OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[Thank you for being a friend...]

Does anyone know how this district voted in 2008 and 2012?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

O'Connor's lead falling fast with only 10% of the ED vote in.

An hour after polls closed and the Dem is now starting to lose grip on a R+7 district.

Pretty damn good, I'd say

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Does anyone know how this district voted in 2008 and 2012?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-ohio-12th-special-election/

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[136or142]

Does anyone know how this district voted in 2008 and 2012?

2008 would be under the old boundaries.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Danny O’Connor
Democrat
30,444   55.4%   
Troy Balderson
Republican
24,134   43.9   
Joe Manchik
Green
412   0.7   
54,990 votes, 18% reporting (106 of 591 precincts)

[Nyvin]

Does anyone know how this district voted in 2008 and 2012?

2008:
44.8D-53.7R

2012:
43.9D-54.4R   

[NOVA Green]

fwiw... Franklin County does have a pretty cool map that is updated regularly by precinct, unfortunately it doesn't make it easy to break down the overall EV/ED by precinct /Place, so just need to keep refreshing, but problem is that there are so many fracking precincts in the CD-12 portion of the County, I can't chase them down individually in real time....

https://vote.franklincountyohio.gov/elections/

Great find! Thanks!

Dems are still holding 2:1 ED votes in Franklin with ~35% of precincts fully reporting....

[136or142]

Danny O’Connor
Democrat
30,444   55.4%   
Troy Balderson
Republican
24,134   43.9   
Joe Manchik
Green
412   0.7   
54,990 votes, 18% reporting (106 of 591 precincts)

I was putting in the raw vote.  !!!!

[Seattle]

Franklin just dumped: 22,981 (71%) - 9,371 (29%)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Everything on Twitter is either really good news for DOC, or slightly bad news for him.

[ajc0918]

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1026993990963523586

[136or142]

If you include the write in votes from Delaware County, Joe Biden is in the lead.

Ellen Lipton is trailing in Michigan, I guess she wasn't everybody's cup of tea.

Don't forget to tip your poll worker.

[BudgieForce]

Franklin just dumped: 22,981 (71%) - 9,371 (29%)

TMI

[GeorgiaModerate]

Everything on Twitter is either really good news for DOC, or slightly bad news for him.

Yeah, it's still very early, but atm I think the O'Connor camp is happier than Balderson's.

[ajc0918]

DOC campaign happy with Marion results:

https://twitter.com/JasonMMcGrath/status/1026994248149880833

[IceSpear]

Delaware County, with no ED vote reporting, is the elephant in the room right now.

[Seattle]

O'Connor 40,014   57.1%
Balderson 29,602   42.2
Manchik 488   0.7

[136or142]

57.1%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   40,014   
42.2%   Troy Balderson   GOP   29,602   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   488   
27.2% of precincts reporting (161/591)
70,104 total votes

[Holmes]

It's going to come down to Delaware county just like PA-18 came down to Westmoreland.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Danny O’Connor
Democrat
43,968   53.4%   
Troy Balderson
Republican
37,754   45.9   
Joe Manchik
Green
572   0.7   
82,294 votes, 31% reporting (186 of 591 precincts)

[136or142]

53.4%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   43,968   
45.9%   Troy Balderson   GOP   37,754   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   572   
31.5% of precincts reporting (186/591)
82,294 total votes

[ON Progressive]

I'm not liking the Licking County result, honestly.

[Seattle]

I'm not liking the Licking County result, honestly.

O'Connor's benchmark is -18%, and he's at -17.9 so he's okay there.

[Antonio the Sixth]

O'Connor's lead falling fast with only 10% of the ED vote in.

That is 100% expected.

Really? I expected him to rise from a 60 point lead to a 70 point lead!

Of course he was going to lose ground. The point is how fast.

Down to 7.5 points already.

[Xing]

Licking county isn't looking good for O'Connor, but there's still a lot of votes left in Franklin. It's probably going to come down to Delaware.