Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Matty]

qtrash has biden at 42-50

underwater on every issue

but....+17 among college whites 56-39

underwater with trailer whites, 28-65

And yet D +3 on Generic Ballot with undecideds skewing especially younger. There is definitely at the moment a Biden mild disapprove/D vote category.

My advice is to disregard qtrash entirely.

Their 2020 performance was shameful and they don't deserve credibility until they re-earn it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Stop taking polls so seriously, Q needs to poll individual states not just Approvals

[Comrade Funk]

God get a grip and stop paying attention to this garbage. Both sides.

[wbrocks67]

It's like Q-pac tried to fix itself and just ran the opposite way. They also only had Biden 46/43 in Early August when he was +8-10 on average nationally.

[pbrower2a]

Biden 57/37 fav in NY per Siena

https://www.scribd.com/document/525193942/SNY0921-Crosstabs

...and Donald Quisling Trump at 33-61.

Because this is a favorability poll I am not going to put it on the map.

[wbrocks67]

Data for Progress just released a bunch of new state polls. Old, from 8/20-8/27, but also probably the low water mark for Biden since it was directly in the midst of the Afghanistan media hysteria.

August 20-27

Favorability
Washington: 57/42 (+15)
Oregon: 56/43 (+13)
Colorado: 52/46 (+6)
Pennsylvania: 50/49 (+1)
Georgia: 49/49 (=)
Wisconsin: 48/50 (-2)
Arizona: 48/51 (-3)
New Hampshire: 49/52 (-3)
Michigan: 47/51 (-4)
North Carolina: 46/51 (-5)
Montana: 37/63 (-26)
West Virginia: 33/62 (-29)

Job approval
Washington: 55/42 (+13)
Oregon: 55/44 (+11)
Colorado: 52/47 (+5)
Pennsylvania: 50/50 (=)
Arizona: 49/50 (-1)
Gerogia: 48/50 (-2)
Michigan: 48/50 (-2)
New Hampshire: 49/51 (-2)
Wisconsin: 48/52 (-4)
North Carolina: 46/52 (-6)
Montana: 38/61 (-23)
West Virginia: 34/65 (-31)

https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/voters-in-key-states-support-the-build-back-better-agenda

[wbrocks67]

qtrash has biden at 42-50

underwater on every issue

but....+17 among college whites 56-39

underwater with trailer whites, 28-65

And yet D +3 on Generic Ballot with undecideds skewing especially younger. There is definitely at the moment a Biden mild disapprove/D vote category.

This is what I suspected.. there are a lot of D voters who are openly admitting they're not a fan of what's going on right now, but that doesn't mean they won't approve of Biden when he does something they like, and doesn't mean they're itching to vote R either.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's 1 yr before the Election folks it's not Doomsday for D's Trump was polling 41% this time In 2018

[pbrower2a]

Data for Progress just released a bunch of new state polls. Old, from 8/20-8/27, but also probably the low water mark for Biden since it was directly in the midst of the Afghanistan media hysteria.

August 20-27

Favorability
Washington: 57/42 (+15)
Oregon: 56/43 (+13)
Colorado: 52/46 (+6)
Pennsylvania: 50/49 (+1)
Georgia: 49/49 (=)
Wisconsin: 48/50 (-2)
Arizona: 48/51 (-3)
New Hampshire: 49/52 (-3)
Michigan: 47/51 (-4)
North Carolina: 46/51 (-5)
Montana: 37/63 (-26)
West Virginia: 33/62 (-29)

Job approval
Washington: 55/42 (+13)
Oregon: 55/44 (+11)
Colorado: 52/47 (+5)
Pennsylvania: 50/50 (=)
Arizona: 49/50 (-1)
Georgia: 48/50 (-2)
Michigan: 48/50 (-2)
New Hampshire: 49/51 (-2)
Wisconsin: 48/52 (-4)
North Carolina: 46/52 (-6)
Montana: 38/61 (-23)
West Virginia: 34/65 (-31)

https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/voters-in-key-states-support-the-build-back-better-agenda

Close to the low point, and I suggest that we keep this in mind as other polls come in. No way is Biden up by a thread in Texas!

Americans will likely have their focus on infrastructure, voting rights, abortion rights -- and COVID-19.   

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

white: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The new normal...

Do you honestly believe that this will be the map a yr from now no, stop acting like it's 2024 and it's not

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once D's sweep 2021 it will prove the prognosticators wrong, when we win VA

[Lief 🗽]

Quinnipiac should have had their polling license officially revoked after 2020. It's shocking that they're still allowed to publish these.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac should have had their polling license officially revoked after 2020. It's shocking that they're still allowed to publish these.

