PA-SEN 2024 megathread
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Author Topic: PA-SEN 2024 megathread  (Read 18719 times)
Gracile
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« on: November 14, 2022, 10:09:53 AM »

Discuss the 2024 US Senate election in Pennsylvania here.

Earlier this year there was some speculation that David McCormick would run after losing the 2022 GOP primary:

Quote
Pennsylvania’s Senate GOP primary just ended. But Republicans here are already plotting out the Senate race in 2024.

GOP leaders, donors and strategists are urging David McCormick, the former hedge fund CEO who lost by fewer than 1,000 votes to Mehmet Oz in this year’s Republican Senate contest, to run again in two years against Democratic Sen. Bob Casey.

A person familiar with McCormick’s thinking said he is already looking at the possibility.

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/08/mccormick-casey-pennsylvania-election-2024-00037938
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2022, 11:02:11 AM »

Tilt D.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2022, 11:03:37 AM »

Please run McCormick PA GOP. pleassse!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2022, 11:30:36 AM »


Yeah, McCormick would be a dream candidate for Casey. Another rich, out of touch, elite carpetbagger against someone who actually has ties to PA.
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2022, 11:47:53 AM »


Yeah, McCormick would be a dream candidate for Casey. Another rich, out of touch, elite carpetbagger against someone who actually has ties to PA.

And he absolutely couldn't run against Casey the way the GOP ran against Fetterman. The last thing you can call Bob Casey is radical. He's probably the most boring person in the United States Senate.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2022, 11:51:54 AM »


Yeah, McCormick would be a dream candidate for Casey. Another rich, out of touch, elite carpetbagger against someone who actually has ties to PA.

And he absolutely couldn't run against Casey the way the GOP ran against Fetterman. The last thing you can call Bob Casey is radical. He's probably the most boring person in the United States Senate.

I honestly don't even remember how the GOP ran against Casey in 2018. Like what was even Barletta's case against him?
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #6 on: November 14, 2022, 11:58:36 AM »


Yeah, McCormick would be a dream candidate for Casey. Another rich, out of touch, elite carpetbagger against someone who actually has ties to PA.

And he absolutely couldn't run against Casey the way the GOP ran against Fetterman. The last thing you can call Bob Casey is radical. He's probably the most boring person in the United States Senate.

I honestly don't even remember how the GOP ran against Casey in 2018. Like what was even Barletta's case against him?

I guess illegal immigration maybe? Barletta was insanely outraised though so I don't think he got the chance to put up many attack ads.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2022, 12:10:05 PM »

Safe D with Shapiro as GOV McCormick would have defeated Fetterman no one will def Casey Casey wins by Kelly margins 51/45
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2022, 12:12:10 PM »

Yessss. Yesssss! Run McCormick. Do it! Do it!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: November 14, 2022, 12:12:35 PM »

Yessss. Yesssss! Run McCormick. Do it! Do it!

He's gonna lose
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #10 on: November 14, 2022, 12:28:52 PM »


Yes. This is how we win OC.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2022, 01:41:47 PM »


We know it's gonna be a competitive race don't get me wrong but it's gonna be Kelly territory not Barnes territory Casey is gonna win 51/46 by 150K votes, Brown can be Barnes territory but he will have a better map than Ryan, Redistricting is a do over in OH in 24

We gotta find out what happens in KY that is a bellwether for BROWN, but clearly Ds not approved the WVA pipeline and Biden remarks on coal hurt RYAN, OH is a coal state
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S019
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« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2022, 01:45:00 PM »

No idea how McCormick is a weak candidate, but he probably isn’t strong enough to beat Casey. The GOP can do a lot worse here (imagine running Scott Perry lol), but this is Lean D until evidence arises otherwise, Casey has a history of outrunning the top of the ticket.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2022, 01:49:41 PM »

No idea how McCormick is a weak candidate, but he probably isn’t strong enough to beat Casey. The GOP can do a lot worse here (imagine running Scott Perry lol), but this is Lean D until evidence arises otherwise, Casey has a history of outrunning the top of the ticket.

McCormick isn't Oz-weak, but he's just mediocre IMO. He's just another generic R but with big flaws (the CT residence thing, being extremely rich, can be painted as 'out of touch' as well, but not as bad as Oz) while Casey is just an extremely strong candidate. He's essentially the Cartwright of statewide.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #14 on: November 14, 2022, 01:51:20 PM »

What about Doug Mastriano? Second time is the charm!
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2022, 02:15:22 PM »

McCormick would definitely not be their best choice, but who else are they going to run? Fitzpatrick would have no chance in a primary.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #16 on: November 14, 2022, 02:17:06 PM »

McCormick would definitely not be their best choice, but who else are they going to run? Fitzpatrick would have no chance in a primary.

The bench is awful in PA. Their only possible good choice may DeFoor, who seems the least crazy out of the batch. Garrity looks like a chance too, and she's nearly Mastriano crazy.
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #17 on: November 14, 2022, 02:20:46 PM »

Time for the Kathy Barnette return engagement!
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #18 on: November 14, 2022, 02:23:17 PM »

No idea how McCormick is a weak candidate, but he probably isn’t strong enough to beat Casey. The GOP can do a lot worse here (imagine running Scott Perry lol), but this is Lean D until evidence arises otherwise, Casey has a history of outrunning the top of the ticket.

His extremism aside, Perry actually has a knack of over performing in his only light-red Harrisburg area district.
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Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins
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« Reply #19 on: November 14, 2022, 02:27:57 PM »

McCormick would definitely not be their best choice, but who else are they going to run? Fitzpatrick would have no chance in a primary.

McCormick might be their best choice. He is probably a B/B- candidate but I can't see who else the GOP has. He might very well have beaten Fetterman. Fitzpatrick does not get through a primary. None of the other house members strike me as good fits statewide. Who do you think would be better?
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #20 on: November 14, 2022, 02:58:51 PM »

Running some generic conservative Republican like Lloyd Smucker or even a Barletta retread would probably be better than McCormick. The carpet-bagger attack clearly works in a state like PA. I don't think there's anybody save Fitzpatrick (who couldn't win a primary) who would actually beat Casey though, and even then....
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #21 on: November 14, 2022, 03:11:32 PM »

Fitzpatrick can absolutely win a primary. He's far more likely than someone like Steil in WI
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #22 on: November 14, 2022, 03:29:17 PM »

Fitzpatrick can absolutely win a primary. He's far more likely than someone like Steil in WI

IDK, the last two elections he only won like ~65% in his own primary in PA-01. Statewide GOP primary voters are much more crazy than PA-01 GOP primary voters.
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20RP12
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« Reply #23 on: November 14, 2022, 04:08:46 PM »

Running some generic conservative Republican like Lloyd Smucker or even a Barletta retread would probably be better than McCormick. The carpet-bagger attack clearly works in a state like PA. I don't think there's anybody save Fitzpatrick (who couldn't win a primary) who would actually beat Casey though, and even then....

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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #24 on: November 14, 2022, 04:39:24 PM »

Casey should be fine if he runs.  This starts at no worse than Likely D.
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