2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 81535 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1850 on: July 19, 2022, 09:37:56 PM »
Calling MD-GOV R for Cox!
Calling MD-SEN D for Van Hollen!
Calling MD-1 D for Mizeur!
Calling MD-2 D for Ruppersburger!
Calling MD-3 D for Sarbanes!
Calling MD-5 D for Hoyer!
Calling MD-5 R for Palombi!
Calling MD-6 D for Trone!
Calling MD-6 R for Parrott!
Calling MD-7 D for Mfume!
Calling MD-8 D for Raskin!
Calling MD-8 R for Coll!

Uncalled:
MD-2 R
MD-3 R
MD-4 D & R
MD-7 R
MD-GOV D
MD-SEN R
MD-AG D & R
MD-Comptroller D
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1851 on: July 19, 2022, 09:41:02 PM »
Quote from: Fremont MP theflyingmongoose on July 19, 2022, 09:22:33 PM
Would mail-ins benefit Schulz? I assume since more educated people would vote for her and educated people are more likely to use mail in?

Not enough Republican MIB out there to change the result. As of yesterday only about 38,000.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1852 on: July 19, 2022, 10:28:08 PM »
Calling MD-AG D for Brown!
Calling MD-AG R for Peroutka!
Calling MD-Comptroller D for Lierman!
Calling MD-2 R for Ambrose!

Uncalled:
MD-3 R
MD-4 D & R
MD-7 R
MD-GOV D
MD-SEN R
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1853 on: July 20, 2022, 01:16:20 AM »
Calling MD-4 D for Ivey!
Calling MD-4 R for Warner!
Calling MD-SEN R for Chaffee!

Uncalled:
MD-3 R
MD-7 R
MD-GOV D
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GALeftist
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« Reply #1854 on: July 20, 2022, 01:46:42 AM »
Bummer in MD-04. Wish AIPAC would just buzz off. Looks like MD-GOV is in the bag though
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1855 on: July 20, 2022, 02:07:56 AM »
Calling MD-3 R for Morgan!

Uncalled:
MD-7 R
MD-GOV D
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1856 on: July 20, 2022, 06:48:17 AM »
Epic fàil by polling that had FRANCHOT winning Perez placed second got most of his vote
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1857 on: July 20, 2022, 10:40:12 AM »
Calling MD-7 R for Collier!
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Lognog
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« Reply #1858 on: July 21, 2022, 02:18:18 PM »
It's a local election, but has anyone else been following the Moco County Exec race?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1859 on: July 22, 2022, 11:52:13 PM »
Calling MD-GOV D for Moore!

Next primaries are on August 2.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1860 on: August 01, 2022, 04:06:55 PM »
538's preview of tomorrow's Arizona and Missouri primaries: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-far-right-will-republican-primary-voters-go-in-arizona-and-missouri/.  A second preview featuring the remaining states will be published tomorrow.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1861 on: August 02, 2022, 09:13:53 AM »
And here's the 538 article for the remaining primaries this week: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-3-pro-impeachment-house-republicans-survive-tuesdays-primaries/
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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« Reply #1862 on: August 02, 2022, 09:29:32 AM »
« Edited: August 02, 2022, 10:48:57 PM by 🇺🇦 Мир для Украины 🇺🇦 »
I'll go out on a limb and predict that the overall winner of the senatorial elections will be...

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



I moreover proceed on the assumption that he would be Trump's running mate in 2024, if he were eligible for that office.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1863 on: August 02, 2022, 11:18:15 AM »
Predictions:

AZ R Gov: Lake
AZ D Gov: Hobbs
AZ R Sen: Masters

KS Abortion Amendment: No

MI R Gov: Dixon
MI-11 D: Stevens

MO R Sen: Schmitt
MO D Sen: Valentine

WA Sen: Murray and Smiley

And honestly I’m pretty certain about all of these except the KS abortion amendment and to a lesser extent the AZ and MO R primaries.
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jgreywolf
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« Reply #1864 on: August 02, 2022, 02:00:59 PM »

Thoughts on Naz Paul?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1865 on: August 02, 2022, 04:46:55 PM »
NYT Page: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/02/us/elections/results-arizona-michigan-missouri-kansas-washington.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

I've also grown fond of the WA SOS Page over time: https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20220802/


A few notes:

- Ohio state leg. is outside the scope of my projections, but this would be the place to discuss those races.
- I traditionally haven't done ballot measures, BUT I will make an exception now - I will cover the Kansas Abortion Amendment
- Arizona results will be held until 11 ET under state law, even though polls will be closed by 10. Washington is all-mail so results may take days.
- During the KS, MO, and MI primaries, calls may be delayed due to multiple things competing for my attention tonight. This won't affect AZ/WA.
- ATLAS USER DR. RI is the Republican running for WA House 44 position 2. Not in the scope of my projections as only 2 candidates are running, but we can all watch it here: https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20220802/legislative-district-44-state-representative-pos-2.html


First notable poll closings are at 8 ET.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1866 on: August 02, 2022, 04:48:21 PM »
The WA race will be interesting to see the margin, and how much Murray runs ahead of Smiley.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1867 on: August 02, 2022, 05:22:28 PM »
where is the best place to watch for results?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1868 on: August 02, 2022, 05:24:37 PM »
« Edited: August 02, 2022, 05:45:45 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
There's gonna be Ds voting in the R primary we don't want to see Lake rather see ROBSON
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1869 on: August 02, 2022, 05:37:00 PM »
Quote from: SALT Deductions Forever on August 02, 2022, 05:22:28 PM
where is the best place to watch for results?
https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20220802/ for WA

NYT otherwise
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1870 on: August 02, 2022, 05:46:07 PM »
I meant D's voting in R PRIM for ROBSON
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1871 on: August 02, 2022, 05:46:18 PM »
Quote from: 🇺🇦 Мир для Украины 🇺🇦 on August 02, 2022, 09:29:32 AM
I moreover proceed on the assumption that he will be Trump's running mate in 2024.

He's not eligible.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #1872 on: August 02, 2022, 06:41:59 PM »
I noticed in Missouri’s 4th Jack Truman is running, is he relayed to Harry Truman at all?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1873 on: August 02, 2022, 06:52:21 PM »
Quote from: Homosexuals for Court Packing (Any/All) on August 02, 2022, 06:41:59 PM
I noticed in Missouri’s 4th Jack Truman is running, is he relayed to Harry Truman at all?

If it’s the same guy (same picture and birth place as his Ballotpedia page and local news articles) I found his IMDb page which claims he is Harry Truman’s great-nephew:

https://www.imdb.com/name/nm0874289/trivia

Apparently he has produced some documentaries about strippers.

https://abc17news.com/politics/missouri-politics/2022/05/18/barton-county-resident-jack-truman-announces-run-for-missouris-4th-congressional-district/

https://ballotpedia.org/Jack_Truman
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1874 on: August 02, 2022, 07:04:45 PM »
First results in for the night I see, from Lincoln County, MO. Schmitt leads Greitens.

But knowing even 134 people actually voted for Greitens disgusts me. That man I think is worse than Trump.
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