Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah and Rassy has Trump ahead ,50/47, that was FAKE NEWS, it's NEWS WORTHY IF AN INC isS AT 50% HE NEVER LOSES AN ELECTION SAME WITH CONGRESS, IF DS ARE AT 50% AND THEY LEAD GENERIC BALLOT, THEY'RE MORE LIKELY THAN NOT TO KEEP THE TRIFECTA

D's have been ahead the whole time on the Generic ballot, it doesn't really matter about 304 blue wall because Cook just downgraded R chances in H and 53 Senate seats isn't impossible either, OH and FL are within 3 pts DeSantis came back from six down to Gillium during the debates

So can Demings, Crist and Ryan and I am hoping Kunce gets in like Lander, Beasley six, she supports Fillibuster

Decorated Marine Vet

[pbrower2a]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Not bad for President Biden under the circumstances.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Oh wow.

So much for your 304 blue map, McCounghey leads Abbott 44(35% and Beto moves closed, 304 isn't the end all he all, Ryan can win


https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2021/09/19/abbotts-right-turn-deflates-gop-rivals-but-opens-door-for-orourke-mcconaughey-newsut-tyler-poll/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Your map in TX is right McCounghey leads Greg Abbott by nine
Not bad for President Biden under the circumstances.

Rs can lose House seats in TX

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I said it's the Floor, not the Ceiling and anything can happen in 14 mnths, Obama wasn't even leading in CO let alone OH until the Economic collapse in Sept 2008 and we won 376 EC votes, we were behind in the H in 2017/ and won 33 H seats in 2018, a blue wave can happen, it doesn't happen a yr prior to the Election no ways, we won those seats on debates and Advertising, Aug and Oct of the Election yr

You will see next yr when we get 53 seats and keep the H and  we surpass your 304 little map  and win more, and get DC statehood

We can't let another Election cycle go by with Sinema and Manchin controlling the Filibuster, Tester, Fetterman and Ryan are ready now to get Statehood but the Election hasn't happened yet

[pbrower2a]

Texas, UT-Tyler for the Dallas Morning News:

An obsolete poll bites the dust. 40 approval 52 disapproval. Huge undecided.


https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2021/09/19/abbotts-right-turn-deflates-gop-rivals-but-opens-door-for-orourke-mcconaughey-newsut-tyler-poll/

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

white: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden Approvals are 50/48 it matches his Election night numbers of 50745 it's a 304 map with GA going to a Runoff, but still hopeful of a wave



AZ is going D, Kelly leads by nine

That's why I am rooting for D's but won't donate, we know how it went last time, be careful about donations, I dished out alot of cash to Bullock and he lost anyways


Some users have Charles Booker Endorsements, LOL

The same can be said about Ryan and Demings, Beasley hurt herself by coming out for the Filibuster

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not really if it's the same 304 map as before the Ds lose the H in 2022/ S in 2024 due to the Filibuster but Biden can get Reelected because OH, WVA and MT would be lost in 2024 and Casey, Baldwin, STABENOW, Klobuchar, Kaine certify the EC battleground

After 2022 it can be a 220RH and 52 or 51 D S and net lose OH, WVA and MT that's 48 Seats, but D's can win Senate back in 2026 winning GA, IA, ME and NC

Obama won in 2012 with an R H, but it's Manchin and Sinema fault they won't get rid of Filibuster on VR and Debt Ceiling and Minimum wage, we can sail the 4=7T package they without 60 votes on Debt ceiling


That's a 50/45 Scenario and Biden is at 50/48 Approvals, the Neutral cycle, but if it's a D wave then all bets are off on 2024( and DC Statehood

I just say don't donate too much money to wave insurance candidates look what happened to Bullock in 2020, he was expected to win and he LOST, like some users are endorsing Charles Booker, Cheri Beasley and Demings

[wbrocks67]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Given the CA result, this seems realistic. Biden being even nationally lines up with what we're seeing. Stuff like -12 in TX and even the 46/51 in Virginia seem like outliers, even if Biden was down 2-3 nationally.

[Devils30]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Given the CA result, this seems realistic. Biden being even nationally lines up with what we're seeing. Stuff like -12 in TX and even the 46/51 in Virginia seem like outliers, even if Biden was down 2-3 nationally.

Yep, Biden at +26 instead of +19 in CA is more consistent with the results.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Link to the poll?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Link to the poll?

https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2021/09/Fox_September-12-15_National_Topline_September-19-Release.pdf

We also have strong approval/disapproval at 25 (-3) / 36 (nc).  The previous poll was August 7-10.

[Matty]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Given the CA result, this seems realistic. Biden being even nationally lines up with what we're seeing. Stuff like -12 in TX and even the 46/51 in Virginia seem like outliers, even if Biden was down 2-3 nationally.

a -12 texas result lines up almost perfectly with biden being even nationally.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Troop withdrawn in Afghanistan and Taloban taking over still haunts Biden,  that wasn't a great move by Biden

But, the Election is not for another ye, let's not exaggerate these polls

[wbrocks67]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Given the CA result, this seems realistic. Biden being even nationally lines up with what we're seeing. Stuff like -12 in TX and even the 46/51 in Virginia seem like outliers, even if Biden was down 2-3 nationally.

a -12 texas result lines up almost perfectly with biden being even nationally.

-12 is closer to Biden being down 2 or 3 nationally. That would be about a 7pt swing, from the 2020 results, that would be Biden -3. I'd expect more like Biden -8/9 in TX for even nationally.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

After the defeat of immigration reform and Biden letting illegals jump over the Border Wall, we can now say that's it's a 304 map, TX and FL aren't going D for Gob

[wbrocks67]

RMG Research
Sept 16-18 (changes from Sept 10-11)

48% approve (+1)
48% disapprove (=)

https://scottrasmussen.com/biden-job-approval-stabilizes-48-approve-48-disapprove/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

pbower2A I know why Trump is leading Biden, most firmer Prez get rehabilitated after they leave office they haven't been under scrutiny, Bush W with Abu Grab got rehabilitated after he left office with Ieaq

When voters are reminded of insurrection he will fail, WI, PA, MI aren't gonna do to Biden and us like they did to Hillary, they won't vote for an Insurrectionists, that's why Ds are dong well

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Harris Poll;

48% approve
50% disapprove

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/573036-poll-biden-trump-statistically-tied-in-favorability

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is near the 50% mark he gotten in 2020 50/45 don't let these underwater Approvals fool you

[wbrocks67]

Harris Poll;

48% approve
50% disapprove

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/573036-poll-biden-trump-statistically-tied-in-favorability

They have Trump with a *POSITIVE* favorability? Objectively - throw this right in the dumpster. Come on.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Harris Poll;

48% approve
50% disapprove

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/573036-poll-biden-trump-statistically-tied-in-favorability

They have Trump with a *POSITIVE* favorability? Objectively - throw this right in the dumpster. Come on.

He's not under scrutiny, that's why he's being rehabilitated, all Ds have to do is ensure the blue wall is solidified, by winning Govs and Sen races in NH, NV, PA, WI, AZ and MI

Biden isn't Hillary, he will win them based on the 2024 Sen map and not worry about Trump

When Hillary didn't campaign in WI and instead went to FL she ran ads in WI, but she pulled out all the stops on a no win FL that's really Trump hometown
Nate Silver had said this all along since 2016 304 map

[It’s so Joever]

“Throw out the poll bcuz it doesn’t say what I want it to say”

[Progressive Pessimist]

“Throw out the poll bcuz it doesn’t say what I want it to say”

It is pretty unlikely for Trump to be rated positively in approval or favorability though.