2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2 (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 165733 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 15, 2019, 09:53:41 AM »
Lots of money coming in against Collins
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2019, 11:45:25 AM »
« Edited: October 15, 2019, 01:38:38 PM by Gass3268 »
Quote from: Young Conservative on October 15, 2019, 11:43:30 AM
John James outraised Gary Peters by 500k in Q3, still trails in COH.



Still a loser.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2019, 08:18:31 PM »
Chet Edwards comeback maybe?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2019, 05:02:26 PM »
If you didn't think CA-25 could get any crazier:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: December 17, 2019, 02:34:57 PM »
Another day of Republicans releasing polls that look bad for them. Today the Trump camp released a poll that only showed them up by 3 points in 30 seats that Trump won in 2016.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: December 18, 2019, 05:16:52 PM »
The Generic Ballot is basically unchanged since the midterms.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: July 01, 2020, 11:48:34 PM »
New Crystal Ball Ratings:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2020, 07:19:48 PM »
Yikes for Ernst!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2020, 10:45:48 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on July 14, 2020, 07:23:44 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 14, 2020, 07:19:48 PM
Yikes for Ernst!



Diminishing returns from fundraising $ in a small state like IA, especially when it comes to advertising. Ernst could do a bit better but Greenfield has maxed out on the easiest gains from fundraising and will now probably be spending a lot on campaign infrastructure (which has a smaller ROI). This problem is even more apparent in Maine where Collins' $3m is enough and Gideon's $9m isn't going to be much more effective.

You can start moving money into other efforts like GOTV.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2020, 06:50:32 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2020, 12:04:24 PM »
Tlaib is looking safe against Jones:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2020, 01:08:25 AM »




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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2020, 04:52:19 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on July 23, 2020, 04:43:42 PM
Quote from: Rep. Gracile on July 23, 2020, 04:41:13 PM
Cook Political just made these Senate race rating changes:



Georgia to Tossup?!?! I thought Amy Walter worked there and she said it just wasn’t there yet?

She’s no longer on the Senate beat. They still have Colorado as a toss up however.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2020, 01:42:26 PM »
Looks like the Dems feel good about Golden and Cartwright.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2020, 02:01:57 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2020, 01:42:53 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2020, 09:51:42 PM »
NRCC is pulling out of VA-05.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: October 06, 2020, 09:09:37 PM »
Quote from: VARepublican on October 06, 2020, 10:13:02 AM
Schupp (MO-02): $1.9M
Ives (IL-06): $1M

I've yet to see a single Ives ad, but a ton of Casten ads.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2020, 05:45:36 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: October 14, 2020, 11:41:56 PM »
Crystal Ball changes
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: October 15, 2020, 09:41:51 AM »
My God!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2020, 11:40:31 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: October 21, 2020, 10:29:12 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 21, 2020, 11:53:19 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 21, 2020, 08:48:26 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 21, 2020, 07:59:46 AM
How long did they keep FL-26 a toss up? One month?

was thinking the same thing. seemed very overreactive

They always got to find one or two races to move to the other party so that they can claim to be non-partisan

Cook does this, Crystal Ball and Inside Elections are more cut-throat.
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