Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Trump has a general election floor of 46%. Luckily sleepy Joe doesn’t garner much enthusiasm so Trump can easily win EC with 47%+

Lol ok

[Person Man]

Trump has a general election floor of 46%. Luckily sleepy Joe doesn’t garner much enthusiasm so Trump can easily win EC with 47%+

Even Trump isn't going to win being down 5000000 votes nationwide.

[wbrocks67]

NEW JERSEY
Rutgers-Eagleton

Trump approval: 37/63 (-26)

https://www.rutgers.edu/news/rutgers-eagleton-poll-slight-majority-support-voting-mail-new-jerseys-july-primary-most

Trump lost NJ by 14 in 2016.

[pbrower2a]

Biden 56%
Trump 33%

Biden fav: 45/37 (+8)
Trump fav: 31/59 (-28)

Trump job approval: 37/63 (-26)

https://www.rutgers.edu/news/rutgers-eagleton-poll-slight-majority-support-voting-mail-new-jerseys-july-primary-most

Even bigger than Quinnipiac's Biden +19.

This was also taken April 22-May 2, a rather large date range, but also during the peak of Reade-gate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isnt up by 8.7 in a natl poll, more like 3 to 5 points, Bradley effect, but Biden can win AZ, MI, WI and PA. For a max of 290 EC votes. 330 to 413 is perception v 278 to 290 reality. If Dems are leading in MS and LA at Prez poll, I wouldnt take MSN polls seriously

[Person Man]

Biden isnt up by 8.7 in a natl poll, more like 3 to 5 points, Bradley effect, but Biden can win AZ, MI, WI and PA. For a max of 290 EC votes. 330 to 413 is perception v 278 to 290 reality. If Dems are leading in MS and LA at Prez poll, I wouldnt take MSN polls seriously

Bradley effect? He isn't black unless you are saying the shy Trump vote is the same as lying about not voting for a black candidate.  I guess you could say in both situations people are being defensive about their racism by lying to pollsters.

Could lying to pollsters be a new fascist tactic to disrupt the campaigns of democratic candidates? Weirder things exist. However, I doubt they could coordinate something like that unless compulsive lying is a thing that fascists do and can't stop doing. Also, the polls were right in 2018.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Media keeps lying to voters and say that we are in a Depression and voters didnt have Medicaid, SSI and Unemployment during the Great Depression until 1964. Also, the middle class living in HI, Vegas, Hollywood and FL making 150K a yr live in their mansions.

We are in a Recession and sports and bars which are in phase 4 and most office jobs will be back in 2021. As well as a vaccine

[wbrocks67]

Navigator Tracking Survey

Trump job approval: 42/56 (-14)
Trump virus approval: 41/56 (-15)
Trump health care approval: 40/54 (-14)
Trump economy approval: 48/49 (-1)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F05.14.20.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We gonna have the same polls everyday, but the election is in Nov, not today, and businesses are gonna be much better than today

[GeorgiaModerate]

Florida: FAU, May 8-12, 928 RV (change from March)

Approve 43 (-6)
Disapprove 46 (+5)

Biden 53 (+4), Trump 47 (-4)

[pbrower2a]

Florida: FAU, May 8-12, 928 RV (change from March)

Approve 43 (-6)
Disapprove 46 (+5)

Biden 53 (+4), Trump 47 (-4)

6% difference in the margin of the match-up, which is outside the margin of error and above 50% for Biden, which is what really counts.. Trump would have to sweep Michigan, Pennsylvania, and  Wisconsin to compensate for Florida and still hold onto Arizona and North Carolina. 

Trump approval 50-54%
Trump approval positive but under 50%
ties are in white
Trump approval negative but disapproval under 50%
Trump disapproval 50-54%
Trump disapproval 55% or higher

[Badger]

Trump has a general election floor of 46%. Luckily sleepy Joe doesn’t garner much enthusiasm so Trump can easily win EC with 47%+

Lol ok

To give the devil their due, and while I would quibble with this generally low-quality poster by a couple percentage points as to what Trump's through floor is, there is more than a grain of Truth to what he's saying.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Florida: FAU, May 8-12, 928 RV (change from March)

Approve 43 (-6)
Disapprove 46 (+5)

Biden 53 (+4), Trump 47 (-4)

I don't trust Florida polls. I'll believe it when I see it .

[Brittain33]

Florida: FAU, May 8-12, 928 RV (change from March)

Approve 43 (-6)
Disapprove 46 (+5)

Biden 53 (+4), Trump 47 (-4)

I don't trust Florida polls. I'll believe it when I see it .

Looks like seniors are angry.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL is gonna go D with Minimum wage on ballot

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup: May 1-13, 1028 adults (2-week change)

Approve 49 (nc)
Disapprove 48 (+1)

Interestingly, Congress's approval is up to 31%, its highest since 2009.

[BudgieForce]

Gallup: May 1-13, 1028 adults (2-week change)

Approve 49 (nc)
Disapprove 48 (+1)

Interestingly, Congress's approval is up to 31%, its highest since 2009.

I wonder if Gallup had a methodology change back in January besides switching from everyday to every two weeks. They've been one of Trump's best pollsters along with Harris X and Rasmussen all year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is in the mid 40th range, he isnt at 42 percent or at 49 percent but he is where Bush W was in 2004

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump has a general election floor of 46%. Luckily sleepy Joe doesn’t garner much enthusiasm so Trump can easily win EC with 47%+

I have to agree with you on this point Biden isnt winning a 413 landslide, bot in this environment,  where donations are taking a major hit due to coronavirus.

McGrath stopped airing ads, like she had much of a chance, and she was airing big time on MSNBC

[BudgieForce]

I took a quick minute to investigate if Gallup had gone through any methodology changes since last year and low and behold:

Firstly, they've significantly reduced the amount of people they poll. In 2019 for example, they regularly poll between 2000 to 3000 people. For the year of 2020, they average around 1000 people.

They've also increased their time frames. In 2017 and 2018, their polls were broken up into 6 day periods(in which we'd get the daily fluctuations). In 2019, they slowly started to increase their polling time frame to 2 weeks.

So, in summary. Gallup has reduced the amount of people they poll and increased the amount of time they poll.

I'm not sure how that leads to an improvement in Trump's numbers, but it does answer my question of methodology changes.

[Beet]

Trump's approval rating in Gallup (49%) is now higher than Obama's (47%) at this point in his presidency.

His average in RCP is now the highest since April 6 and higher than at any time in 2017-2019.

[BudgieForce]

*sigh*

Why do I even bother with this thread?

[GeorgiaModerate]

*sigh*

Why do I even bother with this thread?

Put DTT on Ignore and the quality goes up considerably.

[BudgieForce]

*sigh*

Why do I even bother with this thread?

Put DTT on Ignore and the quality goes up considerably.

It's frustrating though when certain posters come out of the wood work and only post in this thread when a poll gets released that fits their personal narrative. But your right, I should be less stingy with my ignore button.

[Dr. Arch]

*sigh*

Why do I even bother with this thread?

Put DTT on Ignore and the quality goes up considerably.

Yep. Endorsed.