Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Lief 🗽]

Quinnipiac should have had their polling license officially revoked after 2020. It's shocking that they're still allowed to publish these.

When you find the authority that issues polling licenses, do let us know.

Well, the fact that Quinnipiac is still allowed to publish this unadulterated rubbish is a pretty strong argument in favor of creating such an authority.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It could always be worse.

Look at the Recall, Biden support hasn't wanted on all California it's the same, lol as of now we are looking at a 304 map


It's exaggerated, the polls and we still have 500 days til Election and Rubio, DeSantis and Mabel are leading by the skin of their teeth


Every single county in Cali has voted the same way it voted in 2020

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

qtrash has biden at 42-50

underwater on every issue

but....+17 among college whites 56-39

underwater with trailer whites, 28-65

And yet D +3 on Generic Ballot with undecideds skewing especially younger. There is definitely at the moment a Biden mild disapprove/D vote category.

If you dig hard enough in a poll, you'll always cherry-pick find a numbers you like. If I recall correctly, other recent pollsters didn't show much difference between Biden's net approvals and GB. Also, don't undecideds always skewing younger (that is the people that votes less often)?



Trends inn Quinnipiac poll since August 2:

All Adults:
42 (-4)
50 (+7)

RV:
44 (-3)
50 (+6)

GB:
All Adults:
45 (-/-) D
42 (-/-) R

RV:
47 (+2) D
43 (-1) R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't listen to QU unless they start polling statewide races, this was the same WU that had Biden up 14 over Trump, said McGrath was 4 pts behind McConnell, and had Biden leading Trump on the final weekend in OH

Now, Conservatives want to listen to QU because it benefits them, it's in the 2020 poll Database

Also it said Harrison was tied with Graham and Graham won 60/40%

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Yougov;

46% approve (+3)
49% disapprove (-3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Yougov;

46% approve (+3)
49% disapprove (-3)

Full details:

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 12-14, 1500 adults including 1252 RV (note: 538 currently has this incorrectly linked to last week's survey)


Adults:

Approve 44 (+5)
Disapprove 48 (-2)

Strongly approve 20 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-2)


RV:

Approve 46 (+3)
Disapprove 49 (-3)

Strongly approve 23 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-3)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There needs to be accountability for what happened in Afghanistan and the voters aren't getting it, the SOS needs to resign, the Taliban is control

D's think that just getting everyone out is okay but it's not

Just is just as liable as Trump keeping Barr during Ukraine that's why Biden has 44%, but at least at this rate I don't have to donate 44% is the bar where an incumbent loses the House and Hassan and CCM are vulnerable too

But, who knows what happens in a yr


At these atrocious Approvals I am not donating

[slothdem]

The California results make it pretty clear that Biden's approval slide is illusory. He got dinged by people who consume mainstream news and were influenced by the endless parade of pro-forever war pundits criticizing Biden. A majority of this big beautiful country continues to support both the President's economic and foreign policy agenda. But mostly they support how seriously the President takes COVID-19.

[Progressive Pessimist]

The California results make it pretty clear that Biden's approval slide is illusory. He got dinged by people who consume mainstream news and were influenced by the endless parade of pro-forever war pundits criticizing Biden. A majority of this big beautiful country continues to support both the President's economic and foreign policy agenda. But mostly they support how seriously the President takes COVID-19.

Eh, as slightly comforted as I am by the recall results, it is still California we're talking about here. Virginia might be a wee bit more representational example when it comes to analyzing this year's major statewide elections.

[Devils30]

The California results make it pretty clear that Biden's approval slide is illusory. He got dinged by people who consume mainstream news and were influenced by the endless parade of pro-forever war pundits criticizing Biden. A majority of this big beautiful country continues to support both the President's economic and foreign policy agenda. But mostly they support how seriously the President takes COVID-19.

Eh, as slightly comforted as I am by the recall results, it is still California we're talking about here. Virginia might be a wee bit more representational example when it comes to analyzing this year's major statewide elections.

If Orange is D +5 the GOP is not coming close enough in NoVA, Richmond and tidewater suburbs to keep it terribly close.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/ThisWeekABC/status/1437063911962992644

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/ThisWeekABC/status/1437063911962992644

As I said before the Election is next yr not this Nov, users get so caught up in 2021 Approvals, it's not 2022

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1438518212006612992

Americans are divided over whether Biden seriously mishandled the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan (48%) or if he did the best he could in a bad situation (49%). At the same time, only 29% believe the current Afghan situation would have been better if the U.S. had postponed the withdrawal deadline until later in the year. Most Americans (62%) say the situation there would be the same no matter when we withdrew. Among those who feel Biden mishandled the situation, 47% say it would have been better if the U.S. pushed back its deadline while 42% say the situation would have been the same regardless.

Two-thirds of Americans (66%) approve of the decision to withdraw the U.S. presence in Afghanistan. Just 27% disapprove. Approval for this policy decision, regardless of how the actual pullout was handled, comes from about 3 in 4 Democrats (76%) and independents (72%) but just under half of Republicans (47%).

46 (-2)
46 (+2)

RV
47 (-2)
46 (+2)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not even Patrick Murray can sugar coat this calamity.

We won Cali with the same margin as we did in 202o, if Biden so low it would have been like 51/45 No on recall

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We won Cali with the same margin as we did in 202o, if Biden so 🦋 w it would have been like 51/45 No on recall

Not all ballots are counted. Margin is expected to close by 4-6 points. It's a 285R map.

