MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's silly how some media commentary is saying Blunt's decision was a blow to the Republican Party, this seat is even safer than it was before.

It is silly to think that D's are saying this seat is safe R and it's not because the D can win 55 seats, the flaw in ratings is they assume the Prez model and Biden has net positive approval ratings as Bush W 2001-2005 levels, but the Rs can believe that Rs can't lose seats when a Prez Approvals are above 50 Biden can

The Election is 21 mnths, you also said Rs was gonna win GA.

I have GA Dem on my map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R no matter what. Even Greitens or however you spell that asshole's name would win handily.

It's safe R now, but the Election is 21 mnths from now, it's called wave insurance like GA, NC, MO and OH, but if Blunt or Portman or Burr never retired we wouldn't even have a path to win except WI and PA and we would have to deal with Manchin and Sinema again in 2023

Now we have wave Insurance states that will get us to 52 without GA Runoffs and NC will get us there

[Heebie Jeebie]

Who's the best Democrat to run?  I'd think Clint Zweifel.

[Not Me, Us]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Maybe he gets the most criticism because his ratings are nonsensical. This race is more likely to go R without Blunt than with him. Safe R period.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Moving this race to likely R solely because of muh retirement..

Completely ignoring the fact Blunt is widely known to be a fundamentally weak incumbent.

Election Twitter in a nutshell. lol

[Calthrina950]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Perhaps he read this thread? But at any rate, it's astonishing that he would say something like this.

[GALeftist]

https://twitter.com/CoriBush/status/1369097292523962370

Cori Bush out fwiw.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Scott Sifton is our nominee, he has WC appeal to females like Jon Ossoff does and so does Jeff Jackson, when the maps come out I will be coloring this D, despite what Rs think.


Canter and Paul Ryan appeal to WC Females due to their looks but Sifton, Jackson or Ryan can't, just like Biden can lose seats with 50 PERCENT polls but Bush W in 2002 can't.  

Just remember, Rs only had a 15 Majority and we were supposed to have Speaker Gephardt

Not 40 Percent Trump and Obama lost Midterms due to UNPOPULARITY of Obamacare

Yeah it's gonna be tough to win 55 seats but it's doable due to Biden 55 percent Approvals and it's 21 mnths from now
.Johnson and Grassley may retiire too making a path to 56 seats

[AndyHogan14]

This race is safe R unless the GOP nominates a Roy Moore-tier candidate. Democrats should, however, still try and recruit an A-tier candidate because the GOP has shot itself in the foot quite a few times with Senate candidates over the past decade or so.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another D thinks this race is safe R, go look at Biden Approvals I'm pbower2A, and it will show Biden is net positive in MO, IA, OH, NC, GA, WI, NH and PA all Senatorial battlegrounds as well as NV and AZ , please Safe R business, and neither is IA if Grassley retires it's called wave insurance

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Could Jason Smith win the primary? He seems like the type to get a Trump endorsement.

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/CoriBush/status/1369097292523962370

Cori Bush out fwiw.

This is very much not a declination.

[Pollster]

We've got an exploratory committee launched for Democrat Lucas Kunce, who appears to be aiming quite clearly for the Kander lane.

[Real Texan Politics]

https://twitter.com/CoriBush/status/1369097292523962370

Cori Bush out fwiw.

This is very much not a declination.

I’ve got a feeling she’s more likely to run against Hawley than Blunt anyways.

[MT Treasurer]

Wow, first I’m labeled a 'self-hating RINO' for applying the Tossup category fairly (and admittedly a little too) generously, the next day I’m called an 'ingrate' brain-dead moron on Twitter for pointing out that an incumbent who underperformed Trump by 15 points and comes as close to a caricature of the corrupt Washington establishment as you can get isn’t more electable than some other non-incumbent Republican would be in a state that despises insider politics and lobbyists. I do feel a little honored right now, honestly — confronting blatant character assassination like that will be great preparation for my 2048 OR 2050 run for Senate when Tester and Daines retire.

For those of you keeping track, here’s more: I’m a (Young) Kim guy through and through. Screenshot this before I can delete it.

[brucejoel99]

And Cori Bush, as hitherto noted:

https://twitter.com/jrosenbaum/status/1369108398701092866

[Roronoa D. Law]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Calls this place a hellhole then proceeds to go on Twitter.

[Motorcity]

Question

How did Roy Blunt become the #3 Republican in the senate despite only being elected in 2010?
That is a rapid rise in leadership

McConnell has been in since 1984 and Coryn since 2002

[Hope For A New Era]

air claire with the facts in #populist and anti-establishment Missouri

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1369324973781835778

(the Ashcrofts and Blunts are the two big Missouri Republican political families)

[Horus]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Calls this place a hellhole then proceeds to go on Twitter.

Some real winners in that thread.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Calls this place a hellhole then proceeds to go on Twitter.

Some real winners in that thread.

I’m of the opinion that every website is a hellhole.

[Pollster]

Question

How did Roy Blunt become the #3 Republican in the senate despite only being elected in 2010?
That is a rapid rise in leadership

McConnell has been in since 1984 and Coryn since 2002

He came a hair away from becoming the House GOP leader and potentially Speaker. He is beloved by the Washington institutions.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Perhaps he read this thread? But at any rate, it's astonishing that he would say something like this.

I actually was the one who stirred the pot lol





he also unfollowed me

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/JayAshcroftMO/status/1369679452335042564

[Frenchrepublican]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Perhaps he read this thread? But at any rate, it's astonishing that he would say something like this.

I actually was the one who stirred the pot lol





he also unfollowed me

The dude is think skinned