OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[Landslide Lyndon]

I thought Balderson was a tea party guy who was begrudgingly embraced by the establishment because he was at least less crazy than Lenaghan.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I get why Democrats in more conservative territory are disavowing Pelosi, but it kind of annoys me that Republicans are allowed to get away with marching in lockstep behind Ryan/McConnell no matter how Democratic their district/state is, even though some polls show them as even more unpopular than Pelosi. It just strikes me as buying into and surrendering against a GOP narrative, when you could instead use their own tactics against them.

In fact, the only time you see Republicans disavowing Ryan/McConnell is in primaries because they're deemed as Soros-funded globalist cocaine snorting RINOs, lol.

That pisses me off too, but it's a testament to how Republicans are able to hammer their narratives into the skulls of ordinary gullible Americans.

They are just taking advantage of Americans's inherent sexism and misogyny, and of the fact that the press corps is full of Halperins, Roses, and Thrushes who are all too eager to propagate their message.

[Landslide Lyndon]

JMC poll:

Balderson (R) 46%
O'Connor (R) 35%

Also in the district:

Brown 42%
Renacci 36%

DeWine 42%
Cordray 41%

Trump approval: 54/40

Hard to believe that O’Connor would underperform by so much, but if this poll is accurate, it’s great for Cordray as well, since he’s almost certainly ahead statewide if he’s only down 1 in OH-12.

And Trump's numbers are a bit gaudy for such a Rockefeller Republican district.
Didn't the other polls show him just breaking even?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Hmm. O'Connor has the facebook enthusiasm, surprisingly, considering Balderson is an established state senator. 4.3K likes to Balderson's 1.6K. Moving this race from Safe R to Likely R in my ratings.

In what way was this ever Safe R?

It's Limo, duh!

[Landslide Lyndon]

Today's update. Dems continue to fall modestly, but the difference today was that most of the decline went to a sharp uptick in "Other" voters, either those affiliated with a minor party or with none at all.

Yikes, I can see it dropping to 50 in about 4 days.

You seriously are on a quest to be more annoying than Limo

I, and many others I believe, have this joker on ignore. So please don't quote his posts.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/DanaHoule/status/1022894642013069312

That should be a no-brainer for every Dem candidate.
Unlike Pelosi, Jordan is a despicable human being.

[Landslide Lyndon]

http://www.dispatch.com/news/20180731/trump-stumping-for-balderson-on-saturday-in-central-ohio-ahead-of-special-election

Trump headed to suburban Delaware County to bail Balderson out. Looking more and more like things are spinning out of control for the GOP.

I don't think Delaware county is a hotbed of Trumpism.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Trump is an idiot

Evergreen post.

[Landslide Lyndon]

It'll be a real heartbreaker if O'Connor narrowly loses thanks to Manchik (G-Moscow)

Only alt-left nihilists and Putin's useful idiots would vote Green in today's environment.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I would guess Balderson by about 5 points. The Sarah Jeong story is really going to hurt O'Connor in this 87% white district.

You are trying too hard to be like Lief.
Not working.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Latest Emerson poll, from their podcast:

O'Connor 47%
Balderson 46%

Undecided 7%, MOE 5%

Talk about a photo finish! I honestly think this is as close to a 50/50 race as it gets at this point.

Unfortunately, it's Emerson.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The OH-12 race is tightening up.

A white collar Midwestern suburban bastion of Kasich and Tiberi.......could go to Democratic candidate Danny O'Connor.

An honor to have you among us Mr. Wolf Blitzer.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Morrow and Muskingum all in.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Balderson in the lead!

Has your kiddie diddler conceded yet?