No it's not, it's a 304 map if Newsom got the same margin as he dod



Every Senate poll except for NV and N
AZ,WI, CO and PA had D's leading

aZ, CO, PA D's lead by 9 And WI D's lead 48/44

[MR DARK BRANDON]

We won Cali with the same margin as we did in 202o, if Biden so 🦋 w it would have been like 51/45 No on recall

Not all ballots are counted. Margin is expected to close by 4-6 points. It's a 285R map.

No it's not, it's a 304 map if Newsom got the same margin as he dod



Every Senate poll except for NV and N
AZ,WI, CO and PA had D's leading

aZ, CO, PA D's lead by 9 And WI D's lead 48/44

Maybe we could see something similar to the 304 map but I doubt that democrats are going to win Ohio

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We won Cali with the same margin as we did in 202o, if Biden so 🦋 w it would have been like 51/45 No on recall

Not all ballots are counted. Margin is expected to close by 4-6 points. It's a 285R map.

No it's not, it's a 304 map if Newsom got the same margin as he dod



Every Senate poll except for NV and N
AZ,WI, CO and PA had D's leading

aZ, CO, PA D's lead by 9 And WI D's lead 48/44

Maybe we could see something similar to the 304 map but I doubt that democrats are going to win Ohio

You keep saying that but Ryan and Demings and Crist are 3(4 pts down and we don't know what Biden Approvals are gonna be a yr  from now, Pittsburgh already endorsed Ryan


Biden won't be in the mid 40s once he get Debt Ceiling increase and 2.9T and Infrastructure enacted those are polls now

I already donate 6.00 a mnth to Rya
We have won OH before, it's not Alabama, Biden was on the same ballot as Obama in 2008/2012

If a Blk man can win it Biden can


We don't have the debates, DeSantis came back from 6 pts down with Guilliam in 2018

OH, IA, NC, FL are Statehood states bypass the Filibuster were won before

Brown has won every race, if we don't want to lose Brown, Ryan better win

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Biden's support was always predicated on exactly two factors: not being Trump, and being a force of stability. He didn't have wildly supportive fans but there were a lot of people tired of the 24/7 Trump newscycle and wanted a return to normal life.

For the first few months it seemed like he was doing that, and the media (excluding FOX etc) refused to cover anything that made him look bad. So as lockdowns ended and vaccines rolled out it seemed like life was returning to normal.

Afghanistan might not be directly important to most people but it broke the illusion. The media was always more loyal to their defense contractor advertisers than to Biden so they attacked him relentlessly, and the actual execution was so clearly inept that they had a point. For two weeks outlets from around the world showed top American officials and generals making themselves look like Baghdad Bob, constantly making claims and predictions that were disproven weeks or even days later. The end result was to seriously discredit the "experts" around Biden, and when the quality of the people around him was such a big selling point it hurts more broadly.

COVID and the economy aren't great either because Biden's whole premise was that he'd make the former a thing of the past and the latter boom. Instead he's on the backfoot trying to pin COVID on Republicans and their governors while the economy is closer to stagflation than any kind of boom.

Every day that people are paying attention to the news, especially the further we get from the Trump years, the worse it is for Biden. If the news is boring then Biden can hold his support, if there's chaos in the news (even if Biden isn't necessarily responsible) then the factors in his favour, especially without a President Trump to motivate people to turn out against, start to fall apart. "We have to stop Tucker Carlson" and "we have to stop Ron DeSantis" or even "we have to stop some random wacky congresswoman" are all far weaker causes to fight for since of course none of them are the President.

[Progressive Pessimist]

The California results make it pretty clear that Biden's approval slide is illusory. He got dinged by people who consume mainstream news and were influenced by the endless parade of pro-forever war pundits criticizing Biden. A majority of this big beautiful country continues to support both the President's economic and foreign policy agenda. But mostly they support how seriously the President takes COVID-19.

Eh, as slightly comforted as I am by the recall results, it is still California we're talking about here. Virginia might be a wee bit more representational example when it comes to analyzing this year's major statewide elections.

If Orange is D +5 the GOP is not coming close enough in NoVA, Richmond and tidewater suburbs to keep it terribly close.

True, but I am not personally expecting a close race in Virginia, another safe D state, either. If Michigan or Wisconsin had an election this year maybe I'd feel optimistic about Biden having consistent positive approval ratings.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah Rs know exactly what Bidens Approvals are gonna be in a yr, lol, once the Bills pass infrastructure and Reconciliation, they will because if Pelosi needs to she will combine them with the Debt Ceiling, you can't default on debt, because you can't have a pernament Govt shutdown, and SSA checks will be delayed, Biden Approvals will improve

[GeorgiaModerate]

Monmouth, Sep. 9-13, 802 adults including 747 RVs (change from July)

Adults:

Approve 46 (-2)
Disapprove 46 (+2)

RV:

Approve 47 (-2)
Disapprove 46 (+2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Sep. 15-16, 1005 adults

Approve 44 (-3)
Disapprove 50 (+4)

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Lol trash

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trash it T Mac leads in VA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have a theory why Rs are still trailing in Gov polls, they are obstructing VR, insurrection and the Debt Ceiling

Boehner tried that in 2011 and it cost Romney the WH, as R Congressional Approvals are abysmal