:05:20 PM »
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1207 on: August 07, 2018, 08:05:41 PM »
LOL at Joe Manchik
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1208 on: August 07, 2018, 08:05:47 PM »
Really, it looks like we're right around the 50/50 benchmarks for the non-Franklin/Delaware portions of the district.  It's really just going to come down to Delaware, and if O'Connor can keep blowing it out Franklin.
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,854
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1209 on: August 07, 2018, 08:06:17 PM »
Lots still out in Franklin
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1210 on: August 07, 2018, 08:06:36 PM »
52%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   58,282   
47.3%   Troy Balderson   GOP   52,995   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   745   
50.3% of precincts reporting (297/591)
112,022 total votes
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,918
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1211 on: August 07, 2018, 08:06:41 PM »
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1212 on: August 07, 2018, 08:06:48 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2018, 08:15:18 PM by NOVA Green »
Quote from: 136or142 on August 07, 2018, 08:00:58 PM
Quote from: NOVA Green on August 07, 2018, 07:58:33 PM
Quote from: ON Progressive on August 07, 2018, 07:54:21 PM
I'm not liking the Licking County result, honestly.

Called it Yesterday.... Smiley

 baby oh what a crying shame
To let it all slip away
And call it yesterday
Oh baby my life would be so blue
My heart would break in two
Oh what a crying shame

The Mavericks "What a Crying Shame" Awesome song.

Made me laugh.... for most of the past week I've been typing away on my keyboard and my wife is like "What you posting?" and every day been telling her all about the political and social demographics of Licking County Ohio.... Sort of been a running joke, not to go to far OT, but yeah I'm really curious what the final numbers show from places like Newark, SW Licking County, Rurals, etc....

I have fed the Licking County obsession, but hell it does account for 20% of the 2016 PRES Vote Share, so yes they are a contender and worthy of extreme consideration....
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1213 on: August 07, 2018, 08:07:53 PM »
Just got a vote dump from Franklin: O'Connor's now at 67%, Balderson at 32.5.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1214 on: August 07, 2018, 08:08:11 PM »

Not even funny, he could potentially end up getting more votes than Balderson's margin if he wins. Tongue
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,027
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1215 on: August 07, 2018, 08:08:40 PM »
Morrow and Muskingum all in.
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1216 on: August 07, 2018, 08:08:54 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on August 07, 2018, 08:04:15 PM
Remember when people were saying yesterday that turnout was going to be 110-140k? LOL

Who said that?
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,918
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1217 on: August 07, 2018, 08:09:17 PM »
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,498
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1218 on: August 07, 2018, 08:09:22 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on August 07, 2018, 08:01:47 PM
Quote from: NOVA Green on August 07, 2018, 08:00:33 PM

Please share!!!!

It is a show and tell kind of evening in Ohio..... Wink

From where?  The Delaware website has the same results as the Ohio SoS website.

Precincts/Cities/Townships---- the type of raw data that NOVA likes to look at compared to historical results, demographics, etc.... Smiley
Logged
henster
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,022


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1219 on: August 07, 2018, 08:09:31 PM »
The gloating from Trump/GOP if Balderson wins will be unbearable no matter how narrow there will be endless talk of #RedWave Dems are doomed.
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,854
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1220 on: August 07, 2018, 08:09:34 PM »
Big dump in Franklin barely moves the needle. Lots still out in Richland as well as all of Delaware. Not good news.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,918
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1221 on: August 07, 2018, 08:10:07 PM »
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1222 on: August 07, 2018, 08:10:11 PM »
Quote from: henster on August 07, 2018, 08:09:31 PM
The gloating from Trump/GOP if Balderson wins will be unbearable no matter how narrow there will be endless talk of #RedWave Dems are doomed.

Who cares? Trump and the GOP gloat even when they lose, like when far left Pelosi liberal Lamb became a far right Trump loving Republican overnight.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,918
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1223 on: August 07, 2018, 08:11:26 PM »
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,092
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1224 on: August 07, 2018, 08:12:00 PM »
G Elliot Morris had Muskingum benchmark as R+4 but it's R+34 right now...are his numbers screwed up or what? Can somebody post an alternative set of benchmarks for verification?
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 44 45 46 47 48 [49] 50 51 52 53 54 ... 71  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.058 seconds with 9 queries.