When you find the authority that issues polling licenses, do let us know.

[Lief 🗽]

Quinnipiac should have had their polling license officially revoked after 2020. It's shocking that they're still allowed to publish these.

When you find the authority that issues polling licenses, do let us know.

Well, the fact that Quinnipiac is still allowed to publish this unadulterated rubbish is a pretty strong argument in favor of creating such an authority.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It could always be worse.

Look at the Recall, Biden support hasn't wanted on all California it's the same, lol as of now we are looking at a 304 map


It's exaggerated, the polls and we still have 500 days til Election and Rubio, DeSantis and Mabel are leading by the skin of their teeth


Every single county in Cali has voted the same way it voted in 2020

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

qtrash has biden at 42-50

underwater on every issue

but....+17 among college whites 56-39

underwater with trailer whites, 28-65

And yet D +3 on Generic Ballot with undecideds skewing especially younger. There is definitely at the moment a Biden mild disapprove/D vote category.

If you dig hard enough in a poll, you'll always cherry-pick find a numbers you like. If I recall correctly, other recent pollsters didn't show much difference between Biden's net approvals and GB. Also, don't undecideds always skewing younger (that is the people that votes less often)?



Trends inn Quinnipiac poll since August 2:

All Adults:
42 (-4)
50 (+7)

RV:
44 (-3)
50 (+6)

GB:
All Adults:
45 (-/-) D
42 (-/-) R

RV:
47 (+2) D
43 (-1) R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't listen to QU unless they start polling statewide races, this was the same WU that had Biden up 14 over Trump, said McGrath was 4 pts behind McConnell, and had Biden leading Trump on the final weekend in OH

Now, Conservatives want to listen to QU because it benefits them, it's in the 2020 poll Database

Also it said Harrison was tied with Graham and Graham won 60/40%

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Yougov;

46% approve (+3)
49% disapprove (-3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Yougov;

46% approve (+3)
49% disapprove (-3)

Full details:

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 12-14, 1500 adults including 1252 RV (note: 538 currently has this incorrectly linked to last week's survey)


Adults:

Approve 44 (+5)
Disapprove 48 (-2)

Strongly approve 20 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-2)


RV:

Approve 46 (+3)
Disapprove 49 (-3)

Strongly approve 23 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-3)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There needs to be accountability for what happened in Afghanistan and the voters aren't getting it, the SOS needs to resign, the Taliban is control

D's think that just getting everyone out is okay but it's not

Just is just as liable as Trump keeping Barr during Ukraine that's why Biden has 44%, but at least at this rate I don't have to donate 44% is the bar where an incumbent loses the House and Hassan and CCM are vulnerable too

But, who knows what happens in a yr


At these atrocious Approvals I am not donating

[slothdem]

The California results make it pretty clear that Biden's approval slide is illusory. He got dinged by people who consume mainstream news and were influenced by the endless parade of pro-forever war pundits criticizing Biden. A majority of this big beautiful country continues to support both the President's economic and foreign policy agenda. But mostly they support how seriously the President takes COVID-19.

[Progressive Pessimist]

The California results make it pretty clear that Biden's approval slide is illusory. He got dinged by people who consume mainstream news and were influenced by the endless parade of pro-forever war pundits criticizing Biden. A majority of this big beautiful country continues to support both the President's economic and foreign policy agenda. But mostly they support how seriously the President takes COVID-19.

Eh, as slightly comforted as I am by the recall results, it is still California we're talking about here. Virginia might be a wee bit more representational example when it comes to analyzing this year's major statewide elections.

[Devils30]

The California results make it pretty clear that Biden's approval slide is illusory. He got dinged by people who consume mainstream news and were influenced by the endless parade of pro-forever war pundits criticizing Biden. A majority of this big beautiful country continues to support both the President's economic and foreign policy agenda. But mostly they support how seriously the President takes COVID-19.

Eh, as slightly comforted as I am by the recall results, it is still California we're talking about here. Virginia might be a wee bit more representational example when it comes to analyzing this year's major statewide elections.

If Orange is D +5 the GOP is not coming close enough in NoVA, Richmond and tidewater suburbs to keep it terribly close.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/ThisWeekABC/status/1437063911962992644

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/ThisWeekABC/status/1437063911962992644

As I said before the Election is next yr not this Nov, users get so caught up in 2021 Approvals, it's not 2022