OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Does anyone else find it weird how the media is blatantly propping up Timken's failing campaign at any chance they can get? She's gotten an insane amount of positive media coverage from even liberal media outlets.

[SpartanburgSam]

If he endorses anyone it will be Vance

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

If he endorses anyone it will be Vance

I didn't think so at first but I'm starting to think so. Trump has only negative things to say about everyone else but has praised Vance (although he has raised concern about his poll numbers).

[BuckeyeNut]

The one person Trump definitely will not endorse in Vance. At this point, his prior sins of bashing the fearless leader are irredeemable in the eyes of the GOP primary electorate. It would not be unprecedented for Trump to endorse somebody who previously bad-mouthed him, but Vance is on track to place 4th.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am waiting for a GE poll but a Cranley and Ryan ticket blue dogs would be Great

DeWine and Reynolds and DeSantis won by 3 or less and we won 46 M votes in 2018 not 80 M

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

The one person Trump definitely will not endorse in Vance. At this point, his prior sins of bashing the fearless leader are irredeemable in the eyes of the GOP primary electorate. It would not be unprecedented for Trump to endorse somebody who previously bad-mouthed him, but Vance is on track to place 4th.

Vance is the only one in the race Trump has praised. Multiple articles have come out saying Trump likes him, likes watching him on FOX, talks with him regularly and thinks he's handsome. He's concerned about his polling, but he hates Timken and Mandel and thinks Gibbons is boring.
And even if Vance is polling 4th, why are people claiming Trump could endorse Timken then if she's polling 5th?
Not to mention there are a TON of undecideds in this race and the primary is likely being postponed, so there's time. Vance isn't polling that much behind Mandel anyway, he's in 3rd, but a close 3rd.

[Canis]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1504955509094371339

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1504955509094371339

Lmao Mandel trying to look threatening and "alpha" with the way he looks and his voice just looks pathetic.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1504955509094371339

Lmao Mandel trying to look threatening and "alpha" with the way he looks and his voice just looks pathetic.

I continue to be struck by how immature he is, both with regards to his personality and to his appearance. He looks like a college kid who is way out of his depth.

[Ferguson97]

It's shameful. Ohio Democrats in 2022 and 2024, if Brown is likely to lose, needs to go to the drawing board and see what they did right in 2006 and 2008.

2006 and 2008 were Democratic wave years.

2022 is going to be a Republican wave year, and 2024 will be neutral at best.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's shameful. Ohio Democrats in 2022 and 2024, if Brown is likely to lose, needs to go to the drawing board and see what they did right in 2006 and 2008.

2006 and 2008 were Democratic wave years.

2022 is going to be a Republican wave year, and 2024 will be neutral at best.

Lol no its not

Do you know what Biden final Approvals were in 2o2o I am so tired of users proclaiming it's an R yr jo it's not it was 50/45 You Gov have him at 47/39 v Trump it's the same 3o3 MAP  Evers,  Shapiro, and Whitmer and SISOLAK and Polis have  51 percent Approvals


With a 303 map we can still win the Trifecta Rs aren't winning 24 seats Jared Golden and Chris Pappas are gonna win because Hassan and Mills are gonna win it's the same 303 map

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

LOL Gibbons accidentally said he was "100% pro-choice". Due to his prior comments about abortion this will definitely go in opposition ads.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH PREDICTIVE has polled OH and AZ Senate but they won't poll the OH Senate they poll the AZ we need to wait till see an OH PREDICTIVE poll on the Senate race too

Given DeWine Approvals that's why they have been reluctant to poll the Senate

Unlike FL Crist is gonna win the Gov race Gonzalez ratings have AZ, GA, FL GOVS as battlegrounds and it's a Latino state, the best thing to happen on EDay is for DeSantis to lose he is overrated Crist lost to Rick Scott he wasn't a Trumpian DeSantis is one

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah if Ryan was ahead OH Predictive would have pooped this race already the You Gov poll shows it's a 303 map Biden 47/39 we are gonna win WI/Pa blue states

[Pheurton Skeurto]

Josh Mandel is such a coward.

