Arizona megathread

[GeorgiaModerate]

Lake's election contest has been getting most of the attention lately, but Abraham Hamadeh also filed one in the AG race:

https://twitter.com/arizonaslaw/status/1606366918830460928

This is entirely separate from the recount in this race, where the results are still pending and should be revealed next Thursday.

[Antonio the Sixth]

What's the point of challenging the pre-recount results if they're going to be mooted by the recount anyway?

[GeorgiaModerate]

What's the point of challenging the pre-recount results if they're going to be mooted by the recount anyway?

I think a lot of is to keep the MAGA base riled up and sending money.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1606418502188949506

I've long thought she was just grifting, but I'm starting to believe that she's genuinely insane.

[Gass3268]

Case was dismissed and sanction motions have been invited by the judge.

https://twitter.com/meidastouch/status/1606719021642305536?s=46&t=aUcnfvnpVJ...

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1606418502188949506

I've long thought she was just grifting, but I'm starting to believe that she's genuinely insane.

I believe I had all A’s last semester, shame it doesn’t work that way

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1606418502188949506

I've long thought she was just grifting, but I'm starting to believe that she's genuinely insane.

Does she live at MLG now? That's not rhetorical, I'm genuinely curious if she has a permanent suite. It seems like ever other day we get a new video clip of her speaking at some sort of event there. I wouldn’t be surprised if she hasn’t stepped foot in Arizona since she lost. She’s too busy spending all of her time in Florida hugging Trump’s leg and begging him to put her on the ticket for 2024.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

To put things into perspective Lake is claiming that more than 1-in-7 votes cast were fraudulent.

[President Johnson]

I wonder whether this is just a grift or blatant attempt to stay relevant, or whether Lake is really that dumb to believe she actually won the election?

https://twitter.com/KariLake/status/1606724410215653376

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

https://twitter.com/JenAFifield/status/1605602753425788945

Seriously??

Almost two months to know the winner. Unbelievable.

Maybe some states need a few Germans, French or Canadians to run their elections, when we have the results the next morning. Heck, even Brazil can count over 100 million votes from a country that's 47% of South America's total size in a matter of a single day.

Or actually Floridians. They are unironically some of the best in the world at counting votes.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump has never learned from being impeached that's why he keeps the big lie going that's why we need to win a Filibuster proof Trifecta and pass Voting Rights RS are never gonna concede as long as  Voting Rights isnt passed, the Electoral count Act doesn't even matter because Harris is presiding over Eday not Pence

[DaleCooper]

I wonder whether this is just a grift or blatant attempt to stay relevant, or whether Lake is really that dumb to believe she actually won the election?

https://twitter.com/KariLake/status/1606724410215653376

I don't know that she believes all this crap, but she clearly thought that she was going to basically be the Sarah Palin that actually made it to the White House. I can't read her mind, obviously, but I think it's generally accepted that she was hoping to go right from being the Governor of her state to being the Republican VP. I'm going to add my speculation that she was expecting Trump to die in office and leave her in the presidency. I believe that, dumb as she is, she had a master plan here and she never once considered the possibility that it wouldn't work. So now she's imploding beneath all the stress and whatever delusion is pushing her to believe that her ambitions are still achievable.

The whole nation really should be breathing a sigh of relief that this woman in particular lost out of all of the crazy Republicans this year.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/arizonaslaw/status/1607388343196844036

I'm guessing that most judges don't like being accused of being in cahoots with one side of the trial.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1607890956744802305?t=SoNyXqn-V_DW2uJ...

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1608250404672008192

[the artist formerly known as catmusic]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1608250404672008192

Well this should be fun. I wonder where the discrepancy came from. 

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1608250404672008192

Well this should be fun. I wonder where the discrepancy came from. 

Maybe Greenlee County? That swing towards Ds was huge. According to him it’s not from Pima or Maricopa.

Archer is a pretty reliable source, though often he likes to drag folks along which is annoying.

[the artist formerly known as catmusic]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1608250404672008192

Well this should be fun. I wonder where the discrepancy came from. 

Maybe Greenlee County? That swing towards Ds was huge. According to him it’s not from Pima or Maricopa.

Archer is a pretty reliable source, though often he likes to drag folks along which is annoying.

Yeah, he doesn't seem to be clarifying much of anything in the replies which is definitely annoying. Greenlee was my thought too, it's also a small enough county I could see an error being more likely there. Fascinating it used to be one of the most reliably Democratic counties in the country back in the day.

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1608250404672008192

Well this should be fun. I wonder where the discrepancy came from. 

Maybe Greenlee County? That swing towards Ds was huge. According to him it’s not from Pima or Maricopa.

Archer is a pretty reliable source, though often he likes to drag folks along which is annoying.

Yeah, he doesn't seem to be clarifying much of anything in the replies which is definitely annoying. Greenlee was my thought too, it's also a small enough county I could see an error being more likely there. Fascinating it used to be one of the most reliably Democratic counties in the country back in the day.

Yep Archer did this as the 2022 results came in giving all these vague hints to stir uncertainty and prolly keep people engaged on Twitter.

If it’s not Greenlee, maybe it’s Cochise given all the BS that happened there.

If it’s a precinct specific issue, you would prolly be able to figure it out by a precinct having an abnormally hard swing left.

[Хahar 🤔]

Have you guys taken a look at what Kari Lake has been sharing on Twitter lately? When it's not byzantine accusations of electoral fraud that I'm not in nearly deep enough to understand, it's these posts, all of which have been shared by her since Christmas:

https://twitter.com/KariLake/status/1602104634310467584
https://twitter.com/ryangerritsen/status/1604636926216110083
https://twitter.com/FrontlineFlash/status/1598920999126212608

Given her life-long fascination with the New Age and alternative ways of experiencing reality (recall that she was a self-identified Buddhist not so long ago), it's not surprising that she'd be into alternative medicine, and when that mixes with QAnon you get this. Still, it's odd that she's focusing on horse drugs now. I thought everyone moved on from that more than a year ago!

[Adam Griffin]

Well this should be fun. I wonder where the discrepancy came from. 

Maybe Greenlee County? That swing towards Ds was huge. According to him it’s not from Pima or Maricopa.

Where are you seeing this? Looking at Atlas, these were the swings:

GOV, 18-22: D+6.87
SEN, 18-22: R+2.55
AGN, 18-22: R+2.00
SOS, 18-22: R+4.74

[ProgressiveModerate]

Well this should be fun. I wonder where the discrepancy came from. 

Maybe Greenlee County? That swing towards Ds was huge. According to him it’s not from Pima or Maricopa.

Where are you seeing this? Looking at Atlas, these were the swings:

GOV, 18-22: D+6.87
SEN, 18-22: R+2.55
AGN, 18-22: R+2.00
SOS, 18-22: R+4.74

Damn, ig 2020 Pres is more the exception and not the rule then.

[Adam Griffin]

2018-22 AZ-AG Swing:

[Antonio the Sixth]

F**k. If Hamadeh ends up winning, in addition to having an election denier as AG, the fact that a race flipped to the GOP after a recount (never mind that it was a margin of 0.1 points) is going to fuel GOP conspiracies for years.

When will we know the results?

[GeorgiaModerate]

F**k. If Hamadeh ends up winning, in addition to having an election denier as AG, the fact that a race flipped to the GOP after a recount (never mind that it was a margin of 0.1 points) is going to fuel GOP conspiracies for years.

When will we know the results?

The results will be presented to the court in a hearing starting at 10am MST.