2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 81515 times)
Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1950 on: August 02, 2022, 07:53:05 PM »
Wasserman is basically saying "No" is leading but can't call it yet:



He also just called MO for Schmitt:


Guess ERIC wins after all!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1951 on: August 02, 2022, 07:53:31 PM »
We don't have anything from Johnson or Wichita. LOL
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1952 on: August 02, 2022, 07:54:46 PM »
Predictit for Yes down to 8c.
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Pink Panther
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« Reply #1953 on: August 02, 2022, 07:55:37 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 07:53:05 PM
Wasserman is basically saying "No" is leading but can't call it yet:


He also just called MO for Schmitt:


Guess ERIC wins after all!
He's calling MO way too early, imo. Schmitt looks favored for now, but only 3% of the vote is in, according to CNN.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1954 on: August 02, 2022, 07:55:42 PM »

Got mine in at 11c so decent move there.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1955 on: August 02, 2022, 07:56:32 PM »
Silver still seems skeptical of the chances for "Yes."

Quote from: Nate Silver
I just think we can think probabilistically. Clearly YES can win, but there’s definitely been info to move us from our priors.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1956 on: August 02, 2022, 07:56:55 PM »
Quote from: Secretary of State Liberal Hack on August 02, 2022, 07:55:58 PM

As soon as an Urban County is fully done counting and confirms a similar swing the race can be called for No.

I'm gonna go ahead and say it: I'VE SEEN ENOUGH!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1957 on: August 02, 2022, 07:57:05 PM »
10% overperformance in Finney. Seems like the moderates in Kansas are coming out while the rural conservatives don't give a sh**t.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1958 on: August 02, 2022, 07:57:43 PM »
In 2020, Phillips County had 2,418 for Trump, 318 for Biden. This turnout differential looks wrong.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1959 on: August 02, 2022, 07:59:01 PM »
Does anyone have 2020 early vote data?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1960 on: August 02, 2022, 08:00:37 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:57:43 PM
In 2020, Phillips County had 2,418 for Trump, 318 for Biden. This turnout differential looks wrong.

For a primary in August? Not really that crazy if you ask me.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1961 on: August 02, 2022, 08:01:15 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 08:00:37 PM
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:57:43 PM
In 2020, Phillips County had 2,418 for Trump, 318 for Biden. This turnout differential looks wrong.

For a primary in August? Not really that crazy if you ask me.

They were talking up turnout being more than half of election year turnout statewide.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #1962 on: August 02, 2022, 08:01:51 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:52:00 PM
Quote from: Official Penguin Books Account on August 02, 2022, 07:48:26 PM
Are the partial results in Kansas early-only? That would make some sense.

They must be, because if not, No would be on track to win with more than 60%.

IMO this wouldn't be outside the realm of possibility. Ballot questions can have landslide results depending on how the voters interpret the language.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1963 on: August 02, 2022, 08:02:02 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 08:00:37 PM
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:57:43 PM
In 2020, Phillips County had 2,418 for Trump, 318 for Biden. This turnout differential looks wrong.

For a primary in August? Not really that crazy if you ask me.

State SoS office has reported a quite high turnout; I think there is likely still some left to report there. Maybe precincts are reporting partially?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1964 on: August 02, 2022, 08:02:22 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 08:01:15 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on August 02, 2022, 08:00:37 PM
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:57:43 PM
In 2020, Phillips County had 2,418 for Trump, 318 for Biden. This turnout differential looks wrong.

For a primary in August? Not really that crazy if you ask me.

They were talking up turnout being more than half of election year turnout statewide.

Possible it's higher in suburbs/urban areas than rural areas, possibly because "No" voters are more energized in general!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1965 on: August 02, 2022, 08:02:57 PM »
Lowest overperformance is 6% in Meade while the highest is a close fight with Riley being the most notable at 25%.
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Pink Panther
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« Reply #1966 on: August 02, 2022, 08:03:26 PM »
Currently Gibbs is leading by 26% with 5% of the vote in.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1967 on: August 02, 2022, 08:03:31 PM »
Looks like Meijer is cooked in MI-03.

Guess that's what you get for having a pair in the GOP today.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #1968 on: August 02, 2022, 08:04:03 PM »
Looking forward to Greitens losing every single county.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1969 on: August 02, 2022, 08:04:24 PM »
Meijer losing by 26%, it wasn't even remotely competitive.  He got squashed.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1970 on: August 02, 2022, 08:04:34 PM »
19% overperformance in Saline county.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1971 on: August 02, 2022, 08:04:43 PM »
Quote from: SALT Deductions Forever on August 02, 2022, 08:02:57 PM
Lowest overperformance is 6% in Meade while the highest is a close fight with Riley being the most notable at 25%.

I think Jackson might have just broken this.
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Horus
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« Reply #1972 on: August 02, 2022, 08:05:19 PM »
If Gibbs wins MI-03 Scholten is at least slightly favored, no?
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #1973 on: August 02, 2022, 08:06:14 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on August 02, 2022, 08:04:24 PM
Meijer losing by 26%, it wasn't even remotely competitive.  He got squashed.

bro it's 3% reporting
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1974 on: August 02, 2022, 08:06:29 PM »
Where is Steve Kornacki, MSNBC? I hate Ali Velshi!
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