[Pheurton Skeurto]

Mandel's thesis is that Trump won by getting in front of voters and behaving like white trash, and that the best way of winning a Republican primary is to act like someone out of a Jerry Spring sketch every time you appear in public.

The difference is that Trump has a much more commanding presence. Mandel always looks and sounds like he’s about to start crying.

[Senator Incitatus]

Bold of Timken on run on being a woman in a party that is increasingly male/masculine. It could work in such a divided field.

Nobody is attracted to a campaign because of the gender of the candidate, especially in the GOP, in fact it probably turns people away. They want someone who focuses on the issues they are concerned about, and not one who boasts about how much of a girlboss she is.

This is definitely not true. The Republican Party continues to have a strong contingent of girlbosses both institutionally and among voters. I know several and they often prefer to vote for women. Like I said, it’s a marginal strategy, but this is a campaign being run on the margins.

[Grassroots]

FreedomWorks did a straw poll of the debate attendees after it finished. Here are the results:

Vance - 43.1%
Timken - 20.7%
Gibbons - 16.1%
Dolan - 12.3%
Mandel - 4.6%
Other - 3.3%

https://www.freedomworks.org/content/freedomworks-releases-ohio-senate-candidate-straw-poll-results

[Horus]

FreedomWorks did a straw poll of the debate attendees after it finished. Here are the results:

Vance - 43.1%
Timken - 20.7%
Gibbons - 16.1%
Dolan - 12.3%
Mandel - 4.6%
Other - 3.3%

https://www.freedomworks.org/content/freedomworks-releases-ohio-senate-candidate-straw-poll-results

Mandel is pathetic lol

[Real Texan Politics]

Vance or bust.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

FreedomWorks did a straw poll of the debate attendees after it finished. Here are the results:

Vance - 43.1%
Timken - 20.7%
Gibbons - 16.1%
Dolan - 12.3%
Mandel - 4.6%
Other - 3.3%

https://www.freedomworks.org/content/freedomworks-releases-ohio-senate-candidate-straw-poll-results

Clearly that farce didn't help Mandel or Gibbons.

[WPADEM]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1504955509094371339

Lmao Mandel trying to look threatening and "alpha" with the way he looks and his voice just looks pathetic.

I continue to be struck by how immature he is, both with regards to his personality and to his appearance. He looks like a college kid who is way out of his depth.

He hasn't changed much since 2012, except getting worse. Couldn't tell whose side the crowd was on during this "Performance."

[Pericles]

Looks like the crowd were booing Mandel. Well-deserved, he is pathetic and awful.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All the R candidates are terrible Ryan is a decent candidate and the only poll matters is EDAY none of these R candidate are as popular as DeWine, we must remember MO is tied and FL Gov is a Tossup

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

I think it's important to note that this event was organized by FreedomWorks, a tea party organization. Therefore most people in the audience would likely be tea party activists, which very strongly favor Mandel and Gibbons over other candidates (e.g. Club For Growth has endorsed Mandel).
Mandel (and Gibbons to a lesser extent) doing so poorly among this crowd means they had an extremely terrible performance, as this is supposed to be "their audience". Vance on the other hand getting over 40% of the "debate win" vote is surprising, as he has been the most openly hostile with tea party-adjacent groups, feuding with organizations like Club For Growth and the Chamber of Commerce (much of that due to Vance's perceived economic moderation). Him doing so well among a crowd which at first glance shouldn't like him is a good sign for him.
Gibbons also didn't help himself by accidentally saying he was pro-abortion and doubling down on saying the election wasn't stolen.
Like I've said before, the reason Vance isn't doing that well is just because he has had more negative ads shown about him than any other candidate in the nation, even though his message probably resonates more with voters. If voters see what he has to say (or Trump endorses him, which will clear any voter concerns about his loyalty), he will do well.