PA-SEN 2024 megathread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D with Shapiro as GOV McCormick would have defeated Fetterman no one will def Casey Casey wins by Kelly margins 51/45

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yessss. Yesssss! Run McCormick. Do it! Do it!

He's gonna lose

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yessss. Yesssss! Run McCormick. Do it! Do it!

He's gonna lose

Yes. This is how we win OC.

We know it's gonna be a competitive race don't get me wrong but it's gonna be Kelly territory not Barnes territory Casey is gonna win 51/46 by 150K votes, Brown can be Barnes territory but he will have a better map than Ryan, Redistricting is a do over in OH in 24

We gotta find out what happens in KY that is a bellwether for BROWN, but clearly Ds not approved the WVA pipeline and Biden remarks on coal hurt RYAN, OH is a coal state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lmfaooooooooooo I hope the GOP’s stupid enough to challenge this seat. Casey still gets the vote of my Mastriano-supporting scapular-clothed mom-mom off surname recognition alone, that seat is his until he dies.

It will be competitive don't underestimate McCormick we underestimate Masters but it will be a Kelly margin not a typical Casey landslide, because Biden is from Pennsylvania and will be heavily invested there

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Biden on the ballot are users really serious that Biden is gonna lose any blue state, oh I forgot they are looking at the same Approvals that told us that Rs we're gonna get a 240 H and 54 Senate, Approvals lie

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It won't matter Casey is Safe , the closest it's gonna be is Fetterman margins , Biden is back on the ballot it's gonna help a lot in states especially in blue states it's not a midterm where Biden is off the ballot, and in NY it's gonna help too

NC too Cooper won with Biden on the ballot which helps Josh STEIN

Approvals Lie Biden isn't at 41/57 Approvals he will win PVI like Obama 51/47 in 2012

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MT Treasure love to think Ds are toast in PA and this is the bellwether the only thing is McCormick ran in the wrong yr if he ran against Fetterman than Casey he could have won with Fetterman stroke but Females voted in the R primary for Dr Oz obviously

With Biden back on the ballot in 24 the blue wall is secured, I can see NC switching places with GA as a Bellwether there is no Senate race in GA but a Gov race in NC and Stein is the fav this Early

Look at the compiled map NV and PA Going R and there are more Ds on this site, Ha

It's a 303 map regardless because Fetterman won by the same margins as Obama 51/47 and in 2012 Brown, Tester and Manchin won and there is gonna be a Border wall, WV pipeline and extended tax cuts for 2 more yrs in the Debt Ceiling I have a sneaky suspicion that John Love is gonna beat Cruz because once Biden signs that Border wall it eliminated that as an issue and Obama and Biden built 128 m while Trp built 40 m

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Now that Stabenow retired all the resources until we get a candidate is gonna be on MI Whitmer should run but she won't run unless she says so she wants to be Prez not Sen an executor

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Prostate cancer isn't colon cancer so it's  curable big difference

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Casey hasn't had a tough race even in 2012 he won by 6 and all three races he won by landslides this will be much tougher for him than any other race Fetterman won by only 4 pts he Casey was clearly a 4/6 pt fav without Documents but we saw the poll Mastriano up by 5 but obviously that's not a Marist poll

Kaine too is gonna have a tougher race that's why Mark Warner is on Biden on the Documents Youngkin already won and D's lost VA 2 in 22

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Shapiro helps Ds in PA anyways thru 28 with Fetterman reelection

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know it's a fake poll but it looks similar to the Oz poll that got pollsters in trouble last time 49/45.5 cmon

The only ones that think D's are gonna lose PA with Shapiro are RS like Old School, MT Treasure and Arizona Ice Tea


Biden Approvals aren't gonna go high until the Debt Ceiling is signed but RS are playing politics with no budget that's why it's a Neutral not red yr I'd they can't get one in a Midterm

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I can't stop laughing

https://twitter.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1633199659668709376
https://twitter.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1633205519753048064

Republicans: the polls are fake, don't trust them!
also Republicans: you can trust this totally not fake poll that shows me winning with 140% of the vote

They're not fave OH 6 pts, PA 4 pts, NV 0.5, AZ 3 WI 3, NC 3 pts and GA 4 MOE is 6 pts every swing state went left except FL due to Hurricane IAN even TX and SC replaces IA as a swing state 26 percent BLK how many times do we have to say this it's MOE it typically goes to Ds and if Prez Eday where Biden name on Ballot we are better advantage

Do you think voters are gonna vote Mastriano and Trump for Prez no Biden and Casey

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ds aren't losing PA with Shapiro

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good chance of being a split outcome in 2024; Casey wins but Biden loses.

No because we won both races in 2022 in a Midterm

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yea the compiled map had Fetterman losing with S019, MT Treasure and Old School thought Fetterman was gonna lose with Shapiro and MT Treasure still thinks RS can take PA and Wiz

LoL PA is safe D thru 30 since Shapiro will easily get reelected and so will Fetterman and Casey because Shapiro is up in 26, Fetterman is up in 28 and Casey is up in 2030 and by 25 hopefully we have DC Statehood  on strength of MO, OH, TX and we are leading in KY, MS Gov and tied in NC and LA is a Runoff Wilson all he has to do is not win outright but make runoff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

PA and WI are Gone since Biden is at 49/45

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Mastriano chooses to run, he has the entire MAGA lane open to him.

https://twitter.com/hollyotterbein/status/1636026700793348097

If they unite behind McCormick they are absolute buffoons. Bartos or DeFoor would be 10× better

PA is gone for RS anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am so anxious for Filibuster reform I can't wait til 24 this is IT, I hoped it would of been it in 20 or 22 I was disappointed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All blue states are Safe D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem is the Filibuster RS blame the problems on Inflation and defunding the police and they are blocking everything with Filibuster just like MT Treasure has Daines RSCC chairman brain no blk person even knows whom Daines is in MO, FL, OH, PA and TX, WI, MI and NV and AZ they know him in MT and WV only

RS are gonna do very well in WV but the rest are questionable

Scott appeals to minorities Daines don't more blks know Tester and Bullock in a White state like MT Daines isn't gonna go into PA like Scott did in WI and OH last time and rally he has no Appeal

Emerson has Biden tied in FL and Daines doesn't do any good in even FL RS have to rely on DeSantis appeal and Desantis and Trump are losing to BIDEN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Let’s hope the DSCC is ready to spend $10 million to get this sick, unelectable freak the GOP nomination.

Casey can beat anyone he is gonna in a long with Baldwin v Kleefish and Slotkin v Mejer at least 51/47 like Fetterman did and more with a blue wave

Oz was a moderate Republican and married to a blk Fox news anchor that's why he was tough

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs are done Trump is up 54/24 in IA, AZ and GA on DeSantis and losing in AZ and PA and only 6 ahead in IA it's over WI, PA, MI, AZ, NV, VA gets us to 290

All we need to do is win 5 seats in H and win OH, AZ, MO and FL to make up for MT and WV

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Still nothing from Mastriano. I'm 50/50 on whether he'll actually do it, but now I'm leaning towards maybe he will, given you'd think if he was just saying no he's decided not to run, that he could've just said that already...?

At this point, I'm hoping he does it since that would instantly lock up Casey's reelection.

Casey would beat McCormick 51/47, Biden is on the ballot this isn't 22 where Ds had no Biden on the ballot and they had to run away from Biden