Dumbest Senatorial rating from pundits?
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  Dumbest Senatorial rating from pundits?
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Author Topic: Dumbest Senatorial rating from pundits?  (Read 1197 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: May 05, 2018, 03:58:32 PM »

There's a thread for this about bad gubernatorial ratings, but how about Senate ratings?

In my opinion, the idea that Wisconsin is only Tilt D in a very good Democratic year is pretty funny, as it the idea that King and Kaine aren't safe. Never mind those, though, since I think we all know which one takes the cake Wink
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2018, 07:54:23 PM »

CNN has Angus as only “likely” which is hysterical considering the paper candidates both parties have put up against him.

Rothenberg is the only one that has Stabenow safe, everyone else has her likely (and Rothenberg is the only one with an accurate gauge on this race).

Cook has Tina Smith Lean D and no one has her safe when she’s one of the safest races in the country.

Cook also has Deb Fischer only Likely R.

RCP has Texas only Lean R.

RCP and CNN have Tim Kaine only Likely D.

Trothenberg has Baldwin at only Tilt D, and only Cook and RCP have her above Lean.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2018, 11:56:12 PM »

As mentioned, MN-special and Wisconsin as Lean D.

There is no reason NJ is less than Safe D. Menendez may be corrupt but that doesn't make him any less safe.

FL and ND should both be at least Tilt if not Lean D.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2018, 06:31:29 AM »

-FL and ND being tossups
-TX not being safe R
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Sadader
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« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2018, 07:34:02 AM »

-FL and ND being tossups
-TX not being safe R

Are you saying that FL and ND should be Lean R? And there’s no doubt that Texas is at least mildly competitive - Beto is a solid candidate with great fundraising and the only poll since the primaries had it at only Cruz +3.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2018, 09:07:30 AM »

-FL and ND being tossups
-TX not being safe R

Are you saying that FL and ND should be Lean R? And there’s no doubt that Texas is at least mildly competitive - Beto is a solid candidate with great fundraising and the only poll since the primaries had it at only Cruz +3.

No, FL and ND should be at least lean D. As for Texas, I’ve always been kinda stubborn about Tongue but I’ll wait until we’re closer to the election to see what happens and see other polls.
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mcmikk
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« Reply #6 on: May 06, 2018, 11:20:49 AM »

-Wisconsin less than Likely D

-Florida and Nevada being tossups

-Minnesota Special being less than Safe D
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