2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 03:19:21 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 81495 times)
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« on: March 01, 2022, 09:40:10 PM »

I know there's currently less than 5% of precincts reporting there right now, but the 28th District's primary is way too close for comfort right now.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2022, 10:11:56 PM »

I know there's currently less than 5% of precincts reporting there right now, but the 28th District's primary is way too close for comfort right now.

NYT has over half the vote reporting there? Still incredibly tight though

I'm following on Politico, which only had 5% of precincts reporting when I posted this. Currently, they have 39.6% of precincts reporting compared to NYT.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2022, 06:42:36 PM »

Looks like the Ohio Senate primary is pretty tight between Vance and Dolan at the moment; they're within 1% on both Politico and CNN.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2022, 06:58:11 PM »

CNN called the D primary for Ryan.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2022, 07:00:59 PM »

And here starts PA.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2022, 07:06:21 PM »

First results out of Pittsburgh on Politico have Fetterman at 57% to Lamb at 40% to Kenyatta at 2.2% and Khalil at 0.8%.

@ElectionCenter on Twitter already called it for Fetterman, but I'm not sure how reliable they are.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2022, 07:11:57 PM »

So I’m looking at the AP numbers, are these just Allegheny so far?

Not on AP rn, but I also see a bit of Northampton County reporting as well. Fetterman has a similar 57% share to 28% for Lamb.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2022, 07:16:24 PM »

I assume Lamb's support was supposed to be more regionally concentrated than Fetterman, which would mean...fairly comfortable win looking likely?

I would guess.  I do think it's interesting that...oh, I'm sorry, I can't remember the user...posted about an anecdote wherein a Fetterman voter switched to Lamb due to the former's health issues.  

I also know at least two Fetterman voters (husband and wife) who voted Lamb because they were concerned about his ability to handle the rigors of a U.S. Senate job, but of course this is TOTALLY anecdotal and non-scientific.  

Might've been me you were thinking of haha. Anyway, yeah, I figured Lamb's support would be more regional than Fetterman's. It's still early on, but I think Lamb will carry a couple of counties out west, maybe Greene, Fayette, or Beaver considering they were in his old and/or current district.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2022, 07:26:33 PM »


Also true, which is why until Fetterman really pulled away in the polls, I wasn't sure who to give Allegheny to in my prediction maps.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2022, 07:29:11 PM »

Anything in for my neck of the woods yet? (SEPA)

Kenyatta's leading in Philly while Fetterman leads in Bucks and Delaware on Politico.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2022, 07:53:53 PM »

You gotta love the extremely intense regionalism in Pennsylvania primary election maps.

The difference between the Pittsburgh and Philly results in the Dem LG primary are especially striking this year (obviously because they're the candidates' home bases).
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2022, 08:02:21 PM »

Mastriano has narrowly taken the lead in the governor's primary. He's doing best in rural central and western counties currently.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2022, 08:29:06 PM »

I did not expect for Lamb to get destroyed to this extent everywhere other than Pittsburgh and Philly. It's like everyone but Fetterman forgot to campaign in these areas.

On another note you can really see how Trumpy NEPA is.

Same here. I thought that Lamb would've taken the lead in at least one county tonight.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2022, 08:31:52 PM »

I did not expect for Lamb to get destroyed to this extent everywhere other than Pittsburgh and Philly. It's like everyone but Fetterman forgot to campaign in these areas.

On another note you can really see how Trumpy NEPA is.

Same here. I thought that Lamb would've taken the lead in at least one county tonight.

Eh his only geographical advantage was negated by the fact that Fetterman also lived there.

Fair point, but usually a couple of counties break away from the statewide winner anyway. So far, only Philly's done that since Kenyatta's from there.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2022, 08:46:04 PM »

Finally some votes in from Chester! McSwain, McCormick, and Fetterman all lead with 14% in on Politico.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2022, 09:01:12 PM »


Not anymore, it's back down to 1.6% lead for McCormick.   He is doing really good in the northern rurals for some reason.

Maybe that Annie Oakley ad really did the trick /s.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2022, 09:10:43 PM »

PA-SEN (R) is going to come down to those Lancaster County ballots, isn't it.

It only seems appropriate given how bizarre this primary's been.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2022, 09:19:45 PM »

Fetterman just narrowly took the lead in Philly.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2022, 09:21:41 PM »

Fetterman just narrowly took the lead in Philly.

A 67 county sweep would be absolutely beautiful.

As a Fetterman supporter, I agree, but as a map nerd, I dissent lol.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2022, 09:38:17 PM »

Why is Oz some kind of titan in Philly and NE PA?

Admittedly, I thought he'd been winning a couple of the Philly suburban counties too, but I feel like the Philly area is where a lot of fans of Oz's show are, so the ones who are still Republican are helping him carry Philadelphia County. This is more of a hunch than anything else. Not sure about NE PA, maybe it has something to do with Oz's Jersey residence?
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2022, 10:11:18 PM »

Little's crushing McGeachin 66.1% to 21.4% in the early vote right now.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2022, 10:13:14 PM »

Little's crushing McGeachin 66.1% to 21.4% in the early vote right now.

Trump endorsed McGeachin, right?

It's been a pretty rough night for Trump endorsees.

Yeah, he did.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #22 on: May 17, 2022, 10:50:26 PM »

The margins have narrowed slightly, but Little is still over 60% while McGeachin trails far behind at 24%.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #23 on: May 17, 2022, 10:57:57 PM »

Now I really want to know how those misprinted Lancaster County ballots are going to work out.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,330


« Reply #24 on: May 24, 2022, 07:24:08 PM »

Cuellar narrowly leads Cisneros 50.8% to 49.2% districtwide currently.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.035 seconds with 12 queries.