Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1440082758949163022?s=20

[Cyrusman]

According to the The Detroit news Biden’s approval in Michigan is 39/53. If those numbers are anywhere accurate that is horrific for Michigan.

[GeorgiaModerate]

According to the The Detroit news Biden’s approval in Michigan is 39/53. If those numbers are anywhere accurate that is horrific for Michigan.

Interestingly, a poll by a partisan firm working for the Craig campaign has Biden's approval in Michigan at 48/51, which seems more plausible.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/09/20/exclusive-michigan-polls-james-craig-dominant-in-primary-tied-with-gretchen-whitmer-in-general/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

According to the The Detroit news Biden’s approval in Michigan is 39/53. If those numbers are anywhere accurate that is horrific for Michigan.

Wow

Last poll taken had Whitmer ahead

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1440082758949163022?s=20

Voters as soon as he runs for Prez will be reminded he is an Insurrectionists

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Voters need another UBI Stimulus check not just a spending bill, abd Congress arguing over Debt Ceiling is making matters worse

The 1400 was based on COVID ending, one more stimulus check need to be added

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's possible a Red wave can in fact happen and D's lose both Houses, but then again Rs haven't cracked the Blue wall since 2016..Covid has dictated the Election but did Biden Eradicate Covid like he said he was going to do no, and let Taliban back empowered

39% Appreciate Val's in MI

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I seriously doubt TX us gonna flip with Beto but he can keep our House seats Dem even if he loses, best for D's the bonafide we OH and NC as wave insurance and hope Jackson not Beasley win, she tripped over herself on Filibuster

FL unfortunately, DeSantis and Rubio gotta bump from Surfside

[wbrocks67]

According to the The Detroit news Biden’s approval in Michigan is 39/53. If those numbers are anywhere accurate that is horrific for Michigan.

I may be called a hack (basically already have been), but yeah, some of these states polls just reek. Even when Trump was like -20-25 nationally, he didn't even see those types of #s in places like Michigan, so I have a hard time seeing Biden -14 in Michigan when he's -2/-3 on average nationally right now per 538. That would mean Michigan is over 10% to the right of the country, despite being pretty damn close to the 2020 result nationally.

[wbrocks67]

According to the The Detroit news Biden’s approval in Michigan is 39/53. If those numbers are anywhere accurate that is horrific for Michigan.

Interestingly, a poll by a partisan firm working for the Craig campaign has Biden's approval in Michigan at 48/51, which seems more plausible.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/09/20/exclusive-michigan-polls-james-craig-dominant-in-primary-tied-with-gretchen-whitmer-in-general/

This would make perfect sense lining up with Biden's approval avg right now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Users think that just because Barnes is tied in an internal it's doom and gloom no it's not, Barnes will win Johnson hasn't lead in a single poll

[GeorgiaModerate]

Virginia: PPP, Sep. 17-18, 875 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 46

In the governor's race, McAuliffe (D) leads Youngkin (R) 45-42.

[pbrower2a]

Virginia: PPP, Sep. 17-18, 875 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 46

In the governor's race, McAuliffe (D) leads Youngkin (R) 45-42.

Barely underwater to barely over for the President... so don't make more of this poll than is justified. The political damage from the US departure from Afghanistan seems to be abating. This said, the hemorrhaging seems to have stopped.

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

white: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

[Devils30]

Virginia: PPP, Sep. 17-18, 875 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 46

In the governor's race, McAuliffe (D) leads Youngkin (R) 45-42.

Not a big crossover from 2020 with Youngkin not really winning over Biden supporters. I think this will be over 6% in the end.

[wbrocks67]

Virginia: PPP, Sep. 17-18, 875 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 46

In the governor's race, McAuliffe (D) leads Youngkin (R) 45-42.

And looks like the main culprit is Biden voters saying "not sure". You have 1% of Trump voters say not sure on approval, but 11% of Biden voters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a Neutral Environment in the Senate given that tied WI tied poll and if anyone thinks it's an R wave or Blue Wave are putting ROSE COLORED GLASSES ON

It's always a 304 map D's aren't winning TX, FL or NC, NATE SILVER SAYS SONON YOU TUBE VOICE, IT WAS UN 2016/2018, 2020, WE JUST HAD BETTER CHANCES IN HOUSE I. 2018 DUE TO R RETIREMENTS

We don't know what happens in House but a Govt shutdown isn't good for Speakership, Pelosi not McConnell gets blamed

[wbrocks67]

IA-Selzer

9/12-9/15 (changes from June)
31% approve (-12)
62% disapprove (+10)

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/09/21/president-joe-biden-job-approval-rating-plunges-after-afghanistan-covid-surge/8378224002/

Selzer has of course proven to be the gold standard, but for this to be true, we'd likely be looking at about a Biden -20 approval nationally, give or take.

