Arizona megathread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, this is two years off, and the direction Arizona is going is not nearly as clear as the direction Georgia is going. I imagine an interesting strategy for a Democrat here might be to mostly ignore the opponent and basically campaign against Ducey and his many failures.

GA is still a red state, it's a pink state, and Ossoff may not win, but Warnock has a 2/4 chance and Ossoff he a 1/4.

But D's are favored to win this race since Mark Kelly is on the ballot

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hobbs was leading 50/45 anyways so it's gonna hurt Rs Dobbs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just a note with these inflated polls many of them are RV polls , and the 50/45 Hobbs number was inflated but do was the RI 2 poll Rs aren't winning RI in a blue wall 303 map, Sununu and Scott are the only two Rs that are gonna win, Golden is leading

RV don't always favor D's, sometimes they benefits Rs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Hispanics shift in Arizona the way they've shifted in Florida and New Mexico, the state will once more be unwinnable for Democrats.

Lol we won the Cali recall with  Newsom with Blk andLatino support

Kelly is leading 47/41 against all GOP challenges

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is over Hobbs have lead in all the polls against Lake whom was supposed to be a shoe in

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is why Hobbs is ahead 48/40 but Sir Muhammad has been listening to Election Guy too long, Lake won't win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lake is DONE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

She can't claim election fraud now since she went ahead like Biden, Robson is getting crushed outside of Phoenix so crossover D votes didn't mean much this time, because Robson was clearly ahead and obviously D's want Robson than Lake, huge loss for Pence who. Wants to run in 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Katie Hobbs is leading Lake by more than Robson 48/40

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I hope Hobbs responds to Lake she is going after Hobs already

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

She is hurting Blake Masters that's why Kelly is up 54/40 and Mastriano is hurting Oz, they are both down by 10 that's why Rs are saying now if D's get Senate they will win it back and Ryan and Beasley are leading and Demings is tied we don't know what happens in WI but we can win PA, OH, NC and FL while WI or GA can go R it's not a 52/48 Senate it's 51/56 seats just like Rs aren't guarenteed the H the range is 235/210

Users don't know what an estimate probability they assume it's an R H but it's a range of 235R/210 and in the S it a range of 51/56 Senate Ds

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

John Fetterman refused to Debate Oz too, that was bad that's why his polls went down from 51/39 to 48/44 I don't expect him to lose but he could

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Im just going to go ahead and call the election for Lake at this point. Hobbs is running a dreadful campaign.

Lol EDay is 60 days and Early voting is heading in a couple of weeks it's too early to give up now but you don't have to Donate anymore if you are it's only 60 days left what can 5.00 or our small dollar donation do with 60 days left

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

At this point, Hobbs probably has the same chance of winning as Stacey Abrams.

It's tied

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why Lake is overperformed we haven't elected a D Gov since Janet Napolitano but we have to wait til EDay to be sure anyways we know TRAFALGAR is trying to prop up JD Vance and Lake and other polls shows Hobbs and Ryan ahead

Users need to show patience until we vote , we are in the Early voting days now we are past the Approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hobbs is gonna win easily

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's haven't elected a D Gov in AZ since Janet Napolitano and she was Latina that's what's wrong with Hobbs she is facing a Trend in AZ that hasn't happened since 2011

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It doesn't matter if Tulsi Gabby campaigns fir Lake Hobbs is leading in this poll, Rs have to peel of Latinos and blk voters not white voters that's what I keep telling users because the country is becoming more minority than white Abbott, DeWine and DeSantis has been able to do that but every other R hasn't

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kelly has this there are more Kelly/Lake voters than Hobbs/Masters voters

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lake, Michels and Mastriano saying they won't certify 24 backfires

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trafalgar and Emerson again had Lake, LAXALT and Johnson ahead so that was bad polling by the two of those POLLSTER

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1600639916404543488

Robson would have won . It is because of your endorsement which handed the nomination to someone as horrible as Kari Lake that Hobbs who sucks as well will be governor

Lol do you know what Rs are trying to do is steal the EC by Moore v Harper in getting state legislature to solidify a Different slate of Electors than the voters chosen Robson is no different than Lake and rest of the Rs they know that AZ, GA, WI, and AZ have R state legislature, but it's gonna fail just like it did when Trump tried to steal 2020 this Crt gets rid of Affirmative Action or they are Pro Gerrymandering but they won't overturn an Eday

Do you know why FL, AZ and WI votes D and why Evers, Johnson, Kelly, Sinema, and Hobbs won it's AARP state that means if you are poor and 50 and older and on Medicare you qualify for AARP life insurance

John Love is a better candidate than Matthew Sancrainte but it's a reason why Martin Frost has been elected to replace DEMINGS

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/DemocracyDocket/status/1603948254638608384

These people are so obnoxious.

Was that judge a right or left-leaning one? Just a for fun question. Their lawsuits are so baseless and poorly preparated, even most conservative judges flat out dismiss them. Trump got 60 of them thrown out.

All these judges are under Appellate jurisdiction under Kavangh, ACB and this is the same Appeals Crts that  put
out Trump 2020 baseless claim

In law school Appeals Crt Judges are under the Appellate jurisdiction of SCOTUS

It's not separate Appellate jurisdiction from SCOTUS state or Federal

Federalist meant Lincoln anyways opposition to slavery it became state rights with Reagan but it still was opposite of Dixiecrat

ACB is center right and so are Roberts and Kavanaugh

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump has never learned from being impeached that's why he keeps the big lie going that's why we need to win a Filibuster proof Trifecta and pass Voting Rights RS are never gonna concede as long as  Voting Rights isnt passed, the Electoral count Act doesn't even matter because Harris is presiding over Eday not Pence

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ was only R so long due to fact McCain was an Environmentalist, it's a D state now and it verified it with Mark Kelly and without AZ or VA Rs won't win the Prez

McCain was a Nixon Republican they created the EPA