OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 110920 times)
Sherrod Brown Shill
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« Reply #1175 on: August 07, 2018, 07:55:49 PM »

WEATHER DOES NOT HAVE A STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON ELECTION OUTCOMES. IF YOU DON'T VOTE BECAUSE OF RAIN OR HEAT, YOU WEREN'T GOING TO VOTE ANYWAY AND YOU WOULD HAVE FOUND ANOTHER EXCUSE.
Yeah but that one scene in the West Wing

I looked forever for this scene on YouTube but this is the best II can do.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1176 on: August 07, 2018, 07:56:18 PM »

I'm not liking the Licking County result, honestly.

O'Connor's benchmark is -18%, and he's at -17.9 so he's okay there.

There's still a ton of e-day vote out in Licking though, so it'll drop below -18%
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1177 on: August 07, 2018, 07:56:36 PM »

53.2%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   44,181   
46.1%   Troy Balderson   GOP   38,335   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   575   
32% of precincts reporting (189/591)
83,091 total votes
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1178 on: August 07, 2018, 07:56:38 PM »

I'm not liking the Licking County result, honestly.

O'Connor's benchmark is -18%, and he's at -17.9 so he's okay there.

He's almost certainly going to go further down.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1179 on: August 07, 2018, 07:57:24 PM »

Here are the precincts that have fully reported thus far in Franklin County....



Key question is are the outstanding ED precincts more Democratic or less Democratic than the overall County ED to date?Huh
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1180 on: August 07, 2018, 07:57:26 PM »

Danny O’Connor
Democrat
44,181   53.2%   
Troy Balderson
Republican
38,335   46.1   
Joe Manchik
Green
575   0.7   
83,091 votes, 32% reporting (189 of 591 precincts
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #1181 on: August 07, 2018, 07:57:39 PM »

Got something from Delaware!
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1182 on: August 07, 2018, 07:57:46 PM »

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ajc0918
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« Reply #1183 on: August 07, 2018, 07:58:13 PM »

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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1184 on: August 07, 2018, 07:58:33 PM »

I'm not liking the Licking County result, honestly.

Called it Yesterday.... Smiley
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1185 on: August 07, 2018, 07:59:36 PM »

Lol @ the people obsessing over Licking. DOC is hitting his benchmark there.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #1186 on: August 07, 2018, 08:00:08 PM »

Here are the precincts that have fully reported thus far in Franklin County....



Key question is are the outstanding ED precincts more Democratic or less Democratic than the overall County ED to date?Huh
I would guess less Democratic - I could be wrong though...
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #1187 on: August 07, 2018, 08:00:11 PM »

Lol @ the people obsessing over Licking. DOC is hitting his benchmark there.

No he's not. He's at -17.9% margin and it'll only get worse for him.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1188 on: August 07, 2018, 08:00:33 PM »


Please share!!!!

It is a show and tell kind of evening in Ohio..... Wink
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1189 on: August 07, 2018, 08:00:44 PM »

Lol @ the people obsessing over Licking. DOC is hitting his benchmark there.

No he's not. He's at -17.9% margin and it'll only get worse for him.

...-18 is his benchmark...
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1190 on: August 07, 2018, 08:00:58 PM »

I'm not liking the Licking County result, honestly.

Called it Yesterday.... Smiley

 baby oh what a crying shame
To let it all slip away
And call it yesterday
Oh baby my life would be so blue
My heart would break in two
Oh what a crying shame

The Mavericks "What a Crying Shame" Awesome song.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1191 on: August 07, 2018, 08:01:10 PM »

Most of the GOP areas are in and we don't have much in the Dem areas.

DelCO is gonna be the county to watch
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1192 on: August 07, 2018, 08:01:47 PM »


Please share!!!!

It is a show and tell kind of evening in Ohio..... Wink

From where?  The Delaware website has the same results as the Ohio SoS website.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #1193 on: August 07, 2018, 08:01:57 PM »

Lol @ the people obsessing over Licking. DOC is hitting his benchmark there.

No he's not. He's at -17.9% margin and it'll only get worse for him.

...-18 is his benchmark...

Read my full post. He's almost certain to do worse in the remaining e-day vote, and that'll pull him below the -18% benchmark.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1194 on: August 07, 2018, 08:02:24 PM »

Franklin's at 37% of all votes cast and counted thus far: I wonder what are the chances that said figure holds (or expands)...
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1195 on: August 07, 2018, 08:02:31 PM »

Danny O’Connor
Democrat
47,786   52.0%   
Troy Balderson
Republican
43,456   47.3   
Joe Manchik
Green
634   0.7   
91,876 votes, 36% reporting (214 of 591 precincts)
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1196 on: August 07, 2018, 08:02:37 PM »

   52%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   47,786   
47.3%   Troy Balderson   GOP   43,456   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   634   
36.2% of precincts reporting (214/591)
91,876 total votes
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1197 on: August 07, 2018, 08:02:40 PM »

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Nyvin
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« Reply #1198 on: August 07, 2018, 08:02:56 PM »

Licking just had a huge vote dump.
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Seattle
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« Reply #1199 on: August 07, 2018, 08:03:10 PM »

Lol @ the people obsessing over Licking. DOC is hitting his benchmark there.

No he's not. He's at -17.9% margin and it'll only get worse for him.

...-18 is his benchmark...

Read my full post. He's almost certain to do worse in the remaining e-day vote, and that'll pull him below the -18% benchmark.

Idk he's now -17.8 with 63/96 precincts in.
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