MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC

[user12345]

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1390349202853617668?s=20

Hartzler is mostly rurals in central west Missouri with a few Kansas City exurbs.

She's just the worst. In every way.

Discount Joni Ernst with extra climate change denial.

Joni Ernst with an extra heap of homophobia.

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1390349202853617668?s=20

Hartzler is mostly rurals in central west Missouri with a few Kansas City exurbs.

She's just the worst. In every way.

Discount Joni Ernst with extra climate change denial.

With or without pig farming?

[RogueBeaver]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

[Calthrina950]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

Almost every Republican in Missouri's House delegation is considering a run. I believe Sam Graves is the only one who isn't.

[Hope For A New Era]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

Almost every Republican in Missouri's House delegation is considering a run. I believe Sam Graves is the only one who isn't.

This will be fun.

[Pollster]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

Almost every Republican in Missouri's House delegation is considering a run. I believe Sam Graves is the only one who isn't.

This will be fun.

Not to forget that in an institution where seniority is everything (especially with regards to appropriations), a congressional delegation packed with freshmen and a Senate delegation in which both members are first-termers will have a noticeable impact on a state that already overwhelmingly feels ignored by the federal government. Gerrymandering Cleaver out exacerbates this.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

I’m wondering if there are so many Republicans that a ‘conservative but not embarrassing’ moderate could sneak through the primary just running in St. Charles and the KC burbs.

[Hope For A New Era]

I’m wondering if there are so many Republicans that a ‘conservative but not embarrassing’ moderate could sneak through the primary just running in St. Charles and the KC burbs.

Ironically, Sam Graves could fill that role very well, but he may be the only congressional R not running. Such is the absurdity of Missouri.

[Calthrina950]

I’m wondering if there are so many Republicans that a ‘conservative but not embarrassing’ moderate could sneak through the primary just running in St. Charles and the KC burbs.

Ironically, Sam Graves could fill that role very well, but he may be the only congressional R not running. Such is the absurdity of Missouri.

He's the "Dean" of Missouri's congressional delegation, if I'm not mistaken, having first been elected in 2000. His accumulation of House seniority may be the reason why he's (apparently) not running for Senate.

[Duke of York]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

I hope he runs. He’d be a formidable candidate.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I’m wondering if there are so many Republicans that a ‘conservative but not embarrassing’ moderate could sneak through the primary just running in St. Charles and the KC burbs.

Ironically, Sam Graves could fill that role very well, but he may be the only congressional R not running. Such is the absurdity of Missouri.

He's the "Dean" of Missouri's congressional delegation, if I'm not mistaken, having first been elected in 2000. His accumulation of House seniority may be the reason why he's (apparently) not running for Senate.

Idk if this is true or not, so take with a big grain of salt b/c my source left the office on bad terms and is more than a little disgruntled, but I heard from a friend who used to be a mid-level staffer in Graces’ office that it was an open secret among his higher-ranking staffers that Graves had affairs with multiple lobbyists and got privately scolded by the leadership (along with Trent Franks and two other members whose names I’m forgetting atm) to get their act together b/c their philandering/behavior toward women was so out of control in one way or another that Boehner was gonna cut them lose if it became public rather than wasting any time or political capitol trying to defend their behavior.  

If that’s true, maybe Graves isn’t running b/c he’s worried his affairs with lobbyists will come out and sink him in the primary.  Again though, take with a grain of salt b/c the source is a disgruntled mid-level employee whom I have known to exaggerate/embellish even when the core premise of his stories are definitely true (ex: it could really be that leadership once told Graves and a few others to stop getting overly friendly with lobbyists b/c it was giving the appearance of a possible affair or might lead to one, idk).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

I hope he runs. He’d be a formidable candidate.

D's aren't winning MO, Greitans is the next Senator, but if Franklen or Sand runs in IA they can beat Reynolds or Grassley, last poll had Reynolds under 50%

Last poll had Trump up 15% over BIDEN

[SnowLabrador]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

I hope he runs. He’d be a formidable candidate.

It doesn't matter, this race is Safe R no matter what happens.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's need to put all their resources on an Afro American candidate into NC with Cheri Beasley, she can win, which I am doing, donating to Ryan whom was tied, will donate to Fried for Gov and BEASLEY

But, Jackson can win too

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

I hope he runs. He’d be a formidable candidate.

It doesn't matter, this race is Safe R no matter what happens.

There’s no harm in consistently running strong candidates as scandal/wave insurance.  It’s actually an important part of rebuilding state parties and running an effective 50 state strategy (both of which the party badly needs although obviously it should be coupled with pragmatism about where and how much we invest resources).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah you can run wave insurance seats but don't donate but to anyone but Ryan, Jackson, or Beasley or Stephanie Murphy, or WARNOCK, those are the swing seats

Fetterman, Kelly, Hassan and Nelson will win but you can donate the them too, but Kelly and Fetterman have enough money

[Lognog]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

I hope he runs. He’d be a formidable candidate.

It doesn't matter, this race is Safe R no matter what happens.

There’s no harm in consistently running strong candidates as scandal/wave insurance.  It’s actually an important part of rebuilding state parties and running an effective 50 state strategy (both of which the party badly needs although obviously it should be coupled with pragmatism about where and how much we invest resources).

There is literally nothing to lose except when they get a bit over ambitious like a Mcgrift type

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am not getting excited about Quinton Lucas until he throws his hat in the ring

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1394425490275016709

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

I hope he runs. He’d be a formidable candidate.

It doesn't matter, this race is Safe R no matter what happens.

Doug Jones says hi.

And happily, it looks like a disgraced sex pest is also the GOP front runner here.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1394425490275016709

Let this be the end of Eric Greitens!

[MT Treasurer]

It doesn't matter, this race is Safe R no matter what happens.

Doug Jones says hi.

And happily, it looks like a disgraced sex pest is also the GOP front runner here.

The main reason Jones won was because he was the D candidate in a special election in a massive D wave environment (the fact that he was facing an unpopular and criminally incompetent campaigner/serial underperformer obviously helped, but it’s hard to overstate how much turnout patterns were in the Democrats' favor in that election). Not at all comparable to this regular Senate election, which, indeed, is Likely/Safe R with pretty much any R candidate and will almost certainly be Safe R by election day.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

I hope he runs. He’d be a formidable candidate.

It doesn't matter, this race is Safe R no matter what happens.

Doug Jones says hi.

And happily, it looks like a disgraced sex pest is also the GOP front runner here.

I'm

You keep talking about massive D waves and Rs haven't even won the PVI since 2014 and haven't won the EC College since 2016 what does it matter in a blue wave if the Rs can't win the PvI in 5 yrs if you lose, you lose, and a blue wave can appen in 2022, not 2021 on ADS.
I will endorse Quinton Lucas if he runs period

D's shouldn't worry about what Rs are saying on Generic ballot and 2018, we won OH, IA, NC, FL in a 5.0 Environment in 2008/12, we can win them in 2022 as wave insurance to keep the H

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1394425490275016709

His sites on the web and he's on Fox tonight. Time for another carriage on the crazy train.

[Real Texan Politics]

https://twitter.com/Mark__McCloskey/status/1394817969339965443?s=20
Surprised he's even got a twitter account that's still up.

Well this'll be an interesting race unless he ends up actually getting prosecuted. Or maybe he'll get pardoned if Parson hasn't done so yet.