2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 81557 times)
Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1875 on: August 02, 2022, 07:09:57 PM »
Early Jackson County results in, now both Schmitt and Hartzler lead Greitens.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1876 on: August 02, 2022, 07:10:49 PM »
Is anyone following the Kansas abortion referendum?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1877 on: August 02, 2022, 07:11:36 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:10:49 PM
Is anyone following the Kansas abortion referendum?

No results yet that I see.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1878 on: August 02, 2022, 07:15:01 PM »
538 live blog: https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/arizona-michigan-election/
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1879 on: August 02, 2022, 07:17:33 PM »
From the 538 live blog:

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When the Value Them Both amendment was put on the ballot in Kansas last year, I think a lot of people assumed that turnout would be low and limited to just people who were voting in Kansas’s primary elections on the same day. That, uh, does not seem to have panned out. By all accounts, turnout in Kansas is through the roof today, with the secretary of state suggesting that half of voters statewide will cast a ballot (it’s unclear if he meant half of registered voters or half of eligible voters). That strongly suggests that the abortion-related ballot measure is driving turnout, not the state’s sleepy primaries.
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #1880 on: August 02, 2022, 07:17:52 PM »
Busch Valentine with a decent early lead over Kunce, 50.9% to 26.7% with around 1,800 votes in.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1881 on: August 02, 2022, 07:18:15 PM »
Calling MI-9 R for McClain!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #1882 on: August 02, 2022, 07:18:18 PM »
First Kansas results coming in. Nothing for the Abortion referendum though.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #1883 on: August 02, 2022, 07:18:55 PM »
NVM no up 70%-30%
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1884 on: August 02, 2022, 07:21:07 PM »

STOP THE COUNT!!!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #1885 on: August 02, 2022, 07:21:11 PM »
Tlaib is probably going to win but coming under 50% would be embarrassing.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1886 on: August 02, 2022, 07:22:28 PM »
Dixon up big in with 3% reporting in MI.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1887 on: August 02, 2022, 07:23:23 PM »

No is outpacing the Democratic share of the vote (55%) by quite a bit.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1888 on: August 02, 2022, 07:24:05 PM »

I wonder if there's an early vote / election day vote difference in Kansas.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1889 on: August 02, 2022, 07:24:47 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:24:05 PM

I wonder if there's an early vote / election day vote difference in Kansas.

Probably. Let's not get too excited yet.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1890 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:01 PM »

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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #1891 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:21 PM »
It's probably a little difficult to tell given that it's a referendum rather than a D vs. R race, but what benchmarks would "No" need to hit in Shawnee, Johnson, Wyandotte, Sedgwick, Riley, etc. to have a strong chance of prevailing statewide?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1892 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:27 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 02, 2022, 07:24:05 PM

I wonder if there's an early vote / election day vote difference in Kansas.

Early results appear to be just Shawnee County (Topeka), but still a good sign if No is outrunning the Democratic ballot advantage by that much.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1893 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:41 PM »
Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1894 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:43 PM »
No up 70%-30% in Shawnee, which only went 50-47 for Biden. Although that was the first time it went D in decades.
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Pink Panther
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« Reply #1895 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:48 PM »
Hartzler is up with the first batch.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1896 on: August 02, 2022, 07:25:59 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 02, 2022, 07:25:01 PM



I missed this feeling.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1897 on: August 02, 2022, 07:26:57 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on August 02, 2022, 07:25:41 PM
Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

And just like that NYT flipped the results.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1898 on: August 02, 2022, 07:27:07 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on August 02, 2022, 07:25:41 PM
Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

I'm seeing Stevens +17 with 41% in?
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #1899 on: August 02, 2022, 07:27:12 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on August 02, 2022, 07:25:41 PM
Levin up 18% with 37% in. Surprises me a bit.

Their vote shares just switched on NYT? Not sure what happened there
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