MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC

[VAR]

I doubt Ann Wagner is even going to run, let alone win the primary. She’s all but guaranteed to be shored up (it’s super easy), so she might want to stay in the House. Plus the MO GOP electorate is has become Trumpier, and given her adverse geographical base and past comments about Trump, I’m not convinced she can pull it off*.

*Of course she could win a very divided field, but still unlikely IMO.

[gerritcole]

Any firebrand legislators considering?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I was told the Lincoln Project was dead, & am saddened to see that the reports of said death were evidently exaggerated.

Grifting, Grifting never dies.

[User2836]

Eric Schmitt is considering a run.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Eric_Schmitt/status/1369060405348294671
https://mobile.twitter.com/Eric_Schmitt/status/1369060704087646216

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1371008263114813443

There's an apparent domain registration for Eric Schmitt.

But more interesting is Springfield-based State Senator Lincoln Hough having two congressional domains registered. I guess he's planning on succeeding Billy Long if he goes for the senate? (Or it could be just a plan old retirement),

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Claire isn’t having it with the Lincoln Project’s delusion about purple MO.

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370003483949154305?s=21

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370004083680149510
Ok but Claire, it's impossible for a D to win this seat.

No it's not.

Doug Jones like to have a word with you about how impossible it was to win Alabama for god's sake.

It's how she said it. It's a stretch to call it a swing state, but it's not impossible to win that seat, but it will require a perfect storm and the perfect circumstances, just like for Doug Jones in 2017.

[brucejoel99]

Claire isn’t having it with the Lincoln Project’s delusion about purple MO.

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370003483949154305?s=21

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370004083680149510

Ok but Claire, it's impossible for a D to win this seat.

No it's not.

Doug Jones like to have a word with you about how impossible it was to win Alabama for god's sake.

It's how she said it. It's a stretch to call it a swing state, but it's not impossible to win that seat, but it will require a perfect storm and the perfect circumstances, just like for Doug Jones in 2017.

Once again: maybe in a special, sure, but this ain't a special, & even in the event of the GOP nominating a Roy Moore, regular midterm turnout would probably be enough to push the GOP over-the-line.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Claire isn’t having it with the Lincoln Project’s delusion about purple MO.

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370003483949154305?s=21

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370004083680149510

Ok but Claire, it's impossible for a D to win this seat.

No it's not.

Doug Jones like to have a word with you about how impossible it was to win Alabama for god's sake.

It's how she said it. It's a stretch to call it a swing state, but it's not impossible to win that seat, but it will require a perfect storm and the perfect circumstances, just like for Doug Jones in 2017.

Once again: maybe in a special, sure, but this ain't a special, & even in the event of the GOP nominating a Roy Moore, regular midterm turnout would probably be enough to push the GOP over-the-line.

Three things
A midterm is not a presidential election.
Secondly, candidate quality matters
Thirdly, Missouri ain't Alabama.

I think it's a bold take to say we can't win in some state, because of ... , because things aren't permanent and not set in stone. Things can always change. Sure, it's unlikely, at least in the short-term and whatever happens, the GOP is favoured, but it's not "impossible".

[gerritcole]

I see the delusions have started early #candidatequality

[KaiserDave]

We demand BILLY LONG

[Left Wing]

We demand BILLY LONG

The people want an auctioneer in the senate!

[ElectionsGuy]

Claire isn’t having it with the Lincoln Project’s delusion about purple MO.

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370003483949154305?s=21

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370004083680149510

Ok but Claire, it's impossible for a D to win this seat.

No it's not.

Doug Jones like to have a word with you about how impossible it was to win Alabama for god's sake.

It's how she said it. It's a stretch to call it a swing state, but it's not impossible to win that seat, but it will require a perfect storm and the perfect circumstances, just like for Doug Jones in 2017.

Once again: maybe in a special, sure, but this ain't a special, & even in the event of the GOP nominating a Roy Moore, regular midterm turnout would probably be enough to push the GOP over-the-line.

Three things
A midterm is not a presidential election.
Secondly, candidate quality matters
Thirdly, Missouri ain't Alabama.

I think it's a bold take to say we can't win in some state, because of ... , because things aren't permanent and not set in stone. Things can always change. Sure, it's unlikely, at least in the short-term and whatever happens, the GOP is favoured, but it's not "impossible".

Missouri is closer to Alabama in terms of margin than Florida and North Carolina. I could basically argue the same thing about New Jersey and say "New Jersey isn't Massachusetts" - true but is it really that much more winnable?

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1374123973349404676

[jamestroll]

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1374123973349404676

Yikes and I literally just ate. I'm about to literally vomit all over the floor.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1374123973349404676

Yikes and I literally just ate. I'm about to literally vomit all over the floor.

erotic eric would probably like to eat that

[SnowLabrador]

This is Safe R even if Greitens wins the primary. I don't think he will, though; the GOP will move heaven and earth to make sure he doesn't.

[WD]

safe d cuz he’s a WEAK CANDIDATE™

[tmthforu94]

Good grief...

[brucejoel99]

Felony charges, sexual misconduct, & just generally being a scumbag? Greitens fits right in with where the GOP is currently at. It's too bad that the Democrats have literally no chance at all in any event here.

[JoeInator]

Correct me if I'm wrong but it looks like (at least for now) that Greitens is the presumptive GOP frontrunner, and since I still categorize this race as Safe R it appears that he will be the most likely successor to Roy Blunt.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1374123973349404676

Son of a bitch.

[Oryxslayer]

Correct me if I'm wrong but it looks like (at least for now) that Greitens is the presumptive GOP frontrunner, and since I still categorize this race as Safe R it appears that he will be the most likely successor to Roy Blunt.

Literally the entire GOP house delegation is also considering throwing their hats into the ring, as well as some statewide guys like Attorney General Eric Schmitt and Treasurer Scott Fitzpatrick. Everyone wants to climb this ladder. There is no frontrunner.

[Progressive Pessimist]

If Greitens is nominated, and inevitably wins, it's going to be pretty awkward that he is going to be serving with the guy who indicted him. It'll also be awkward to see Josh Hawley not look as bad in comparison to somebody else.

The two will still possibly be the worst pair of Senators to serve from the same state at the same time. It will also make my opinion of Missouri descend even more into the gutter. Please, for your sake, Missouri GOP, nominate anyone else...wait no! I need to be more specific! Not Todd Akin either!

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

If the Dems can’t stop him in MO they can at least use him as a wedge issue for candidates across the country in the general.

[brucejoel99]

If the Dems can’t stop him in MO they can at least use him as a wedge issue for candidates across the country in the general.

Why waste ads on him when we could be focusing our attention on the true monster of American politics, Young Kim?