[Mr.Phips]

IA-Selzer

9/12-9/15 (changes from June)
31% approve (-12)
62% disapprove (+10)

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/09/21/president-joe-biden-job-approval-rating-plunges-after-afghanistan-covid-surge/8378224002/

Selzer has of course proven to be the gold standard, but for this to be true, we'd likely be looking at about a Biden -20 approval nationally, give or take.

Iowa is the exact type of state (heavily white and not as many college educated voters) where you would expect to see Biden’s approval drop much more than nationally.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Govt shutdown looming over DEBT CEILING IS GGONNA COST DS THE H

[GeorgiaModerate]

ARG economic survey (monthly), Sep. 17-20, 1100 adults including 991 RV

Adults:

Approve 50 (+1)
Disapprove 46 (nc)

RV:

Approve 51 (+1)
Disapprove 46 (nc)

[MT Treasurer]

IA-Selzer

9/12-9/15 (changes from June)
31% approve (-12)
62% disapprove (+10)

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/09/21/president-joe-biden-job-approval-rating-plunges-after-afghanistan-covid-surge/8378224002/

This state is so gone for Democrats it’s not even funny. Could see it voting 15-16 points to the right of the nation in 2024 (it was 11 points more R than the nation in 2020).

[pbrower2a]

Virginia: PPP, Sep. 17-18, 875 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 46

In the governor's race, McAuliffe (D) leads Youngkin (R) 45-42.

Not a big crossover from 2020 with Youngkin not really winning over Biden supporters. I think this will be over 6% in the end.

Probably. Incumbents typically gain about 6% from governing or legislating to campaigning.    

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

IA-Selzer

9/12-9/15 (changes from June)
31% approve (-12)
62% disapprove (+10)

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/09/21/president-joe-biden-job-approval-rating-plunges-after-afghanistan-covid-surge/8378224002/

This state is so gone for Democrats it’s not even funny.

But, BUT, BUT, INDY REPUBLICAN, you told us the news that Abby Fink was gonna win🤔🤔🤔

The RED WALL EXCEPT FOR OH AND NC WHERE JACKSON AND RYAN CAN STILL WIN ARE DONE, THEY'RE BLUE DOGS OR MODERATES WE STILL CAN WIN 54/46  SENATE SEAT PLUS 222/216 D H seats AND SUPPORTS STATEHOOD

BEASLEY SHOULD NOT BE ENDORSEMENT, SHE SUPPORTERS FILLIBUSTER🦷

[Person Man]

It would be crazy if 24 and 28 had a situation where Democrats won because of a rebalance in efficiency caused by states like Ohio, Iowa, maybe Florida, and perhaps a couple of others giving Republicans the same type of margins they get in the Deep South. Let’s see say this takes what would of been a 4% victory for the Democrats and turns it into a 1% victory for them as they limp across the finish line in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and comfortably win Minnesota, New Hampshire and perhaps Arizona and Georgia by 2%.

[Devils30]

It would be crazy if 24 and 28 had a situation where Democrats won because of a rebalance in efficiency caused by states like Ohio, Iowa, maybe Florida, and perhaps a couple of others giving Republicans the same type of margins they get in the Deep South. Let’s see say this takes what would of been a 4% victory for the Democrats and turns it into a 1% victory for them as they limp across the finish line in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and comfortably win Minnesota, New Hampshire and perhaps Arizona and Georgia by 2%.

People are underestimating how many competitive states we might have over the next decade. It is quite a few. You can make a case for all of AZ, NV, MI, WI, PA, NH, ME, MN, NC, TX, FL, GA to be competitive in a given election. The trends of urban Hispanics in the sunbelt might be different than their rural counterparts, Rs could gain even more in the rural midwest, pushing WI, PA to clearly lean R. Dems could benefit from demographics pushing GA out of reach and making NC a tipping point state rather than right leaning. We really just don't know what will happen.