Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Brittain33]

Wisconsin: Marquette, Dec. 3-8, 800 RV (prior poll Nov. 13-17)

Approve 47 (nc)
Disaspprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 32 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+2)

Impeach and remove Trump: Yes 40 (nc), No 52 (-1)

WHY!? Why do the worst states always have to be the most important! We're so f***ed next year...

I wouldn't take opposing impeach and remove as meaning supporting Trump--I am opposed because it's a bad idea to have an acquittal on the eve of the election, and because I know Pence is far, far worse than Trump because he doesn't wear how incompetent and evil he is on his sleeve.

I also wonder if Wisconsinites might be a little more leery of impeachment after living through the extremely divisive attempted recall of Scott Walker a few years ago.

Oh, that’s an interesting insight I haven’t heard before.

[Brittain33]

Iowa: PPP, Dec. 13-15, 944 voters

Approve 47
Disapprove 51

Generic D 49, Trump 47

Will the Dem nominee repel enough people to turn that 47 into 50+?

[Brittain33]

Warren 49, Sanders 44

We should be so lucky.

[Brittain33]

That rallying effect was always going to happen as we got closer to the election.

[Brittain33]

If you look at RCP Trump is slowly becoming more popular. He is now at 46% and it looks like it will slowly go up from there.

He could also go down from here! There are literally two possibilities -- naming one of them doesn't mean it will happen.

You aren't taking into account Newton's First Law of Motion. If Trump has risen to 46%, his momentum will carry him upward to 47%, 48%, and possibly to 49%.

[Brittain33]

Fox News, Feb. 23-26, 1000 RV (1-month change)

Approve 47 (+2)
Disapprove 52 (-2)

This is Trump's best showing in this poll since the early months of his Presidency.

Economy Approval went down, though. First effect of coronavirus? I expect his approval to go down as well.

Economy Approval:
54 (-2)
42 (+4)

The Trump economy has always been a piper tiger. He inherited an objectively good economy and has done nothing to impact it.

Cutting taxes and raising deficit spending adding a Keynesian boost. It's a tragedy to boost the deficit when the economy's at full blast since we need to be able to borrow when we really need it, but it does have an effect.

[Brittain33]

Jimmy Carter got an initial bump from the Iran Hostage Crisis.

[Brittain33]

I’m not so sure that this can just be chalked up to a rally effect. Does half this country even agree that there is a crisis to rally around? Does anyone really think people on the East and West coasts are rallying around a guy basically absolving himself of all responsibility and leaving them to their own devices?

Moreover, I thought that "rally around the flag" usually happens because nations unites, that is President is praised by both parties and, of course, by MS, no???
Now the opposite happens.

Why should Trump praise both Parties when just like with the Impeachment the crazy House Democrats want Universal Mail-Vote in Election & Same Day Registation for all 50 States. What the HECK has this to do with COVID-19? Nothing! Pelosi is such a Dumbass.

Do you not see the connection between universal mail-in vote and coronavirus’s impact on in-person voting?

[Brittain33]

Gov. DeWine deserves every point of that 80%. He’s one of the few Republican governors putting his people’s lives ahead of following Trump’s don’t worry, be happy line.

[Brittain33]

Well the good news is that it seems his approval regarding the coronavirus has peaked.

We're flattening the curve!!

[Brittain33]

Also, the infatuation of impeachment of Trump was a Chris Matthew's infatuation, whom got banned from moderating debates, Guliani said this and that's why he is no longer getting paid for his pro Biden biased opinion on impeachment, that's why Trump was acquitted

[Brittain33]

MAR 27-30, 2020
A+
Selzer & Co.
1,009 A
777 LV
https://www.grinnell.edu/sites/default/files/docs/2020-03/GCNP%20April%202020%20Toplines%20and%20Methodology.pdf

Corona:
50
43

Likely Voters:
48 (+5)
48 (-3)

Wow, even Coronavirus has a higher approval rating than Trump! I knew he was behind syphillis and cockroaches, but this is new.

[Brittain33]

The rally is over.

CNN Poll, April 3-6
Trump job approval: 44/51 (-7)

Where are you seeing the drop in job approval? The article includes this paragraph:

“The President's overall approval rating stands at 44% approve to 51% disapprove, little changed from a 43% approve to 53% disapprove reading in each of the previous three CNN polls. On handling health care policy, his ratings stand at 42% approve to 52% disapprove, his best approval rating on that topic since 2017.”

[Brittain33]

Trump coronavirus approval, via ABC/Ipsos poll

March 18-19: 55/43 (+12)
April 1-2: 47/52 (-5)
April 8-9: 44/55 (-11)

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/half-americans-wear-masks-coronavirus-normal-takes-hold/story?id=70073942&cid=social_twitter_abcn

Least surprising news ever.

