2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 85680 times)
Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1975 on: August 02, 2022, 08:06:36 PM »
Quote from: Official Penguin Books Account on August 02, 2022, 08:04:03 PM
Looking forward to Greitens losing every single county.

The only rurals we have are in Hartzler's district, so we'll see.

Quote from: Sestak on August 02, 2022, 08:04:43 PM
Quote from: SALT Deductions Forever on August 02, 2022, 08:02:57 PM
Lowest overperformance is 6% in Meade while the highest is a close fight with Riley being the most notable at 25%.

I think Jackson might have just broken this.

Holy sh**t that's nearly 40%.
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #1976 on: August 02, 2022, 08:06:49 PM »
Quote from: Horus on August 02, 2022, 08:05:19 PM
If Gibbs wins MI-03 Scholten is at least slightly favored, no?

I would say so, yes.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1977 on: August 02, 2022, 08:07:39 PM »
Kobach up to a 3.4% lead. Just LOL.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1978 on: August 02, 2022, 08:08:02 PM »
LMAO CNN actually did something funny
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #1979 on: August 02, 2022, 08:08:21 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 07:56:55 PM
Quote from: Secretary of State Liberal Hack on August 02, 2022, 07:55:58 PM

As soon as an Urban County is fully done counting and confirms a similar swing the race can be called for No.

I'm gonna go ahead and say it: I'VE SEEN ENOUGH!
It was an error, the county isn't fully in.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1980 on: August 02, 2022, 08:08:24 PM »
KORNACKI IS ON THE SCREEN, REPEAT, KORNACKI IS ON THE SCREEN. POINTING AT A MAP OF KANSAS!
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #1981 on: August 02, 2022, 08:08:31 PM »
Eric Cartman still leading in Missouri.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1982 on: August 02, 2022, 08:08:53 PM »
Quote from: Secretary of State Liberal Hack on August 02, 2022, 08:08:21 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 07:56:55 PM
Quote from: Secretary of State Liberal Hack on August 02, 2022, 07:55:58 PM

As soon as an Urban County is fully done counting and confirms a similar swing the race can be called for No.

I'm gonna go ahead and say it: I'VE SEEN ENOUGH!
It was an error, the county isn't fully in.

I will now accept my accolades
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1983 on: August 02, 2022, 08:09:15 PM »
Only 8% in Sedgwick. Hmm.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1984 on: August 02, 2022, 08:09:35 PM »
Kornacki just noted they messed up the reporting in Douglas County to make it look like it was 87% Yes lol.

And still with that No was easily up!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1985 on: August 02, 2022, 08:10:07 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 08:08:24 PM
KORNACKI IS ON THE SCREEN, REPEAT, KORNACKI IS ON THE SCREEN. POINTING AT A MAP OF KANSAS!

To quote SirWoodbury:

"OOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHH YEEEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHH!!!"
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #1986 on: August 02, 2022, 08:10:18 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 08:09:35 PM
Kornacki just noted they messed up the reporting in Douglas County to make it look like it was 87% Yes lol.

And still with that No was easily up!

Oh, good, I was getting a little confused haha. That would've made no sense given how No is running in every other county so far.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1987 on: August 02, 2022, 08:11:26 PM »
WRT KS Amendment: of all (partial) results in thus far, not a single county's "Yes" share is surpassing Trump's 2020 share. The closest right now is Chautauqua County, where "Yes" is underperforming Trump-20's margin by 10 points.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1988 on: August 02, 2022, 08:12:15 PM »
Quote from: Adam Griffin on August 02, 2022, 08:11:26 PM
WRT KS Amendment: of all (partial) results in thus far, not a single county's "Yes" share is surpassing Trump's 2020 share. The closest right now is Chautauqua County, where "Yes" is underperforming Trump-20's margin by 10 points.

Actually I think it's 6.5% in Meade.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1989 on: August 02, 2022, 08:12:26 PM »

Sedgwick was Trump +12. Not Biden +12.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1990 on: August 02, 2022, 08:12:30 PM »
Kornacki and MSNBC fixed Douglas County.

Still nothing in from Johnson County...

I don't see how it's possible No doesn't outdo Biden by at least 10 points based on these numbers.

Again, I've seen enough, whether that rural county was a reporting error or not. "No" wins.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1991 on: August 02, 2022, 08:12:50 PM »

Hmm? KS SOS has no = 62% vs. 43% for Biden
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1992 on: August 02, 2022, 08:13:29 PM »
Quote from: SALT Deductions Forever on August 02, 2022, 08:12:15 PM
Quote from: Adam Griffin on August 02, 2022, 08:11:26 PM
WRT KS Amendment: of all (partial) results in thus far, not a single county's "Yes" share is surpassing Trump's 2020 share. The closest right now is Chautauqua County, where "Yes" is underperforming Trump-20's margin by 10 points.

Actually I think it's 6.5% in Meade.

Fitting, since this looks like Gettysburg for the pro-life movement.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1993 on: August 02, 2022, 08:15:29 PM »

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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #1994 on: August 02, 2022, 08:15:44 PM »
With 16% in, Meijer has narrowed the gap with Gibbs to 41.7% to 58.3% according to CNN.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1995 on: August 02, 2022, 08:15:55 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 02, 2022, 08:15:29 PM




Update: NYT now showing over 95% in, and Yes 56-44.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1996 on: August 02, 2022, 08:16:00 PM »
Busch Valentine looks like a lock for the Dems in MO too, certainly if Schmitt is for the Rs.

I just hope Greitens comes in third!
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1997 on: August 02, 2022, 08:16:34 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 02, 2022, 08:15:29 PM



SAY THE LINE, DAVE!!!
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1998 on: August 02, 2022, 08:17:21 PM »
Quote from: SALT Deductions Forever on August 02, 2022, 08:12:15 PM
Quote from: Adam Griffin on August 02, 2022, 08:11:26 PM
WRT KS Amendment: of all (partial) results in thus far, not a single county's "Yes" share is surpassing Trump's 2020 share. The closest right now is Chautauqua County, where "Yes" is underperforming Trump-20's margin by 10 points.

Actually I think it's 6.5% in Meade.

I'm just taking the 2-way presidential margin if that matters, but right now in Meade I'm showing a 14-point margin difference (Trump +69 versus Yes +55).

If the best a handful of rural counties can muster is 10-15 points less support for the amendment than they gave Trump - when Trump won KS by 15 points - then this is almost certainly over.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1999 on: August 02, 2022, 08:17:58 PM »
It says greater than 95% in Ellis now on NYT.

This is OVER.
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