2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 651987 times)
BlueSwan
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« Reply #13875 on: November 06, 2020, 11:02:22 AM »
Quote from: Crumpets on November 06, 2020, 11:00:00 AM
Chuck Todd says NBC may call Pennsylvania today and that they are at "over 90% confidence of a Biden win, but we're waiting for at least 95%."
What BS. Confidence in PA is easily 99%+++ right now.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #13876 on: November 06, 2020, 11:02:49 AM »

It's over, if so.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #13877 on: November 06, 2020, 11:02:52 AM »
Quote from: GoTfan on November 06, 2020, 11:02:05 AM
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 06, 2020, 10:54:00 AM
By the way ...
What happened to our blue-avatar friends that were so enthusiastic about consistently posting in this thread yesterday?

Jessica
SirWood
SN
Buzz
7sergi9

Who else am I missing?

Me, probably Tongue

You doing okay, GoTFan? Been concerned about you across the past few days.  
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Crumpets
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« Reply #13878 on: November 06, 2020, 11:02:53 AM »
NBC just posted the AZ numbers. Tiny increase for Trump, it looks like. Nowhere near enough.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #13879 on: November 06, 2020, 11:03:04 AM »
Trump gains 4.000 votes from the latest Maricopa update.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #13880 on: November 06, 2020, 11:03:24 AM »
At this point, the race is over. Trump will try to drag it out and file as many lawsuits as he can to get to the Supreme Court, but it is over. This nation is a mess. Biden will have a tough task ahead of him.
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Person Man
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« Reply #13881 on: November 06, 2020, 11:03:32 AM »

So that about seals it if Trump was supposed to gain, right?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #13882 on: November 06, 2020, 11:04:12 AM »
Maricopa: Trump +31716, Biden +28285
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #13883 on: November 06, 2020, 11:04:46 AM »
That 4k gain was nowhere near enough what Trump needed right?
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #13884 on: November 06, 2020, 11:04:51 AM »
We've gone from malpractice on the part of election administrators to malpractice on the part of the press. Stop chasing the "ONE THING'S FOR SURE: IT'S TOO CLOSE TO CALL Smiley" ratings dragon for five f**king seconds and tell us what we all already know.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13885 on: November 06, 2020, 11:04:58 AM »

Only 53-47. Didn't Trump need 57-59% in the rest?
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Blue3
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« Reply #13886 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:01 AM »
Once there's fewer than 10k votes left to count in Pennsylvania, and Biden is ahead by at least 10k votes in Pennsylvania, is when this race will be called.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #13887 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:05 AM »
Major major props to the Fox decision desk for sticking to their guns on Arizona.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #13888 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:12 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 06, 2020, 11:03:04 AM
Trump gains 4.000 votes from the latest Maricopa update.

Not nearly enough. Trump needed to gain a LOT more than that.
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n1240
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« Reply #13889 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:31 AM »
Very bad dump for Trump in Maricopa, as expected, the rest of the batches are gonna look similar to this or worse.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13890 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:40 AM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 06, 2020, 11:04:46 AM
That 4k gain was nowhere near enough what Trump needed right?

Yeah, it appears so. A 60K dump and Biden's statewide lead only goes down from 47K to 43K.
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hyouzel the predictor
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« Reply #13891 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:48 AM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on November 06, 2020, 10:54:00 AM
By the way ...
What happened to our blue-avatar friends that were so enthusiastic about consistently posting in this thread yesterday?

Jessica
SirWood
SN
Buzz
7sergi9
Ljube
Dabeav
GOP Toupee
Who else am I missing?

Don't throw Buzz in with the rest of those crazies. They have some great takes and actually contribute to discussion even though they are a Trump supporter. Woodbury is the Robert Cahaly of Atlas, and whil Jessica seems to be moving out of the Trump cult camp she still is pretty far right without many feasible takes. Ljube, pre election, was a Trump sycophant but seems to have eased off a little bit. Still noticeably missing. Don't know much about sergi and SN but they seem fine. The only other Trumpists are Dabeav and GOP Toupee and they are complaining about practically everything.

Regardless, they were talking a lot of smack pre-Nov 3rd which never materialized in their favor.

Not to say that the 413 crowd were accurate either (which I was a part of) but at least we had evidence for our takes other than "crowd size" "polls" "2016."

In summary, Buzz is an excellent poster.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #13892 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:50 AM »
Yes, well behind the pace Trump needs to gain.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #13893 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:56 AM »
Quote from: Ye We Can on November 04, 2020, 09:59:06 PM
Quote from: Peter Henderson/Kamelamela Harris 2020 on November 04, 2020, 09:52:14 PM
Quote from: Mr. Electable (SEN: R+2) on November 04, 2020, 09:50:05 PM
Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.

Eisenhower

Eisenhower voted Republican before 1952, according to himself
Washington
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13894 on: November 06, 2020, 11:05:58 AM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 06, 2020, 11:05:31 AM
Very bad dump for Trump in Maricopa, as expected, the rest of the batches are gonna look similar to this or worse.

It looks like whoever said the next batches will be more Indie was right.
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Inmate Trump
GWBFan
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« Reply #13895 on: November 06, 2020, 11:06:00 AM »
I just saw CNN still has called ME-02.

I wonder why they're holding off on that one?
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GP270watch
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« Reply #13896 on: November 06, 2020, 11:06:12 AM »
 Trump is going to lose Arizona with numbers like that.

https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html

He's not hitting his targets.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #13897 on: November 06, 2020, 11:06:26 AM »
Quote from: The Trump Virus on November 06, 2020, 11:06:00 AM
I just saw CNN still has called ME-02.

I wonder why they're holding off on that one?

Honestly, it's very possible they just forgot about it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13898 on: November 06, 2020, 11:07:19 AM »
This may explain why in some places we still have large discrepancies between mail requested and mail returned.

Philly requested 437K mail ins. ONly 358K "returned" right now. There's no way 80K didn't get returned. Assume a large chunk of those may be in provisionals.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #13899 on: November 06, 2020, 11:07:21 AM »
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