2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

No now up 73.4%-26.6%

[Alben Barkley]

Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

Their vote shares just switched on NYT? Not sure what happened there

Probably a computer/entry error.

I've seen enough: Stevens wins this one.

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554623985538764801

Dixon for Governor !

So far I’m 1 for 1 in primary endorsements

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554623985538764801

Dixon for Governor !

So far I’m 1 for 1 in primary endorsements

Well, she went to the University of Kentucky according to Ballotpedia, so if a Republican HAS to win I guess...

She was the least clowniest of those candidates though, seriously. Which is good if, again, a Republican HAS to win. But that whole field was a clown car of the highest order, and I still think Whitmer is favored against her.

[Minnesota Mike]

No up 75-25 in Riley county, a county Biden won by 5%. Probably a big early vote skew but still...

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

The weird thing is that No is outpolling Biden by 20%+ in Riley and Shawnee but only by 10% in Wyandotte.

[Brittain33]

"Yes" has crashed to 11c on Predictit, which is known to swing wildly on election nights.

[Politician]

The weird thing is that No is outpolling Biden by 20%+ in Riley and Shawnee but only by 10% in Wyandotte.

Wyandotte is mostly black so that would probably explain it.

[Alben Barkley]

No now up 73.4%-26.6%

Big vote share from Riley County just dropped. Question is whether "Yes" can overcome this when the more rural/Western parts of the state start reporting.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

"Yes" has crashed to 11c on Predictit, which is known to swing wildly on election nights.

I made $100 off of it during the 2020 cycle after it crashed during the early returns.

[Brittain33]

The weird thing is that No is outpolling Biden by 20%+ in Riley and Shawnee but only by 10% in Wyandotte.

Not many pro-choice Republicans in Wyandotte, I'd guess.

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554623985538764801

Dixon for Governor !

So far I’m 1 for 1 in primary endorsements

Well, she went to the University of Kentucky according to Ballotpedia, so if a Republican HAS to win I guess...

She was the least clowniest of those candidates though, seriously. Which is good if, again, a Republican HAS to win. But that whole field was a clown car of the highest order, and I still think Whitmer is favored against her.

Yah the race is Lean D imo and the abortion referendum probably helps Whitmer too

[GALeftist]

Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

Their vote shares just switched on NYT? Not sure what happened there

Probably a computer/entry error.

I've seen enough: Stevens wins this one.

TBH, that margin doesn't seem insurmountable if they counted earlies/mail-ins first. If not, though, yeah, I'm ready to call it.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Underperforming by 20% in Phillips.

[Minnesota Mike]

Ellsworth with a narrow NO lead, was 75-25 Trump.

[GeorgiaModerate]

More from the 538 blog:

In partial results in three Kansas counties so far, the Value Them Both amendment is failing with around 20-30 percent of the vote in each of them. It’s running way behind where Trump ran in the 2020 election, and if the same pattern holds up statewide, it would fail. HOWEVER, these are all early/absentee votes so far, and we know from experience that those votes skew more liberal than election-day votes. So it’s too early to draw any conclusions.

[Nyvin]

The weird thing is that No is outpolling Biden by 20%+ in Riley and Shawnee but only by 10% in Wyandotte.

Wyandotte is mostly black so that would probably explain it.

Not really, only about ~23% or so.

[Brittain33]

No is outrunning Biden by exactly 25 points in rural Harvey County

[Mexican Wolf]

No is outrunning Biden by exactly 25 points in rural Harvey County

Harvey went for Kelly in 2018, right?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

I mean we can at least say No will outrun Biden.

[GALeftist]

Wasserman just called MI-11 for Stevens

[Alben Barkley]

Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

Their vote shares just switched on NYT? Not sure what happened there

Probably a computer/entry error.

I've seen enough: Stevens wins this one.

TBH, that margin doesn't seem insurmountable if they counted earlies/mail-ins first. If not, though, yeah, I'm ready to call it.

Is there any reason to think Levin would benefit if they did? I don't recall progressive candidates doing better on same day votes than "moderate" Democrats in the 2020 or subsequent primaries compared to mail-in/early. My memory could be wrong on that though.

[Alben Barkley]

Wasserman just called MI-11 for Stevens

Sweet, guess I'm Dave before Dave now!

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

The weird thing is that No is outpolling Biden by 20%+ in Riley and Shawnee but only by 10% in Wyandotte.

Wyandotte is mostly black so that would probably explain it.

Not really, only about ~23% or so.

That's still 23 times the rest of Kansas

[Horus]

Wasserman just called MI-11 for Stevens

Yuck.