Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[BudgieForce]

lol The Hill, Trump keeps on winning 51/49

The last 6 Harris X polls have been

49/51
46/54
50/50
48/52
50/50
51/49


They have been very favorable to Trump this past year. More so than Rasmussen. Regardless, that's why we have aggregates.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

lol The Hill, Trump keeps on winning 51/49

Yeah, the polls are underestimating his support,  Biden needs to come out and start campaigning

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

lol The Hill, Trump keeps on winning 51/49

Yeah, the polls are underestimating his support,  Biden needs to come out and start campaigning

You change your mind like every 5 seconds can you at least stick to one belief of yours

[wbrocks67]

Reuters/Ipsos - 41/56

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll/trump-approval-dips-amid-mounting-coronavirus-death-toll-trails-biden-by-8-points-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKBN22O3FG

[pbrower2a]

Nebraska's Second Congressional District (Greater Omaha):

New:
@DCCC
 says it has #NE02 polling showing Kara Eastman (D) leading Rep. Don Bacon (R) 48-47% AND Biden beating Trump 52-41%

Poll details: Live Caller + IVR, 448 LVs, May 7-10, +/- 4.6%

Trump won #NE02 by 2 in 2016. Bacon beat Eastman by 2 in 2018

Clinton wins of 2016 + MI + PA + WI + ME-02 + NE-02 dumps Trump in November.

My guess: bare Biden win.

Trump approval 50-54%
Trump approval positive but under 50%
ties are in white
Trump approval negative but disapproval under 50%
Trump disapproval 50-54%
Trump disapproval 55% or higher

[pbrower2a]

Just a reminder on the districts of Nebraska -- the first is eastern Nebraska, including Lincoln. The second includes Omaha and some of its suburbs. The third is thinly-populated western and central Nebraska, geographically the majority of the state, including Scottsbluff and Grand Island.  From left to right or west to east they are 3-1-2 (like the main Chicago area code). On the map they show the eastern part of Nebraska except for Greater Omaha, Greater Omaha, and west-and central Nebraska.

If you are still confused:

 

The part in green is NE-01; the small area in the east is NE-02 (but it holds about a third of Nebraska's population); the rest is NE-03.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

lol The Hill, Trump keeps on winning 51/49

The last 6 Harris X polls have been

49/51
46/54
50/50
48/52
50/50
51/49


They have been very favorable to Trump this past year. More so than Rasmussen. Regardless, that's why we have aggregates.

Also, an incumbent up two in a single output of a poll during a crisis against a lukewarm opponent is apparently "winning". 

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult - May 10-12

Trump approval: 42/52

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/13/poll-coronavirus-reopen-trump-republicans-252726

Biden favorability: 43/47 (-4)
Trump favorability: 42/52 (-10)

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, May 10-12, 1500 adults including 1175 RV

Adults:

Approve 46 (-1)
Disapprove 49 (+2)

Strongly approve 27 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 38 (+3)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 44 (nc), Disapprove 49 (+1)


RV:

Approve 47 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (nc)

Strongly approve 31 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 43 (+3)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46 (+2), Disapprove 52 (nc)

Biden 47 (+1), Trump 43 (+1)

GCB: D 48 (+1), R 41 (+2)

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

lol The Hill, Trump keeps on winning 51/49

The last 6 Harris X polls have been

49/51
46/54
50/50
48/52
50/50
51/49


They have been very favorable to Trump this past year. More so than Rasmussen. Regardless, that's why we have aggregates.

Also, an incumbent up two in a single output of a poll during a crisis against a lukewarm opponent is apparently "winning". 

51 for an impeached Russian agent with unemployment at 14%....

[Beet]

Trump's steady rise in the polls continues.

Economist/YouGov 47 (46)
CNN 46 (44)
TheHill 51 (50)
Reuters 45 (43)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is up narrowly and probably wins 278 to 260

[wbrocks67]

Trump's steady rise in the polls continues.

Economist/YouGov 47 (46)
CNN 46 (44)
TheHill 51 (50)
Reuters 45 (43)

Reuters/Ipsos has Trump at 41. YouGov had his net approval higher last week. CNN's is basically the same as it was last time around. Hill is junk.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump isnt at 40 percent,  45 to 47 percent

[Dr. Arch]

Trump's steady rise in the polls continues.

Economist/YouGov 47 (46)
CNN 46 (44)
TheHill 51 (50)
Reuters 45 (43)

Reuters/Ipsos has Trump at 41. YouGov had his net approval higher last week. CNN's is basically the same as it was last time around. Hill is junk.

Beet should probably get his facts straight before posting.

[Person Man]

Trump's steady rise in the polls continues.

Economist/YouGov 47 (46)
CNN 46 (44)
TheHill 51 (50)
Reuters 45 (43)

Reuters/Ipsos has Trump at 41. YouGov had his net approval higher last week. CNN's is basically the same as it was last time around. Hill is junk.

Beet should probably get his facts straight before posting.

If anything, Trump went down a little in the 538 aggregate today.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), May 11-12, 1112 adults including 973 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (+3)

Strongly approve 21 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+2)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 41 (-2), Disapprove 54 (+4)

Biden 41 (+2), Trump 36 (-2)


RV:

Approve 41 (-4)
Disapprove 57 (+4)

Strongly approve 21 (-5)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+4)

Biden 46 (+3), Trump 38 (-3)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems just lost CA 25 a Dem district, a 400 EC landslide is not happening

[Progressive Pessimist]

Dems just lost CA 25 a Dem district, a 400 EC landslide is not happening

It was never happening, regardless of a low interest special election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls are tightening faster as expected, 278 EC map not the Solid 413 map is more realistic

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Trump's steady rise in the polls continues.

Economist/YouGov 47 (46)
CNN 46 (44)
TheHill 51 (50)
Reuters 45 (43)

Reuters/Ipsos has Trump at 41. YouGov had his net approval higher last week. CNN's is basically the same as it was last time around. Hill is junk.

That doesn't fit the narrative Beet wants to push

[wbrocks67]

Trumps handling of the virus continues to tumble, and is now the literal same as the ABC/Ipsos poll, that also had it at 42/57.

This was after Trump saw a slight uptick on this poll last week.

https://twitter.com/CBSNewsPoll/status/1260889511518703617

[wbrocks67]

Numbers are coalescing on virus approval

ABC/Ipsos: 42/57 (-15)
CBS/YouGov: 43/57 (-14)

New Navigator tracking survey out this morning: 41/55 (-14)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F05.13.20.pdf

[Person Man]

42% appears to be the amount of people who will never not vote for Trump. A landslide against him is possible, if everyone who can be convinced to not vote for Trump votes for Biden.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

Trump has a general election floor of 46%. Luckily sleepy Joe doesn’t garner much enthusiasm so Trump can easily win EC with 47%+