2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2

[Xing]

Matt Gaetz's Dem challenger is generating interest on liberal twitter: https://twitter.com/PhilEhr/status/1181587062715244544?s=20

This will go about as well as the #resistance's efforts against Paul Gosar in 2018.

They might even got Gaetz to only win by 30 instead of 35!!!!

[smoltchanov]

Matt Gaetz's Dem challenger is generating interest on liberal twitter: https://twitter.com/PhilEhr/status/1181587062715244544?s=20

This will be another KY-SEN. Where liberal activitists and resistance twitter will light money on fire on an unwinnable race for the Dems just because the incumbent Republican is more repulsive than the average Republican.

+100. District is absolutely unwinnable now, even for ultraconservative Democrat, if such would exist.

[Gracile]

Cook Political moved IL-13 to the Toss Up column from Lean R (though they didn't announce it):

https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

[Lisa's voting Biden]

McLaughlin & Associates GCB (10/17-22)

GOP - 44%
DEM - 46% (+2)

https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/National-Monthly-Omnibus-October-PUBLIC-1.pdf

[Landslide Lyndon]

McLaughlin & Associates GCB (10/17-22)

GOP - 44%
DEM - 46% (+2)

https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/National-Monthly-Omnibus-October-PUBLIC-1.pdf

McLOLghlin.

[IceSpear]

Matt Gaetz's Dem challenger is generating interest on liberal twitter: https://twitter.com/PhilEhr/status/1181587062715244544?s=20

This will go about as well as the #resistance's efforts against Paul Gosar in 2018.

They might even got Gaetz to only win by 30 instead of 35!!!!

Honestly, if I ran the RNC, I'd tell all the incumbents in R+15 districts and higher to try to trigger the libs as much as possible to suck away millions of gullible #resistance dollars into the abyss.

[lfromnj]

Matt Gaetz's Dem challenger is generating interest on liberal twitter: https://twitter.com/PhilEhr/status/1181587062715244544?s=20

This will go about as well as the #resistance's efforts against Paul Gosar in 2018.

They might even got Gaetz to only win by 30 instead of 35!!!!

Honestly, if I ran the RNC, I'd tell all the incumbents in R+15 districts and higher to try to trigger the libs as much as possible to suck away millions of gullible #resistance dollars into the abyss.

But you see these are the people that wanna funnel all the money into VA10th

[Gracile]

Matt Gaetz's Dem challenger is generating interest on liberal twitter: https://twitter.com/PhilEhr/status/1181587062715244544?s=20

This will go about as well as the #resistance's efforts against Paul Gosar in 2018.

They might even got Gaetz to only win by 30 instead of 35!!!!

Honestly, if I ran the RNC, I'd tell all the incumbents in R+15 districts and higher to try to trigger the libs as much as possible to suck away millions of gullible #resistance dollars into the abyss.

It probably wouldn't make much of a difference, as all the gullible #MAGA people would still waste their dollars on Republican challengers to AOC/Omar/Tlaib/etc.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1188863357778051072

Oregon's only GOPer throws in the towel. I wonder how radical a republican will win the primary with the raging eastern base.

[Oryxslayer]

Army vet/Author/FOX news guy Sean Parnell may run against Conner Lamb. Umm...Ok then.

[Gracile]

^Looks like Sabato is moving PA-17 to Likely D:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1189259146987737088

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

^Looks like Sabato is moving PA-17 to Likely D:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1189259146987737088

PAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA *breathes* HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA

[UncleSam]

^Looks like Sabato is moving PA-17 to Likely D:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1189259146987737088

PAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA *breathes* HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA

Trump won the district by a few points and Parnell is a credible challenger. There’s no justification for rating a Trump 2016 district that is being contested Safe D, no matter how much you want you have relations with Connor Lamb

[IceSpear]

Sabato is on drugs if he thinks PA-17 is only "possibly" is a Trump/D nominee district in 2020. How are these "experts" so blind to blatantly obvious trends? And Lamb will obviously outperform the D nominee anyway, perhaps significantly, as shown by his previous two elections.

Safe D, but hopefully the GOP lights lots of money on fire there.

[Gass3268]

If you didn't think CA-25 could get any crazier:

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1189300480813473804?s=20

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

^Looks like Sabato is moving PA-17 to Likely D:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1189259146987737088

PAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA *breathes* HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA

Trump won the district by a few points and Parnell is a credible challenger. There’s no justification for rating a Trump 2016 district that is being contested Safe D, no matter how much you want you have relations with Connor Lamb

Lamb beat the incumbent Republican here by 12 points in 2018, and the best the GOP could do was to carpet bag their “top-tier candidate” all the way from Alaska.

[Landslide Lyndon]

^Looks like Sabato is moving PA-17 to Likely D:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1189259146987737088

PAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA *breathes* HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA

Trump won the district by a few points and Parnell is a credible challenger. There’s no justification for rating a Trump 2016 district that is being contested Safe D, no matter how much you want you have relations with Connor Lamb

Lamb beat the incumbent Republican here by 12 points in 2018, and the best the GOP could do was to carpet bag their “top-tier candidate” all the way from Alaska.

That's a different Sean Parnell.

[ElectionsGuy]

ITT Dems getting mad that a Republican-leaning district is only "Likely D" according to one organization. Likely D just implies there's a minimal non-zero chance Republicans can win.

[wbrocks67]

Let's be real, it might not be Super-Safe-Titan D, but there really wasn't a need to change it.

It's basically a suburban district than Trump barely won by 2% in 2016 and Conor Lamb literally blew out the challenger last year with 57% of the vote. Lamb won a Trump +20 district and a Trump +2 district by double digit margins. I don't think this guy really changes anything.

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult has GCB at Dem +8

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000016e-1976-d4da-a1ff-1bf676e00000

[Yellowhammer]

^Looks like Sabato is moving PA-17 to Likely D:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1189259146987737088

PAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA *breathes* HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA

Trump won the district by a few points and Parnell is a credible challenger. There’s no justification for rating a Trump 2016 district that is being contested Safe D, no matter how much you want you have relations with Connor Lamb

Lamb beat the incumbent Republican here by 12 points in 2018, and the best the GOP could do was to carpet bag their “top-tier candidate” all the way from Alaska.

Do your research first, Einstein.

[Landslide Lyndon]

How awful has NRCC become?

https://twitter.com/MEPFuller/status/1189985309162921985

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

^Looks like Sabato is moving PA-17 to Likely D:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1189259146987737088

PAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA *breathes* HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA

Trump won the district by a few points and Parnell is a credible challenger. There’s no justification for rating a Trump 2016 district that is being contested Safe D, no matter how much you want you have relations with Connor Lamb

Lamb beat the incumbent Republican here by 12 points in 2018, and the best the GOP could do was to carpet bag their “top-tier candidate” all the way from Alaska.

Do your research first, Einstein.

Because you do so much before you shoot your mouth.

[MT Treasurer]

Cook Political moved IL-13 to the Toss Up column from Lean R (though they didn't announce it):

https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

Cook also moved MI-SEN from Likely to Lean D.

[Gracile]

Cook Political moved IL-13 to the Toss Up column from Lean R (though they didn't announce it):

https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

Cook also moved MI-SEN from Likely to Lean D.

It's wild that they had it at Likely D to start off with but then again knowing Cook it shouldn't have been that surprising.