AZ-08: April 24 general election (Update: Lesko-R wins by 4.72 points)

[Oryxslayer]

The dem jumped from 3 to 13 on predictit

what caused that?

Speculation?

[GlobeSoc]

The dem jumped from 3 to 13 on predictit

what caused that?

It's predictit, some schmuck probably bought a ton of dem shares to f!ck with the pundits and more importantly, manipulate the price of the bet for profit.

[Adam Griffin]

The dem jumped from 3 to 13 on predictit

what caused that?

Last-minute speculation

[NOVA Green]

Polls have closed

Looks like 25k people voted on election day.

So question on that.... I know Maricopa County released some ED numbers at 11 AM CST today, but other than that the source of estimated ED numbers is from the Arizona Guru....

Although it appears that this individual works for the SoS office, anyone know, and also if we have any official source of updated ED voting numbers?

[Adam Griffin]

Polls have closed

Looks like 25k people voted on election day.

So question on that.... I know Maricopa County released some ED numbers at 11 AM CST today, but other than that the source of estimated ED numbers is from the Arizona Guru....

Although it appears that this individual works for the SoS office, anyone know, and also if we have any official source of updated ED voting numbers?

Most recent update I see (same guy):

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/988941334013665280

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Harold Supernanny is about to get obliterated by Debbie Lesko to Congress

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Harold Supernanny is about to get obliterated by Debbie Lesko to Congress

You mean the 60s Barbie Doll is going to beat the Doctor? Yeah, by a healthy margin, but not "obliterated"

[cvparty]

Harold Supernanny is about to get obliterated by Debbie Lesko to Congress

wtf

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Harold Supernanny is about to get obliterated by Debbie Lesko to Congress

wtf

Youtube's computer generated text annotations turned "Hiral Tipinerni" into "Harold Supernanny" in one video

[BudgieForce]

Harold Supernanny is about to get obliterated by Debbie Lesko to Congress

wtf

Youtube's computer generated text annotations turned "Hiral Tipinerni" into "Harold Supernanny" in one video

That's a pretty obscure reference.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Harold Supernanny is about to get obliterated by Debbie Lesko to Congress

wtf

Youtube's computer generated text annotations turned "Hiral Tipinerni" into "Harold Supernanny" in one video

That's a pretty obscure reference.

It was a brief atlas discord meme

[Adam Griffin]

Lesko 82,294 (52.92%)
Tipirneni 73,188 (47.08%)

[krazen1211]

Victory to Lesko!

[Oryxslayer]

Lesko 82,294
Tipirneni 73,188

53-47 Lesko. Closer then expected. Whose going to wait for E-Day with me!

[Adam Griffin]

Even though the ED vote wasn't extraordinarily large, if Lesko only leads by 6 in EV with a 49-28 R/D sample...

[Rhenna]

Lesko up by 6. Just around where I thought she would be. Is this all of the vote or is there more?

[Sestak]

Lesko up by 6. Just around where I thought she would be. Is this all of the vote or is there more?

Apparently only the EV.

[Devout Centrist]

Even though the ED vote wasn't extraordinarily large, if Lesko only leads by 6 in EV with a 49-28 R/D sample...

This is gonna be great!

[Adam Griffin]

Lesko up by 6. Just around where I thought she would be. Is this all of the vote or is there more?

Pretty sure this is the entirety of the early vote. There are still 25k or so election day votes to count and those should be more Democratic in theory.

[Brittain33]

Much closer than I expected, if too far for the Dem.

[Oryxslayer]

19K Vote today. Hard to see how the Dems net 9K there...

[GlobeSoc]

19K Vote today. Hard to see how the Dems net 9K there...

25K IIRC

[Adam Griffin]

The bad news for Supernanny is that Lesko probably cleared 40% (maybe closer to 45%) of independent voters in early voting. That'd be quite high when compared to this cycle's performance overall.

[LimoLiberal]

Sorry, Limo. Time for a ratings change in a certain state, I guess.

Joke's on you cause' I actually like Heitkamp


No, but this is actually the most scary result for Republicans in any congressional election this cycle. No reason Lesko should only win by 3-4. House majority is probably gone.

[Adam Griffin]

There are probably 25k votes outstanding but not necessarily 25k votes were cast today. Early drop-offs haven't been counted yet, either (and probably won't be tonight). Those, however, would probably skew as much in Lesko's favor as the ED votes would in Tipirneni's.