PA-SEN 2024 megathread

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1755321089574457778

This dude is gonna lose by 10 even if Trump wins.
He's such a disaster.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1755321089574457778

This dude is gonna lose by 10 even if Trump wins.
He's such a disaster.

I swear, Heinrich is more likely to lose

[S019]

Let’s not overreact here, even Romney only lost by 5 and that was before a realignment in rural Pennsylvania. He could definitely lose by around 5 in the end, but if he is losing by 10, Biden has won re-election and improved substantially on 2020.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He's not gonna win McCormick anyways when you are down +1 in 38/37 in Chasim an R internal poll you aren't winning

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Let’s not overreact here, even Romney only lost by 5 and that was before a realignment in rural Pennsylvania. He could definitely lose by around 5 in the end, but if he is losing by 10, Biden has won re-election and improved substantially on 2020.

McCormick has less appeal to non college whites than Mitt Romney did in 2012. Trump's coattails in MAGA country will help some but those two things cancel out

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1755321089574457778

This dude is gonna lose by 10 even if Trump wins.
He's such a disaster.

I doubt there's that much ticket splitting and polariazion will give him at least 45% of the vote. Nonethless, the dude helps to drag Trump down in PA as well.

[SilverStar]

Let’s not overreact here, even Romney only lost by 5 and that was before a realignment in rural Pennsylvania. He could definitely lose by around 5 in the end, but if he is losing by 10, Biden has won re-election and improved substantially on 2020.

Romney won Chester County,Romney suburban numbers aren't winnable for Republicans anymore.

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1755321089574457778

This dude is gonna lose by 10 even if Trump wins.
He's such a disaster.

I quite never understood why so many Republicans in 2022 thought he would have been a better candidate than Oz. He's probably even worse in terms of electability.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1757404372722430337

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1755321089574457778

This dude is gonna lose by 10 even if Trump wins.
He's such a disaster.

I doubt there's that much ticket splitting and polariazion will give him at least 45% of the vote. Nonethless, the dude helps to drag Trump down in PA as well.

Reverse coattails don't exist.

[Flyersfan232]

https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1757404372722430337

Josh shapiro was born in what state?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Every poll McCormick is down by 10

[oldtimer]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1755321089574457778

This dude is gonna lose by 10 even if Trump wins.
He's such a disaster.

I quite never understood why so many Republicans in 2022 thought he would have been a better candidate than Oz. He's probably even worse in terms of electability.

It's part of the longterm GOP civil war along class lines.

Congressional GOP Leaders prefer the candidates they are comfortable with, even if those are unelectable in those races.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

https://twitter.com/JohnFetterman/status/1757404372722430337

Josh shapiro was born in what state?

Surely you’re not that obtuse

[cg41386]

Shapiro was born in Kansas City, where his father was stationed. His family moved to PA and he was raised there.

[wbrocks67]

I still am kind of surprised at the lack of ... anything from the McCormick campaign. He's unopposed in the primary, but you would think he'd giving out signs and getting the word out early or something. There's nothing, no presence whatsoever. Casey doesn't have much either, but he's also a established figure, while McCormick has a lot of work to do.

Not only that, but given McCormick's high fundraising (from rich people), he has enough money to start running some ads. He could even try and define Casey a bit early; but he's literally doing nothing.

I'm not expecting him to go full fledged in March, but the primary is already next month and he's just... there

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/dabbs346/status/1765362255854530756

[Pheurton Skeurto]

God, what a dumbass. If I didn't know any better, I'd think McCormick and Mastriano were both Democrat plants.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I still am kind of surprised at the lack of ... anything from the McCormick campaign. He's unopposed in the primary, but you would think he'd giving out signs and getting the word out early or something. There's nothing, no presence whatsoever. Casey doesn't have much either, but he's also a established figure, while McCormick has a lot of work to do.

Not only that, but given McCormick's high fundraising (from rich people), he has enough money to start running some ads. He could even try and define Casey a bit early; but he's literally doing nothing.

I'm not expecting him to go full fledged in March, but the primary is already next month and he's just... there

Remember how Mastriano didn't start running ads on TV until literally two weeks before the 2022-GOV election? And he wasn't even in those ads save for "I'm Doug Mastriano and I approve this message". 

[wbrocks67]

I still am kind of surprised at the lack of ... anything from the McCormick campaign. He's unopposed in the primary, but you would think he'd giving out signs and getting the word out early or something. There's nothing, no presence whatsoever. Casey doesn't have much either, but he's also a established figure, while McCormick has a lot of work to do.

Not only that, but given McCormick's high fundraising (from rich people), he has enough money to start running some ads. He could even try and define Casey a bit early; but he's literally doing nothing.

I'm not expecting him to go full fledged in March, but the primary is already next month and he's just... there

Remember how Mastriano didn't start running ads on TV until literally two weeks before the 2022-GOV election? And he wasn't even in those ads save for "I'm Doug Mastriano and I approve this message". 

Yep, which did make sense given that he was broke. I'm more surprised that McCormick isn't doing anything given he has some $$$ but maybe he's just stockpiling it for now. Honestly, Dems/Casey should take this time where he's not doing anything and start defining him on the airwaves imo. Oz him.

[Morning in Atlas]

https://twitter.com/dabbs346/status/1765362255854530756

I remember way back in 2022 when we said McCormick would have been as disastrous (if not directly worse) than Oz.

Once again, we are completely vindicated!

[oldtimer]

I still am kind of surprised at the lack of ... anything from the McCormick campaign. He's unopposed in the primary, but you would think he'd giving out signs and getting the word out early or something. There's nothing, no presence whatsoever. Casey doesn't have much either, but he's also a established figure, while McCormick has a lot of work to do.

Not only that, but given McCormick's high fundraising (from rich people), he has enough money to start running some ads. He could even try and define Casey a bit early; but he's literally doing nothing.

I'm not expecting him to go full fledged in March, but the primary is already next month and he's just... there

Remember how Mastriano didn't start running ads on TV until literally two weeks before the 2022-GOV election? And he wasn't even in those ads save for "I'm Doug Mastriano and I approve this message". 

Yep, which did make sense given that he was broke. I'm more surprised that McCormick isn't doing anything given he has some $$$ but maybe he's just stockpiling it for now. Honestly, Dems/Casey should take this time where he's not doing anything and start defining him on the airwaves imo. Oz him.

There could be a small possibility that he simply gives up and doesn't run at all.

Why would anyone spend his fortune to lose by 10-15 points ?

In any case the GOP should have plan B in case McCormick throws the towel.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Why would anyone spend his fortune to lose by 10-15 points ?

Ask Dr. Oz.

(Yeah he didn't lose by 10-15 points but a loss is a loss.)

[oldtimer]

Why would anyone spend his fortune to lose by 10-15 points ?

Ask Dr. Oz.

(Yeah he didn't lose by 10-15 points but a loss is a loss.)

But before the primary the possibility that Oz would win was 50-50.

And even after the primary when it was obvious Oz would lose to Fetterman, there was still some good polling for him, and the theory that Trump maybe was able to push him over the finish line.

Here McCormick has nothing to support his run.

[Spectator]

Why would anyone spend his fortune to lose by 10-15 points ?

Ask Dr. Oz.

(Yeah he didn't lose by 10-15 points but a loss is a loss.)

Bloomberg, Meg Whitman and Linda McMahon spent obscene amounts of money to lose by double digits.