[Brittain33]

I am impressed by Trump's ability to constantly squander any ounce of momentum he ever seems to pick up in popularity.

Idiots don’t know how to not be idiots.

Donald Trump is on par with Joe Exotic.

Hence why Joe Exotic, if he wasn't in prison, would be a front-runner for the 2024 GOP primary. Actually, he probably still could get the nomination in prison.

Republicans would never nominate a gay. It’s a bridge too far.

[Brittain33]

“Perot stole the election from Bush” is a myth. The 92 exit poll found that Perot voters would have split 50-50 between Bush and Clinton if he weren’t on the ballot. The fact is that Bush’s approval was in the 30s, the recession was technically over but the recovery in employment didn’t really pick up until 93. And it’s just incredibly hard for a party to win the presidency four times in a row.

Part of me would've loved to have been politically aware (or...alive, even) during America Decides '92.  Seems like such an interesting and unique election.  

I was 16 and it was the first election I paid close attention to, not being old enough to remember a Democratic President. I stayed up to watch the election results and went to bed after Ohio was called for Clinton and he was declared the winner. At the time, I knew so little about Congress that I couldn't understand why any Republicans still won House seats. I experienced it as a great upwelling of hope and excitement that was completely smashed by the reality of the first two years and then '94.

[Brittain33]

ABC/Ipsos

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way Trump is handling the virus?"

March 11-12: 43/54 (-11)
March 18-19: 55/43 (+12)
April 1-2: 47/52 (-5)
April 8-9: 44/55 (-11)
April 15-16: 44/54 (-10)

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/country-grows-pessimistic-return-normalcy-post-coronavirus-poll/story?id=70194349&cid=social_twitter_abcn

This is an economic crisis that none of us living have seen, and it will last. 

Over the past month, reality is sinking in for those 12 percent in which we saw the bump. 

The other 43 percent will remain delusional to the end.  Just like Germany in spring 1945 when millions of their citizens still thought they could win the war.

I remember reading about German civilians avowing in 1945 that Hitler was going to unveil his secret weapon at the last moment and turn the tide against the Russians. I didn't understand how people could be so delusional. Now I know.

[Brittain33]

USA Today/Suffolk, April 21-25, 1000 RV (change from Dec.)

Approve 43 (-5)
Disapprove 53 (+3)

Strongly approve 20 (-5)
Strongly disapprove 37 (+4)

Suffolk has been one of the most favorable high-quality pollsters for Trump.

The bleach effect.

[Brittain33]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1255654564835004418

Honestly, the fact that 35% think it's still better than 4 years is ludicrous. We're in the midst of an economic catastrophe unlike anything seen in almost every living person's lifetime, so of course it's worse now than it was 4 years ago. That much is true even if you're one of those people who thinks Trump miraculously pulled us out of the Mad Max-level American carnage of the Obama years.

It just shows you that even after Trump is gone America is going to have big issues dealing with the MAGA cult. 35% of your country is completely disconnected from reality

Poll: 30% of GOP voters support bombing Agrabah, the city from Aladdin

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/dec/18/republican-voters-bomb-agrabah-disney-aladdin-donald-trump

[Brittain33]

Maybe some Republicans are encouraged by reopening?

[Brittain33]

Florida: FAU, May 8-12, 928 RV (change from March)

Approve 43 (-6)
Disapprove 46 (+5)

Biden 53 (+4), Trump 47 (-4)

I don't trust Florida polls. I'll believe it when I see it .

Looks like seniors are angry.

[Brittain33]

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1269980040495861760

lol Polls aren’t predictive.

They look at past. Wake me up when next months numbers are trending higher with the reopening and Econ numbers

In this case, polling below 45% approval in June correlates 100% with losing reelection in November.

[Brittain33]

I’m going to miss these poll numbers when the protests eventually calm down and we’re left with just COVID and 13% unemployment.

[Brittain33]

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1269980040495861760

lol Polls aren’t predictive.

They look at past. Wake me up when next months numbers are trending higher with the reopening and Econ numbers

In this case, polling below 45% approval in June correlates 100% with losing reelection in November.

Correct word. But who gives a damn the correlation?

Shame they relationship you were looking for that doesn’t exist is casual.

I think you meant “causal.”

It would be odd for low poll numbers to *cause* a President to lose office. Polls in June can’t vote, they can’t run a campaign, they expire five months before the Election. So, no, there’s no causal relationship between June polls and a President’s losing reelection.

It’s banal to note that polls represent the same underlying causes that lead a President to lose election.

[Brittain33]

Arkansas is woke af